PSV vs Heerenveen Prediction
🔊 The upcoming quarter-final of the Dutch Cup between PSV and Heerenveen promises to be a true football showdown. PSV have lost form recently, with a negative record over their last five matches, yet the Farmers' attack remains a formidable force. Heerenveen have fared slightly better over the same stretch, but traveling to Eindhoven will undoubtedly pose challenges. Can the visitors put up a fight against the local football powerhouse? Let's evaluate their chances in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):
- ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and Heerenveen:
- played 38 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 7, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 83 against 50;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.37, in the 2nd half - 2.13;
- average total goals in the match - 3.5.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

PSV Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away team - Feyenoord Rotterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (PSV vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
PSV are making strong strides this season, though they've hit a slight dip recently with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. However, their attacking prowess remains intact-the "Red and Whites" average 2.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. In their last head-to-head clash, they defeated Heerenveen 2-0, boosting their confidence ahead of the home fixture. Known for their aggressive play and ball control, the "Farmers" are true powerhouses in local football.
Match Results: PSV

Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Utrecht):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
The "Frisians" have been impressive on the road, scoring in nearly every away game (8 out of the last 9). Over the last five matches, Heerenveen's record slightly edges out PSV's with one less defeat. However, their form throughout the season doesn't quite match up to the top teams in domestic football. The team frequently relies on counterattacks as their main weapon against stronger opponents, and they'll likely employ this strategy in Eindhoven as well.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.37;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.89, while the visitors net 0.47.
First-Half Stats: PSV (home) vs Heerenveen (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- wins: 1 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 2.5 (scored - 1.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6).
- PSV scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Heerenveen.
- PSV scored in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 7, draws - 14.
- Heerenveen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (KNVB beker).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.18, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- average total goals scored: 3.5 vs 3;
- average total in the 1st half: 3 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 2;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.6 (home - 3) vs 1.9 (away - 2.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 PSV home games against Heerenveen.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 13 PSV home games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 11 PSV games.
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.6; at home field - 7.
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.33, away - 6.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 7.25.
- PSV have taken over 5.5 corners in 13 of last 15 games against Heerenveen.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.22 (1.11 - for home team and 1.11 - for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 2.94 (1.22 - for home team and 1.72 - for away team).
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 PSV games against Heerenveen.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Heerenveen games.
- Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 Heerenveen games (KNVB beker).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
- PSV have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 home games against Heerenveen.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (8/102, 7.8%), 1:2 (8/102, 7.8%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:3 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.73% (odds 8.2)
1:1 - 7.29% (odds 10.5)
3:1 - 7.26% (odds 10.25)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The clash between PSV and Heerenveen promises to be action-packed, given the potential of both sides. PSV dominate almost every opponent at home, netting an average of 2.6 goals per match, which makes them the favorites. Meanwhile, Heerenveen display impressive form on the road, effectively utilizing counterattacks and scoring in 8 of their last 9 away games. Considering a slight dip in the hosts' recent performances, we believe the "Frisians" have a decent chance of at least finding the back of the net. Under these circumstances, a bet on Heerenveen's handicap (+1.5) appears well-founded.
