PSV vs Heerenveen Prediction

    🔊 The upcoming quarter-final of the Dutch Cup between PSV and Heerenveen promises to be a true football showdown. PSV have lost form recently, with a negative record over their last five matches, yet the Farmers' attack remains a formidable force. Heerenveen have fared slightly better over the same stretch, but traveling to Eindhoven will undoubtedly pose challenges. Can the visitors put up a fight against the local football powerhouse? Let's evaluate their chances in our editorial's prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):

    • ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and Heerenveen:

    • played 38 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 7, draws - 14;
    • number of goals - 83 against 50;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.37, in the 2nd half - 2.13;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    48%
    19 Wins
    35%
    14 Draws
    18%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    3.55
    Both teams scored
    75%
    2.25
    Total average
    1.3
    1.15
    Yellow cards
    1.2
    Last matches
    21.02.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    3.7
    0.89
    9
    3
    8
    4
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    3.7
    0.89
    9
    3
    8
    4
    2
    1
    04.02.26
    KNVB beker
    PSV
    PSV
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    -
    -
    7
    1
    10
    9
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    10
    9
    2
    1
    06.12.25
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PSV
    PSV
    0.84
    0.72
    7
    3
    13
    5
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.84
    0.72
    7
    3
    13
    5
    1
    0
    08.03.25
    Eredivisie
    PSV Eindhoven
    PSV Eindhoven
    SC Heerenveen
    SC Heerenveen
    2.92
    0.73
    8
    4
    10
    10
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.92
    0.73
    8
    4
    10
    10
    2
    1
    14.12.24
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PSV
    PSV
    1.12
    1.17
    7
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.12
    1.17
    7
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
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    PSV Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PSV, away team - Feyenoord Rotterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here's the game statistics (PSV vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):

    • ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 8 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    PSV are making strong strides this season, though they've hit a slight dip recently with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. However, their attacking prowess remains intact-the "Red and Whites" average 2.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.5. In their last head-to-head clash, they defeated Heerenveen 2-0, boosting their confidence ahead of the home fixture. Known for their aggressive play and ball control, the "Farmers" are true powerhouses in local football.

    Match Results: PSV

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Twente
    Twente
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    PSV
    PSV
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    PSV
    PSV
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
    23.04.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    6
    1
    1
    0
    5
    1
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    W
    11.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Sparta
    Sparta
    PSV
    PSV
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    W
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    Heerenveen Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Utrecht):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 11 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    The "Frisians" have been impressive on the road, scoring in nearly every away game (8 out of the last 9). Over the last five matches, Heerenveen's record slightly edges out PSV's with one less defeat. However, their form throughout the season doesn't quite match up to the top teams in domestic football. The team frequently relies on counterattacks as their main weapon against stronger opponents, and they'll likely employ this strategy in Eindhoven as well.

    Match Results: Heerenveen

    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    D
    11.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    1.95
    0.99
    7
    3
    10
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.95
    0.99
    7
    3
    10
    13
    1
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Volendam
    Volendam
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    1.45
    1.94
    7
    5
    8
    14
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.45
    1.94
    7
    5
    8
    14
    3
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna Sittard
    1
    2.61
    0.73
    7
    0
    10
    6
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.61
    0.73
    7
    0
    10
    6
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1.37;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.89, while the visitors net 0.47.

    First-Half Stats: PSV (home) vs Heerenveen (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
    • wins: 1 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 2 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 5 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 2;
    • Average first-half total: 2.5 (scored - 1.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • PSV scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 home games against Heerenveen.
    • PSV scored in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, PSV to score goal

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 38;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 7, draws - 14.
    Trends
    • Heerenveen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (KNVB beker).
    👉Prediction: Heerenveen Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.76)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.18, the guests - 1.32;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 15.

    Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen

    • average total in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • average total goals scored: 3.5 vs 3;
    • average total in the 1st half: 3 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 2;
    • PSV: average total at home in the tournament -  3;
    • Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 3;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.6 (home - 3) vs 1.9 (away - 2.5).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 PSV home games against Heerenveen.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 13 PSV home games.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 11 PSV games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    PSV: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.6; at home field - 7.

    Heerenveen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.33, away - 6.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 7.25.
    Trends
    • PSV have taken over 5.5 corners in 13 of last 15 games against Heerenveen.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Heerenveen Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.63)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.22 (1.11 - for home team and 1.11 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 2.94 (1.22 - for home team and 1.72 - for away team).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 PSV games against Heerenveen.
    • Under 3.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Heerenveen games.
    • Under 3.5 yellow cards in last 5 Heerenveen games (KNVB beker).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)(odds: 1.93)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 38;
    • both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 15 times.
    Trends
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 home games against Heerenveen.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.53)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (8/102, 7.8%), 1:2 (8/102, 7.8%);
    • PSV at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (1/1, 100%);
    • Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:3 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 9.73% (odds 8.2)
    1:1 - 7.29% (odds 10.5)
    3:1 - 7.26% (odds 10.25)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:1)(odds: 8.1)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The clash between PSV and Heerenveen promises to be action-packed, given the potential of both sides. PSV dominate almost every opponent at home, netting an average of 2.6 goals per match, which makes them the favorites. Meanwhile, Heerenveen display impressive form on the road, effectively utilizing counterattacks and scoring in 8 of their last 9 away games. Considering a slight dip in the hosts' recent performances, we believe the "Frisians" have a decent chance of at least finding the back of the net. Under these circumstances, a bet on Heerenveen's handicap (+1.5) appears well-founded.

    Our choice
    Heerenveen Handicap (+1.5) at odds of -137*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 February 2026, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: PSV - Heerenveen

    PSV have not lost
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 16 home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 14 of last 15 games against Heerenveen.
    PSV will not lose
    Everygame
    -1000
    PSV have scored
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 18 home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 14 of last 15 games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2in 26 of last 27 games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 13 home games.
    PSV will score goal
    -
    PSV have scored under 3.5 goals
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 15 of last 16 games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 8 home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 5 games.
    PSV Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 14 of last 16 PSV games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 7 of last 8 PSV home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 5 PSV games.
    sc-heerenveen-2in 12 of last 13 Heerenveen games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -250
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 30
    Conceded - 18
    +12
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    30
    Scored
    17
    18
    Conceded
    13
    4.8
    Match goals average
    3
    3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    9
    Both teams scored
    5
    30'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats