Sparta vs Willem II Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📢 Sparta and Willem II are heading into this fixture in poor form. The hosts sit 14th in the table, uncomfortably close to the relegation zone. The visitors are bottom, so their situation is even more difficult. Neither side has won in some time, and both have been struggling defensively, regularly allowing opponents to create dangerous chances. A win for either club would improve their position slightly and bring an end to their losing run.
Head-to-Head
Sparta thrashed Willem II 5-1 away in the Dutch Cup 18 December 2025. Despite an equal number of shots on target (8-8), the scoreline was emphatic: Sparta had the advantage in possession (63% to 37%) and dangerous attacks (71 to 32).
Across 38 official meetings, Willem II have the better record against Sparta, winning 18 times to Sparta's 12, with eight draws. Willem II also lead on goals: 67-51.
Head-to-head statistics Sparta - Willem II
Sparta are on a winless run, conceding nearly three goals per match
In their last Eredivisie match on 10 October 2026, Sparta drew 3-3 away at Go Ahead Eagles. Despite having 37% possession, they had more shots (18-17) and created more expected goals - 2.2 against 1.54.
Sparta have had a very poor start to the season and sit 14th in the table with six points. They are going through a serious slump, picking up just two points from their last five matches. Over their last ten matches the picture is equally worrying - just one win and six defeats. The main problem remains a highly unreliable defence, which is conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game. The attack has shown reasonable productivity, however, averaging 1.5 goals per game over the last ten matches and 1.63 per game across the season.
Match Results: Sparta
Willem II sit bottom of the table, having suffered six defeats in their last ten matches
Willem II's last Eredivisie match on 11 October 2026 ended in a 1-3 away defeat to Utrecht. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored three times; Utrecht had 24 shots in total compared to nine for Willem II.
Willem II have made a dreadful start to the season and sit 18th with two points. The team are struggling badly to pick up results, losing six of their last ten matches and winning just once in that period. Their defensive record is particularly worrying - they are conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match and regularly allowing opponents to create large numbers of dangerous chances. Their attack offers little compensation, scoring just one goal per game across those ten matches.
Match Results: Willem 2 Tilburg
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of Sparta's last 11 matches, the total has gone over 2.5 goals, which reflects the high-scoring nature of games involving them. On top of that, both teams are conceding an average of more than 2.5 goals per match this season - Sparta 2.5, Willem II 2.88. Those figures from both sides set the stage for a high-scoring game. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.39*.
Corners Prediction
In 17 of their last 18 Eredivisie matches, Sparta have taken fewer than 6.5 corners. This consistent long-term trend suggests a high probability that Sparta will again fall short of 7 corners. The pick is Sparta Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at odds of 1.66*.
The Safe Bet
Willem II have gone eight matches without a win, and Sparta traditionally perform well against this opponent at home, as their head-to-head record confirms. Given Willem II's poor form, the double chance in Sparta's favour looks very reliable. We're going with Sparta not to lose at odds of 1.18*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8.92%), 1-1 (7.33%) and 2-2 (7.17%). Scenarios involving goals at both ends and a total of over 2.5 have the highest probability. The 2-1 result is the most likely outcome according to the calculations.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sparta are considered favourites on the back of home advantage, but their current form makes it hard to expect a comfortable win. They concede regularly but continue to find ways to score at the other end. Willem II are equally unreliable defensively, and their league position means they need to push forward in search of chances. Given that Sparta have frequently both scored and conceded in their recent league matches, goals from both sides look likely. Our pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Sparta - Willem 2 Tilburg
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