St Pauli vs Leverkusen Prediction 20 April 2025
🔊 How confident are Bayer in their championship aspirations? Is it realistic to close a six-point gap behind Bayern with just five matches left? Leverkusen need to win all their remaining games and hope for a miracle. Meanwhile, St. Pauli find themselves in the lower part of the table, sitting seven points clear of the relegation zone. However, nothing is settled for the underdogs, making every point crucial.
Head-to-Head
📊 The only relevant match to consider is the first-round fixture of the current tournament. It took place on 07 December 2024 at Bayer's home ground and ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics St Pauli - Leverkusen
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 Last season's 2. Bundesliga champions find themselves in the top tier for the first time since the 2010/11 campaign, but they are once again facing the threat of relegation. Currently sitting in 15th place, they are just about holding on to their top-flight status. Can they maintain a seven-point advantage? The Hamburg-based club faces five crucial battles ahead: against Bayer, Werder, Stuttgart, Eintracht, and Bochum.
🔗 In the previous round, St. Pauli secured an away victory over their rival and main underdog of the season, Holstein Kiel (2-1). Apart from an own goal, forward Danel Sinani contributed to the team's success. Despite their league position, they have surprisingly been a low-scoring side: netting just 25 goals and conceding only 35 across 28 matches (the third-best defensive record in the league).
🔝 The "Pirates'" top scorer is forward Morgan Guilavogui, who has scored five goals and provided one assist in 20 matches.
❌ Defender Karol Mets (knee) and midfielder James Sands (leg fracture) will not return this season. Forward Simon Zoller has been out for a while with a hip injury. Goalkeepers Simon Ahlers and Sascha Burchert are not in form. Captain Jackson Irvine is also sidelined with a knee injury. Midfielder Adam Davigala is doubtful due to a knee issue.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🔴 Xabi Alonso's team clinched their first-ever championship with five games to spare last season. This year, with five matches remaining, Leverkusen trail Bayern by six points. The odds of Munich losing their grip on the title are slim, but Bayer have no choice but to win their remaining fixtures. The second spot and a Champions League berth are secured, with a 12-point lead over third-placed Eintracht. However, Xabi Alonso believes his side can catch Bayern in the title race.
📣 In the previous round, the club dropped points in a home draw against Union (0-0). "We didn't play well enough. We wanted to win but failed to convert our chances. It's not over yet; we have to keep pushing-there are still five matches left," said Bayer's coach. The "Apothecaries" still have to face St. Pauli, Augsburg, Freiburg, Borussia Dortmund, and Mainz.
🔝 On a positive note, young leader Florian Wirtz has returned to action. He is a key player in the attack, scoring 9 goals and providing 12 assists in 26 games. Bayer's top scorer is Patrik Schick, with the Czech forward netting 17 goals in 26 appearances. Additionally, central defender Piero Hincapié was named in the team of the week following the last round.
❌ On the downside, defender Mario Hermoso (thigh injury) and forward Martin Terrier (Achilles) will be unavailable for the game. Midfielder Nathan Tella's participation is doubtful due to an unspecified injury. Defender Jeanuel Belocian will not play again until next season due to a knee injury.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 8 vs 18;
- win percentage: 28% vs 62%;
- number of losses: 16 vs 2;
- number of draws: 5 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 5;
- number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won in their last 4 away games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen
- average total in the tournament: 2.07 vs 3.34;
- average total goals scored: 0.86 vs 2.17;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.48 vs 0.93;
- St. Pauli: average total at home in the tournament - 0.64;
- Bayer Leverkusen: average total away in the tournament - 2.21;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.6) vs 1.5 (away - 2).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 St. Pauli home games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.8.
Bayer Leverkusen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.66, away - 5.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 5.67.
- St. Pauli have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on cards
St. Pauli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.24; at home - 0.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; at home - 0.6.
Bayer Leverkusen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.62, away - 1.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.17.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for St. Pauli at home - 3 (21%);
- number of BTTS matches for Bayer Leverkusen away - 10 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for St. Pauli at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Bayer Leverkusen away - 3 (50%).
Editor's Prediction
Based on an analysis of both teams' form and playing styles, Bayer appear to be the clear favorites for the upcoming match. However, St. Pauli are solid defensively, often resulting in low-scoring games. The total goals under 2.5 has hit in five consecutive home matches for the "Pirates," and we don't expect this one to be any different. We recommend steering clear of betting on the outcome and instead opting for the "under."
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Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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