Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Bayer Leverkusen will face St. Pauli for the third time this season. Not long ago, Leverkusen knocked their opponents out of the German Cup quarterfinals, leaving the psychological state of the visitors from Hamburg somewhat unclear. However, they did secure a much-needed victory in their last league outing, reigniting their hopes of competing for a spot in the Bundesliga. Despite this, our editorial team sees little chance for the visitors in the upcoming clash at the BayArena.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round at the "Millerntor," Leverkusen took three points from Hamburg with a 2-1 victory. Edmond Tapsoba opened the scoring, Hauke Wahl equalized, and Ernest Poku netted the winning goal in the 58th minute. On February 3, 2026, at the "BayArena," Leverkusen knocked their opponents out of the German Cup quarterfinals with a commanding 3-0 win, thanks to goals from Martin Terrier, Patrik Schick, and Jonas Hofmann.
Head-to-head statistics Leverkusen - St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🔴 Bayer trail the top four by three points after dropping points in Gladbach during their 21st round clash with Borussia (1-1), thus halting their four-match winning streak across all competitions. After conceding an early goal, Leverkusen managed to equalize before halftime, as a strike from Alex Garcia was turned into the net by a home defender. Nevertheless, the "Pharmacists" have a postponed away match against Hamburg in hand, which is set for March 4.
⚫ Since taking over as head coach in the third round, Kasper Hjulmand has led the team through 18 matches, amassing 35 points. Under his guidance, Leverkusen have matched the performance of their first 18 games under former triumphant manager Xabi Alonso, securing 11 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 In the 21st round, the "Pirates" secured a home victory over Stuttgart (2-1), breathing new life into their survival battle. Manolis Saliakas put the team ahead in the first half, while Danel Sinani doubled the lead with a penalty in the second. Alexander Blessin's squad still sit in second-to-last place in the standings, occupying a direct relegation spot, but they have narrowed the gap to just two points behind the two teams above them - Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg. They are four points clear of bottom-placed Heidenheim.
⚪ However, Hamburg's away form in the league has been dismal, with 10 matches without a win and just two points collected (two draws and eight losses). Considering their head-to-head history with Bayer, even a single point at the "BayArena" would be deemed a success for them.
Match Results: St. Pauli
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Bayer Leverkusen
🎙️ Kasper Hjulmand after the match: "We dominated for 65-70 minutes. We had enough chances to seal the game in our favor. We played with intensity, aggression, and barely gave our opponents any breathing room. But in football, it's all about finishing. We scored only one goal, and when you leave Gladbach in the game, they punish you. We made this evening tense ourselves. It's not disappointment-it's frustration. We dropped two points, not gained one. With such dominance, we must score the second and third goals. Unfortunately, in recent matches, we've allowed opponents to get back into the game too often. We need to be more clinical and ruthless in the opponent's box. These kinds of games need to be closed out without question."
❌ Mark Flekken, Nathan Tella, Ibrahim Maza, and Eliesse Ben Seghir did not participate in the previous game. No new injuries have been reported.
St. Pauli
🎙️ Alexander Blessin after the much-anticipated victory: "We are very pleased and thrilled to finally reward ourselves for playing well. In the first half, we set the right tone and performed really well. We managed the ball confidently and hardly allowed the opponent to create any chances. In the second half, towards the end, our energy started to wane. Jackson Irvine was supposed to play only one half, but he ended up on the field for 96 minutes despite being in considerable pain. He pushed through, and he deserves credit for that. It was a great performance, and we rightfully rewarded ourselves for the effort we put in. After a series of setbacks, it's not always easy to believe things will work out, but the guys did an excellent job."
❌ Andreas Uontondji, Ricky-Jade Jones, Connor Metcalfe, David Nemeth, Eric Smith, and Hauke Wahl missed the previous round due to injuries and are likely to miss the upcoming match as well.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Sven Jablonski is appointed as the main referee at the BayArena. In his last 10 matches, he has averaged 3.4 yellow cards per game. On average, Leverkusen receive two cautions per game, while Hamburg see one and a half. We are opting for over 2.5 yellow cards - this figure was recorded in the last four head-to-head encounters.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In this section, we delve into past matches and select Bayer's individual total over 1.5 goals - they achieved this in the previous two head-to-head meetings this season. Additionally, St. Pauli conceded more than 1.5 goals in their last four away matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Despite their different standings in the league, both teams have a similar average corner count - each side delivers around five corners per game. Thus, we go with total over 8.5 corners - this was a trend in the last four head-to-head clashes.
Editor's Prediction
Bayer need to secure three points to keep pace with the pack vying for a Champions League spot. Their opponents are suitable, although equally motivated to escape the relegation zone. Having already lost twice this year to the Leverkusen side, the "Pirates" might not be mentally prepared to withstand the challenge at the BayArena, as seen in their recent national cup encounter. Therefore, our prediction: Bayer win. Likely, with composure - a 2-0 victory.
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Betting Tips: Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli
in 16 of last 18 games (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 away games.in last 10 away games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 games.
in 23 of last 25 Bayer Leverkusen games (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 Bayer Leverkusen home games.in 11 of last 12 Bayer Leverkusen home games (Bundesliga).in 9 of last 10 St. Pauli away games.in 7 of last 8 St. Pauli away games (Bundesliga).in 6 of last 7 St. Pauli games.
in 11 of last 12 Sven Jablonski games.in last 8 Sven Jablonski games (in the Bundesliga).in last 17 home games.in last 12 home games (Bundesliga).in 20 of last 22 games.in 17 of last 19 games (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 away games.in 9 of last 10 away games (Bundesliga).in 13 of last 14 home games.in 8 of last 9 home games (Bundesliga).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Bundesliga).in 6 of last 7 games.
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