Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction 3 February 2026
🔊 On Tuesday, Bayer Leverkusen will host St. Pauli in the quarterfinals of the German Cup. It's no surprise that the season has unfolded quite differently for these two clubs: Leverkusen are battling for a top-four finish, while Hamburg's St. Pauli are fighting to retain their spot in the country's top division. It's hard to argue with the bookmakers' odds, but cup matches often deliver surprises, with underdogs capable of matching or even surpassing the favorites. Will Tuesday's clash at the BayArena be one of those occasions?
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams met was in September during the first round of the Bundesliga. Bayer secured a 2-1 away victory against St. Pauli, with goals from Edmond Tapsoba and Ernest Poku. Hauke Wahl scored for the hosts.
Head-to-head statistics Leverkusen - St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🏆 Bayer Leverkusen kicked off their cup campaign with a commanding victory over Sonnenhof Großaspach (4-0). In the Round of 32 of the 2023/24 DFB-Pokal, the reigning champions needed extra time to overcome Paderborn from the 2. Bundesliga (4-2). In the Round of 16, Bayer secured a win in Dortmund, with Ibrahim Maza scoring the sole goal against Borussia (1-0).
🔴 On Saturday, Kasper Hjulmand's side reignited their Champions League hopes with a convincing win over Eintracht in Frankfurt (3-1). Goals came from Arthur, Malik Tillman, and Alex Garcia. With their Champions League victory over Villarreal (3-0), the "Pharmacists" extended their winning streak to three matches.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
St. Pauli Team Overview
🏆 In the first round of the DFB-Pokal, St. Pauli edged past Eintracht Norderstedt from the fourth division after a goalless draw in regular and extra time, clinching victory in a penalty shootout (3-2). The "Pirates" then overcame Hoffenheim-again following a 2-2 draw over 120 minutes-by winning the subsequent penalty shootout (8-7). In the Round of 16, the Hamburg side defeated Borussia Mönchengladbach (2-1) within regulation time. St. Pauli have reached the semifinals of the DFB-Pokal only once in their history, during the 2005/06 season, when they fell to Bayern Munich (0-3).
🟤 In the 20th round of the league, Alexander Blessin's squad faced further challenges in their battle for survival, suffering a defeat to fellow strugglers Augsburg on the road (1-2). Although Danel Sinani put the "Pirates" ahead by converting a penalty, the visitors failed to hold even for a draw.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Latest news
Bayer Leverkusen
🎙️ Kasper Hjulmand after the match against Eintracht: "We played at a high level, maintained good ball control, and showed great flexibility. It was our best first half in quite some time. We can critique the second half, but winning here 3-1 is no easy feat, and we should appreciate that. Today, we're pleased with the result and most of our play, though there are certainly areas to improve."
⭐ In Frankfurt, the standout player was right-back Arthur, while center-back Edmond Tapsoba made his 250th appearance for Bayer. Goalkeeper Janis Blaswich marked his 50th Bundesliga outing with another solid performance.
❌ Mark Flekken, Nathan Tella, and Eliesse Ben Seghir will miss the quarter-final match.
St. Pauli
🎙️ Alexander Blessin after the match against Augsburg: "This is a bitter defeat because we could have achieved more today. Two key moments decided the outcome. We didn't deserve to lose, but we struggled with set-piece defense and made mistakes in our positional play. It was too much to overcome. We need to be more attentive and organized."
📝 Oladapo Afolayan has left St. Pauli. The 28-year-old forward has moved to England, joining Blackburn Rovers. Since January 2023, he has played 93 matches for the club, scoring 16 goals and providing 7 assists.
✍️ As a free agent, the "Pirates" have signed 26-year-old forward Taichi Hara, who previously played for Kyoto Sanga, who finished third in last season's J-League. In 91 matches for the Japanese club, Hara scored 22 goals and provided 17 assists.
❌ Andreas Untodji, David Nemeth, and Connor Metcalfe remain sidelined due to injuries.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Florian Badstübner has been appointed as the main referee at the BayArena. In the last match between Stuttgart and Freiburg, officiated by the German, he issued a total of four warnings. Bayer's average total of yellow cards in the current Cup campaign stands at 2 after three matches, while St. Pauli's players average 2.3. We suggest betting on over 3.5 yellow cards-this bet has been successful in the last three head-to-head encounters between the teams.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In this match, consider the option of both teams to score (yes). Cup matches often level the playing field, with underdogs playing more boldly than expected. Furthermore, this bet has been successful in seven of St. Pauli's last eight away matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the German Cup, the "Pirates" boast one of the highest average corner counts per match at 10.7. The "Pharmacists," however, have a significantly lower average of 3.3. Betting on under 11.5 corners has been successful in eight consecutive matches for Bayer and in St. Pauli's last five games.
Editor's Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen undoubtedly enter this matchup as favorites, though cup ties have their own magic where anything can happen. For Leverkusen, the Cup represents a genuine opportunity to secure silverware this season, given that their Bundesliga priority remains securing a top-four finish, and the road to the Champions League final appears highly challenging.
For the visitors, this tournament is also of significant interest, as their main focus in the league will be on survival. Nonetheless, Bayer have more resources, greater squad depth, and the advantage of playing at home. We predict a home victory in regular time, but expect it to be a hard-fought one - 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli
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