Lens vs Toulouse Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 How will the opening match of the 30th round of the French football championship conclude? Two solid Ligue 1 teams, Lens and Toulouse, face off. Both clubs are in dire need of points to achieve their respective goals this season. For Lens, it's a battle for the championship, while Toulouse aim for a spot in the top half of the table. You can find a prediction and detailed analysis of this match in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round, Lens delivered a commanding performance against Toulouse, crushing them 3-0 in an away match. Over the past five years, these opponents have faced off seven times, with Lens emerging victorious in five of those encounters.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    78%
    7 Wins
    11%
    1 Draw
    11%
    1 Win
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.78
    Both teams scored
    44%
    2.11
    Total average
    0.67
    6.44
    Corner
    3.67
    2.56
    Yellow cards
    1.89
    12.44
    Fouls
    12.67
    Last matches
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    02.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Lens
    Lens
    0.92
    1.91
    2
    8
    16
    16
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.92
    1.91
    2
    8
    16
    16
    2
    3
    10.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Lens
    Lens
    1.12
    0.77
    2
    1
    17
    12
    2
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.12
    0.77
    2
    1
    17
    12
    2
    5
    05.01.25
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.33
    2.19
    7
    1
    20
    12
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    2.19
    7
    1
    20
    12
    5
    2
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    Lens Team Overview

    🔴 Lens have been leading the championship for a long time, but they now sit in second place, trailing PSG by 4 points. The bad news for Pierre Sage's squad is that they have played one more match than the Parisians, which significantly complicates their pursuit of the title. However, there's still a head-to-head clash with PSG ahead, so their chances, albeit slim, remain alive.

    🟡 Lens missed the last round due to the rescheduling of their match against PSG. During this break, Pierre Sage's club played a friendly against a third-tier French league opponent, Rouen, securing a 3-1 victory. It's worth recalling that in the 28th round of Ligue 1, the "Blood and Gold" suffered a significant setback with a 0-3 away defeat to Lille, which greatly diminished their title hopes.

    Match Results: Lens

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Lens
    Lens
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    W
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    L
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    D
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    Toulouse are a solid mid-table team in the French championship, performing well against teams of similar strength and those at the bottom. However, they consistently struggle against the league's leaders. Why is that? It's simple-the "Violets" don't have the deepest bench, leaving little room for surprises, and it's tough to beat top clubs without unexpected strategies.

    In the last two rounds, Toulouse faced off against PSG and Lille. Both matches ended in defeat-1-3 and 0-4, respectively. Carlos Martinez's side had no chance in these encounters, as they were up against two teams currently in peak form and vying for championship medals. Lens, in terms of their nature and motivation, are very similar to PSG and Lille, making the upcoming game a tough challenge for Toulouse.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Lens

    💰 The renowned publication L'Équipe has released data on the salaries of all clubs in the French championship. Interestingly, Lens, who are in contention for the title, rank tenth in this list with an average salary of €80,000. This is €14,000 more than last season. Leading the way is the reigning French champions and Champions League winners PSG, with a figure of €650,000 per month before taxes. In second place is Marseille, boasting €300,000 per month, which is €50,000 more than last year. Monaco rounds out the top three with €140,000, unchanged from last season's campaign.

    ❌ Lens are facing some squad issues due to injuries. The appearances of Samson Baidoo (muscle injury) and Ruben Aguilar (game injury) are doubtful. Regis Gurtner, Jonathan Gradit, and Kylian Antonio are confirmed absentees as they continue their long-term recoveries and will not be available anytime soon.

    Toulouse

    ❌ Toulouse will be without Mark McKenzie due to suspension. He received a straight red card in the previous match against Lille and was sent off. Injuries rule out Alex Dominguez, Abu Francis, Frank Magri, and Rafik Messali-these players have been sidelined for a while and are not currently part of the first team.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérémie Pignard, who averages 4.35 yellow cards per game over his last 100 matches, with 23 fouls per game. In Ligue 1, Lens average 2 yellow cards per match, while Toulouse average 2.2. Both teams have been frequently cautioned this season, and Pignard is known for handing out cards, making a bet on over 3.5 total yellow cards a reasonable choice.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Lens have an average of 1.9 goals per match in Ligue 1, whereas Toulouse average 1.3. However, both sides have been involved in high-scoring games, with Lens averaging 2.9 and Toulouse 2.7 goals per match. Considering this data and the outcome of their previous encounter, we suggest betting on over 2.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In recent Ligue 1 matches, Lens have averaged 5.8 corners per game, while Toulouse have averaged 4.6. With Pierre Sage's side set to dominate and attack at home, we anticipate a high number of corners, recommending a bet on Lens to win the corner count.

    Editor's Prediction

    Despite a few setbacks recently, Lens continue their pursuit of PSG in the Ligue 1 title race, adding even more motivation to an already determined squad. Toulouse are coming off two consecutive defeats, and facing Lens is unlikely to be any easier. Based on the statistics from their previous head-to-head encounters, we suggest betting on a home win, with an expected scoreline of 2-1.

    Our choice
    Lens Win at odds of -182*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 April 2026, 06:45)

    Betting Tips: Lens - Toulouse

    Lens have won
    rc-lensin 13 of last 14 home games.
    rc-lensin 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Lens Win
    Bovada
    -200
    Lens have not lost
    rc-lensin 13 of last 14 home games.
    rc-lensin 12 of last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Lens will not lose
    Everygame
    -769
    Lens have scored
    rc-lensin 21 of last 22 games.
    rc-lensin 17 of last 18 games (Ligue 1).
    rc-lensin last 14 home games.
    rc-lensin last 13 home games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse have conceded
    toulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 games.
    toulouse-fcin 8 of last 9 away games.
    Lens will score goal
    -1000
    Toulouse have scored under 1.5 goals
    rc-lenstoulouse-fcin last 7 games against Lens (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse Total goals Under (1.5)
    -385
    View more facts

    Lens - Toulouse Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 14
    +10
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    15
    14
    Conceded
    22
    3.8
    Match goals average
    3.7
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats