Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 November 2026
📢 Once Caldas and Atlético Nacional go into the first leg of their Colombian Cup semi-final in excellent form. The hosts are unbeaten in seven matches, showing consistent results and solid defensive play. The visitors are also in good form, winning regularly and possessing strong attacking potential. Given the importance of the upcoming match, both sides will look to gain an advantage ahead of the second leg.
Head-to-Head
Once Caldas beat Atlético Nacional 1-0 in the Primera A on 01 May 2026. Despite having less possession, the hosts had more shots - 17 to 13 - although the teams’ expected goals were almost equal: 1.43 to 1.47.
Atletico Nacional have a clear advantage in 45 official meetings, with 25 wins to Once Caldas’ 11, while another nine matches ended in draws. The goal tally is also in their favour: 59-39.
Head-to-head statistics Once Caldas - Atletico Nacional
Seven matches unbeaten
Once Caldas beat Rionegro Águilas 1-0 at home in their most recent Primera A match on 7 November 2026. The winning margin remained narrow despite the home side's sizeable advantage in shots - 21-9, including 7-1 on target.
Once Caldas are in good form and are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two draws, while over ten games they have five wins, three draws and just two defeats. The hosts play a fairly cautious style: they average 1.1 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per game. Notably, Once Caldas’ last seven matches have all finished with under 2.5 goals, reflecting their solid defence and cautious approach.
Match Results: Once Caldas
Four wins in five matches
Four goals gave Atlético Nacional a 4-3 home win over Deportivo Pereira in their last Primera A match on 7 November 2026. The hosts had 73% possession and took 25 shots to their opponents’ 11, but conceded three goals.
Atlético Nacional are in excellent form: they have won four of their last five matches and drawn the other. Over their last ten games, the visitors have recorded seven wins, two draws and just one defeat. Their scoring record is also impressive - they average 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, suggesting a potent attack and a fairly reliable defence. However, in the first leg of the Colombian Cup semi-final, Atlético Nacional will face an opponent who rarely allows games to open up. So, despite their good current form, the visitors may find it difficult to make the most of their attacking potential.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional
Total Goals Prediction
In Once Caldas' last seven matches, the total goals have been under 2.5. Over their last ten home matches, they have scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.8, while Atlético Nacional have averaged 1.67 goals in their last ten away matches. However, their season-long scoring averages are higher: 2 goals for Once Caldas at home and 2 for Atlético Nacional away. Despite this caveat, the home side's current run provides grounds to back Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.77*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (13.26%), 0:1 (11.62%) and 1:0 (10.7%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely result.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers see no clear favourite, which is unsurprising given both teams' excellent form. Neither side appears keen to end their successful run, so caution could come to the fore. This is particularly true of Once Caldas, who prefer to defend solidly and are rarely involved in high-scoring matches. No more than two goals have been scored in the hosts' last seven matches. Atletico Nacional have a strong attack, but the visitors are also unlikely to take unnecessary risks in the first semi-final match. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Once Caldas - Atletico Nacional
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