Toulouse vs Lens Prediction
🔊 Can Lens solidify their status as the best away team in Ligue 1 after PSG? In the 33rd round, the "Blood and Gold" will travel to the Stadium de Toulouse. Both teams have long been out of the running for top positions, yet they still find other motivations to give their all against opponents. Therefore, we're in for an exciting match with all outcomes on the table.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past 10 seasons, these teams have faced each other only 5 times, with Lens claiming victory on four occasions and Toulouse winning just once. However, that lone win for the "Purples" came in the first round of the current season. Notably, in their recent encounters, the teams have only exchanged goals once. Considering Lens's dominant head-to-head record and their strong away performances throughout the season, our suggestion is to bet on Lens not to lose.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Toulouse Team Overview
🟣 Toulouse have finally ended their dreadful run in the league, snapping a seven-match winless streak and securing their first home victory in Ligue 1 for 2025. Before their clash with Rennes (2-1), the Violets were unable to win at home for seven consecutive matches (0-2-5). Despite this, the team has not been dragged into a relegation battle and can comfortably see out the season. On Saturday, they have the opportunity to delight their fans with a second consecutive win.
Match Results: Toulouse
Lens Team Overview
🔴 Lens have been impressively strong in away matches this season. Under William Still's guidance, they've secured 28 points from 16 road games, matching Marseille's tally and only trailing PSG, who have 37. In the previous round, Lens managed to defeat Lyon, despite spending most of the game in their own half with just 31% possession. They still found the net twice. As a result, Lens remain in 8th place and will continue their battle with Brest for this position.
Match Results: Lens
Latest news
Toulouse
📌 Left winger Yann Gbo, who had been silent for what felt like an eternity (his last goal came on September 29, 2024), scored his third goal in 29 matches.
🔝 Left midfielder Aron Dønnum netted the winning goal against Rennes with an assist from goalkeeper Guillaume Restes and earned a spot in the Team of the Week for Matchday 32.
❌ Key center-back Mark McKenzie returns from suspension. Reserve right winger Noah Edjuma continues to serve a ban for a straight red card, while main center-back Charlie Cresswell is also suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. The participation of first-choice left-back Gabriel Suazo and right winger Zakaria Aboukhlal (7+2 in 24 matches) remains doubtful. Midfielder Niklas Schmidt and center-back Rasmus Nicolaisen, both long-term absentees due to injury, will not be available.
Lens
🔗 Attacking midfielder Anass Zaroury, who had been silent since his arrival last summer, finally broke his goal drought after 26 matches. Having taken a total of 32 shots, including 10 on target, without finding the net, the 24-year-old midfielder rediscovered his scoring touch at the perfect moment for his team, securing victory with a stunning 30-meter strike.
🔝 Center-back Djuma Ba delivered an outstanding performance against Lyon and earned a spot in the Team of the Week for Matchday 32.
❌ Forward Florian Sotoca returns from suspension. However, the team will be without long-term injured forward Remy Labeau-Lascary, as well as left-back Joanner Chavez and first-choice right-back Ruben Aguilar for the upcoming match.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Bastien Dechepy, who has officiated 12 Ligue 1 matches this season. On average, he issues 4 yellow cards per game (2.3 to the home team and 1.7 to the away team).
The first-round match between Lens and Toulouse was quite rough, with a 5:2 yellow card count. In their home games, Toulouse receive an average of 3.9 yellow cards, while Lens see 4.4 "bookings" in their away matches. Considering these statistics, a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards seems reasonable.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Toulouse have conceded goals in 9 consecutive home matches, averaging 1.67 goals against per game. Meanwhile, Lens have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches this season, averaging 1.37 goals per game. These patterns suggest a bet on Lens to score over 1 goal is well-founded.
🚩 Corner Predictions
Toulouse consistently hold an advantage in corners at home, winning this stat in 7 of their last 8 matches. Lens, on the other hand, have frequently fallen short in corners during recent away games, losing out in 5 of their last 6 matches. In this context, backing Toulouse to win the corner count is logical. There's also an equally viable option with Toulouse over 4.5 individual corners, as they average 5.9 corners in their last 7 home games, while Lens concede exactly the same amount away.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their previous encounter, an active game with plenty of chances at both ends seems likely. Expect a fierce midfield battle with frequent fouls leading to numerous yellow cards being issued. Our top pick is a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards, which has landed in 8 of Lens' last 9 away matches in Ligue 1.
Betting Tips: Toulouse - Lens
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
