Toulouse vs Lens Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 How will the opening match of the 17th round in the French football championship conclude? On Friday, Toulouse host Lens, who currently top the league table. Both teams have performed well in recent rounds and are eager to extend their success. We anticipate a thrilling showdown, and you can find a prediction for the outcome in our analytical piece.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Matches between Toulouse and Lens typically aren't high-scoring affairs. Both teams tend to focus heavily on defense, deploying minimal resources in attack. In four of their last five encounters, there have been two or fewer goals scored.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    11%
    1 Win
    11%
    1 Draw
    78%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.78
    Both teams scored
    44%
    0.67
    Total average
    2.11
    3.67
    Corner
    6.44
    1.89
    Yellow cards
    2.56
    12.67
    Fouls
    12.44
    Last matches
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    02.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Lens
    Lens
    0.92
    1.91
    2
    8
    16
    16
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.92
    1.91
    2
    8
    16
    16
    2
    3
    10.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Lens
    Lens
    1.12
    0.77
    2
    1
    17
    12
    2
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.12
    0.77
    2
    1
    17
    12
    2
    5
    05.01.25
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1.33
    2.19
    7
    1
    20
    12
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    2.19
    7
    1
    20
    12
    5
    2
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse were in solid form before the Christmas break in the league, and a two-week hiatus was far from ideal for this team. Under the guidance of Carles Martinez, they secured two victories, climbing to eighth place in the standings. Notably, they are now just four points away from the European competition spots-a great motivation ahead of their clash with the league leaders.

    🔴 The last two rounds have been outstanding for Toulouse, with two clean-sheet victories against tough opponents. First, they defeated Strasbourg at home (1-0), and then thrashed Paris FC away (3-0). In the match against Strasbourg, they scored an early goal and spent the rest of the game defending with just 28% possession. Against Paris, Toulouse also played a counter-attacking game, executing lethal counterattacks.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
    17.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3.39
    0.27
    14
    1
    9
    15
    1
    1
    L
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    Lens Team Overview

    🔴 Lens continue to delight their fans with high-quality football and a strong position in the league standings. After 16 rounds, Pierre Sage's squad lead the French championship, holding a one-point advantage over their closest rivals, PSG. The "Blood and Gold" have won their last six Ligue 1 matches, and recently secured a victory in the Coupe de France Round of 64 against Feignies (3-1), advancing to the next stage of the tournament.

    🟡 In Ligue 1, Lens play with great efficiency, valuing even the slightest edge over their opponents and maintaining a winning score at all costs. In the latest round, Pierre Sage's men confidently defeated Nice at home (2-0), scoring in each half and showcasing excellent control of the game.

    Match Results: Lens

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    Lens
    Lens
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2.17
    1.83
    20
    8
    10
    11
    1
    4
    W
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.96
    1.13
    6
    3
    9
    3
    0
    1
    L
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.95
    0.66
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    ❌ Toulouse face several setbacks ahead of their match against Lens. Forward Franck Magri is away at the Africa Cup of Nations, having been called up to the Cameroon national team and already participating in one of the tournament's matches. Ilyas Azizi will miss out due to a knee injury-he has been in recovery for some time, so the coaching staff likely wasn't counting on him. Norwegian defender Warren Kamanzi is doubtful after picking up a minor injury during Toulouse's cup match.

    Lens

    ❌ Lens are missing one of their key defenders, Jonathan Gradit, who remains sidelined as he recovers from a hip injury sustained in November. It looks like he will be out for at least another month. Meanwhile, midfielder Mamadou Sangare has been called up to the Mali national team. He featured in three group stage matches of the Africa Cup of Nations and will continue to represent his country in the playoffs.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Mathieu Vernice. On average, over 84 games he has refereed, he hands out 4.19 yellow cards per match with 29 fouls. In the French league, over 16 matches, Toulouse averages 2.3 yellow cards per game, while Lens averages 1.9. Both teams have been receiving a significant number of cautions this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Toulouse's individual total in the French league is 1.5 goals per match on average, while Lens boasts 1.8. The scoring rate in matches involving these teams is as follows: the hosts average 2.7 goals, and the visitors 2.6. Considering their head-to-head statistics, we recommend betting on total goals under 3.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In sixteen French league matches, Toulouse averages 4.6 corners per game, while Lens averages 6.1 for the same period. Both teams frequently earn set-pieces from the corner and display slightly above-average league stats, so we suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are performing well in this phase of the championship. A key characteristic of these sides is their strong defensive focus and their ability to maintain even the slightest lead at all costs. In head-to-head matchups between Toulouse and Lens, goals have been scarce, so we suggest a bet on under 2.5 total goals. We believe a draw is a very likely outcome in this game - a 1-1 scoreline.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -115*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (31 December 2025, 09:02)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Lens

    Lens have won
    rc-lensin 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
    rc-lensin last 7 games.
    Lens Win
    Everygame
    +185
    Toulouse have not lost
    toulouse-fcin 7 of last 8 games.
    Toulouse will not lose
    Everygame
    -256
    Lens have not lost
    rc-lensin 12 of last 13 games.
    rc-lensin 11 of last 12 games (Ligue 1).
    Lens will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    toulouse-fcrc-lensin last 6 Toulouse games against Lens (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin 6 of last 7 Toulouse games.
    rc-lensin 12 of last 13 Lens games (Ligue 1).
    rc-lensin 9 of last 10 Lens away games (Ligue 1).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Lens Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +10
    24 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    24
    22
    Conceded
    14
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.8
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats