Lille vs Brest Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Lille earned their second-place finish through defensive solidity: Davide Ancelotti's side conceded just four goals in six matches. But on Tuesday in the Champions League, Arsenal scored three times in seven minutes against them. Next up, Brest will test that defence - a side who thrashed Angers 5-1 last weekend. Can Lille hold firm for a second match running?
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Lille have won four and Brest three, with six draws. Their February encounter ended 1-1, with both goals coming in the second half. Brest have scored against Lille in five consecutive meetings. However, in their last seven visits to Lille, one goal has been the most they have managed.
Head-to-head statistics Lille - Brest
Lille: Points Without Goals and a Setback in London
Lille are just a point behind league leaders Monaco, despite having scored only nine goals. Their points have come through clean sheets - they have kept four of them already. The most recent was against Le Havre, a 1-0 win in which Dylan Baqwa curled the ball into the far corner as early as the fifth minute, after which the initiative passed to the opposition: 17 shots to five. Ancelotti admitted he was satisfied with the three points but not with his team's play in possession.
In the Champions League against Arsenal, defending alone was not enough. The first half ended goalless - Ayase Ueda's goal was ruled out for offside. The defence then fell apart in the second half, and after two rounds Lille have zero points in the competition. The line-up was also unfamiliar: on the right, Goffi, making his Champions League debut, played the full match in place of Tiago Santos.
Match Results: Lille
Brest: Five Goals Against Angers and Not a Single Clean Sheet
Brest have scored 12 goals in the league - three more than Lille. Julien Laçhuer's side were at their best in the previous round, putting four past Angers before half-time. The opener came from striker Ludovic Ajorque, who headed in from a cross by captain Magnetti. That thrashing was Brest's first home win of the season. With eight points, they sit seventh, five behind Lille.
The other side of the picture is their defence. Brest have yet to keep a clean sheet in this season's Ligue 1, having conceded in every round. Their most painful result came at Auxerre, where Laçhuer's side led at half-time but conceded twice and came away with nothing. Even a heavily beaten Angers managed to reply with a goal on 47 minutes.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Latest news
Lille
❓ Tiago Santos is set for a lengthy spell on the sidelines: according to the club as of 12 October, the defender has a ruptured cruciate ligament. Ethan Mbappé is recovering from a foot injury picked up during the international break and needs another one to two weeks. Hamza Ighamane continues to work on individual rehabilitation.
Stade Brest
❓ The club reported no new injuries following the match against Angers. Raphaël Le Gouix broke his fibula in training at the end of September and will be out at least until the end of the year.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Lille: Ozer - Goffi, Ngoy, Alexsandro, Perraud - Bentaleb, Andre - Bakwa, Mukau, Haraldsson - Ueda.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Brest: Selvik - Lala, Tousart, Lloris, Locko - Chotard, Magnetti - Balde, Doumbia, Mboup - Ajorque.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Lille have failed to score more than two goals in 11 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. At home, including European fixtures, it has happened only once in a run of 18. And no side has scored more than two goals against Brest in this league campaign. We expect Lille to manage two at most. The bet is Lille Team Total Goals - Under 2.5.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Lille have won 29 corners across their last ten official matches, while their opponents have won 51. At home, Lille have taken more than five corners only once in a run of 11. Even against Le Havre, who played the last half-hour with ten men, Lille managed just four. We are not expecting more than five corners from Lille on Saturday. The bet is Lille Team Total Corners - Under 5.5.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In seven consecutive Lille matches, referees have shown no more than four yellow cards. Across their last ten games, the hosts have collected 16 bookings and their opponents 17. Brest have been even more disciplined, picking up just nine cards over the same period. We expect a maximum of four yellows between the two sides. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Brest matches almost always produce goals at both ends: in 7 of their last 8 games, Lachuer's side both scored and conceded. Their goal has been kept intact in just one of their previous 18 away matches. Brest have also scored against Lille in five consecutive head-to-head meetings. So on Saturday we expect both keepers to be beaten. We see Lille winning by a single goal. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Lille - Stade Brest
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