Brest vs Lille Prediction 17 August 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Brest triumph over Lille at the Stade Francis-Le Blé? It's a compelling question, and we'll soon find out the answer as these two sides clash in the opening round of the 2025/26 Ligue 1 season. Let's delve into the current form of both teams and make a well-founded prediction for this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams face off quite frequently, at least twice each season. Both sides have their share of victories. However, here's an intriguing fact we've noted: in the last four encounters at Brest's ground, the total goals have consistently been low, with the teams scoring no more than 2 goals.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    23%
    3 Wins
    46%
    6 Draws
    31%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.31
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.15
    Total average
    1.15
    2.69
    Corner
    7
    1.77
    Yellow cards
    1.31
    11.23
    Fouls
    11.38
    Last matches
    14.02.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.67
    0.83
    13
    1
    6
    12
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.67
    0.83
    13
    1
    6
    12
    0
    1
    17.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Lille
    Lille
    1.78
    1.36
    2
    2
    11
    13
    2
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.78
    1.36
    2
    2
    11
    13
    2
    1
    10.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Lille
    Lille
    1.89
    1.84
    3
    7
    6
    14
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.89
    1.84
    3
    7
    6
    14
    1
    1
    06.12.24
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    2.53
    0.67
    2
    1
    13
    13
    1
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.53
    0.67
    2
    1
    13
    13
    1
    1
    17.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Lille
    Lille
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    11
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    9
    11
    3
    0
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    Stade Brest Team Overview

    🔴 Brest finished last season in 9th place in the French championship, trailing the European competition spots by 7 points. This season, the club has set ambitious goals-to break into the top 7 and secure a spot in international tournaments next year. The experienced coach Eric Roy is well-equipped to lead his squad toward this target.

    ⚪ In preparation for the new season, Brest played 5 friendly matches. The coaching staff deemed this number of friendlies sufficient. The "Pirates" won four out of five matches, with only the last game against Sassuolo ending in a draw (1-1). Notably, Eric Roy's team secured an impressive victory in early August against one of the giants of Italian football, Napoli, with a 2-1 scoreline. Brest's forward Ludovic Ajorque stood out with a brace in that match.

    Match Results: Stade Brest

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Angers
    Angers
    1.65
    0.48
    6
    3
    9
    8
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.65
    0.48
    6
    3
    9
    8
    1
    1
    D
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    3.07
    1.34
    5
    4
    10
    11
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    3.07
    1.34
    5
    4
    10
    11
    0
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    L
    24.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Lens
    Lens
    0.36
    3.95
    0
    6
    7
    11
    2
    3
    3
    3
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0.36
    3.95
    0
    6
    7
    11
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Lille Team Overview

    🔵 Lille finished in the top five of Ligue 1 last season, falling just one point short of third place. Securing the bronze medals in the French championship would have guaranteed them a spot in the Champions League, but they will have to settle for the Europa League instead. During the off-season, Bruno Génésio's squad played six friendlies, securing three victories. Notably, they triumphed over Venezia with a 3-0 scoreline, where Olivier Giroud scored twice.

    🔴 In their pre-season defeats before the start of the French championship, Lille faced tough opponents from Serie A, the Bundesliga, and the Premier League. None of their losses were by more than a single goal. Bruno Génésio's men narrowly lost 3-2 to both Como and Borussia Dortmund, and they were edged out by West Ham only in a penalty shootout (1-2).

    Match Results: Lille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Havre
    Havre
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    W
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Nice
    Nice
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    D
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    Latest news

    Stade Brest

    📄 Brest have secured the loan of AS Monaco goalkeeper Radosław Majecki, who might make his debut in the team's first Ligue 1 match. Last season, the Polish keeper featured in 15 Ligue 1 games, achieving three clean sheets.

    ❌ Defender Justin Buru is doubtful for the clash against Lille as he is yet to fully recover from a leg injury.

    Lille

    📄 During the offseason, Lille bolstered their ranks with the addition of the legendary French forward Olivier Giroud. Previously playing for Los Angeles, he left the club as a free agent this summer. It's worth noting that Giroud ranks third in the all-time appearances for the French national team (137), sharing this mark with Antoine Griezmann.

    ❌ In the match against Brest, Ethan Mbappe will be sidelined due to a hamstring injury. Algerian defender Aissa Mandi remains doubtful for the game as he is still recovering from an injury.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Clément Turpin. Over the span of his last 100 matches, he averages just 3.15 yellow cards per game, with 23 fouls. Brest have averaged 2.8 yellow cards in their last 10 games, while Toulouse average 1.9. Eric Roy's team often commits fouls, as seen in recent friendlies, making a bet on Brest to win the yellow card count a reasonable choice.

    ⚽️ Goal Predictions

    In every friendly match this preseason, both Brest and Lille have found the back of the net. Given their intense preparation and solid attacking play, we suggest placing a bet on “both teams to score”.

    🚩 Corner Predictions

    Over a stretch of 10 matches, both teams have similar corner averages: 4.3 for Brest and 4.9 for Lille. A bet on under 11.5 corners has been successful in Brest's last 4 games and in 8 out of Lille's last 10. We recommend following this trend and taking under 11.5 total corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    Both teams had a solid preseason, showcasing a commendable level of football. However, it's important to remember that friendlies with numerous substitutions differ significantly from official matches, particularly in terms of the scoreline, which tends to be more modest. Considering that these opponents usually don't produce high-scoring games on Brest's turf, we predict a 1-1 draw and suggest a bet on under 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2,5) at odds of -108*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 August 2025, 08:04)

    Betting Tips: Stade Brest - Lille

    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    stade-brestlille-oscin 8 of last 9 Stade Brest games against Lille (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscin 13 of last 14 Lille away games.
    lille-oscin 11 of last 12 Lille games.
    lille-oscin 9 of last 10 Lille games (Ligue 1).
    in 6 of last 7 Clement Turpin games (in the Ligue 1).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    stade-brestin 12 of last 14 Stade Brest home games.
    stade-brestin 7 of last 8 Stade Brest games (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscin 10 of last 11 Lille away games.
    lille-oscin last 7 Lille games (Ligue 1).
    in 7 of last 8 Clement Turpin games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Lille have scored:
    lille-oscin 21 of last 23 games.
    Lille will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    Stade Brest have scored:
    stade-brestin 10 of last 11 home games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Brest will score goal
    Everygame
    -333
    View more facts

    Brest - Lille Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539
    13.
    Angers
    Angers
    34991629-4836

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 21
    -10
    +7
    14 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    14
    21
    Conceded
    7
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    2.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats