Braga vs Estrela Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Braga head into their clash with Estrela sitting fourth in the table, having delivered a much more consistent campaign. Estrela, on the other hand, are fighting for survival-currently 15th and having lost four of their last five matches. With everything on the line in this final round, Estrela’s motivation will be sky-high. The gap between the hosts’ attacking firepower and the visitors’ struggles is especially evident given their recent form.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides took place on 03 January 2026 and ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that encounter (Estrela played at home):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 5 vs 7;
- Fouls: 14 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Braga and Estrela:
- 5 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 3 wins, the visitors none, with 2 draws;
- Goals scored: 12 for Braga, 6 for Estrela;
- Average first-half goals: 0.6; average second-half goals: 3;
- Average total goals per match: 3.6.
Head-to-head statistics Braga - Estrela
Braga Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Benfica hosting Braga. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Braga vs Benfica):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls: 11 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 8.
Braga remain firmly in the top four this season, striking a balance between attacking flair and defensive lapses. They average 1.88 goals per match, but their back line is far from watertight-Braga concede 1.03 goals per game on the season, a figure that rises to 1.4 over their last ten outings. Still, their attacking threat is evident even against teams near the bottom of the table, as shown by a run of five consecutive matches where both sides found the net. This profile suggests Braga are likely to be involved in high-scoring encounters, regardless of the opponent’s standing.
Match Results: Braga
Estrela Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Estrela away from home. The contest ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Estrela vs Famalicão:
- Possession: 39% vs 61%;
- Corners: 3 vs 10;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Estrela are going through a tough stretch as they fight to stay in the league, and their recent form reflects that instability. Over their last five matches, they have suffered four defeats and managed just one draw, with only a single win in their previous ten outings. On average, Estrela score one goal per game across those ten fixtures, while conceding 1.3 times per match. Their main vulnerability lies in defence: season-long stats show they allow 1.64 goals per game, making it difficult to pick up points even against teams outside the top tier. Still, despite the crisis, their attack occasionally finds a way to capitalize on chances.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: Braga vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 16 vs 6;
- win percentage: 48% vs 18%;
- losses: 7 vs 16;
- draws: 10 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Estrela won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.4, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Braga vs Estrela
- average total in the tournament: 2.91 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.88 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.09 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.55;
- Braga: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 0.94;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.4) vs 1 (away - 0.6).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 12.2 (7.8 - for home team and 4.4 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 13 (9 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Braga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.27; at home field - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 4.6.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.39, away - 3.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 5.2.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Braga home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Braga vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Braga at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Braga at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 2 (40%).
- Braga have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/297, 10.1%), 1:1 (30/297, 10.1%);
- Braga at home most often finish matches: 2:2 (4/16, 25%);
- Estrela away most often play: 0:0 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.23% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 10.43% (odds 7)
1:1 - 10.28% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match scenario suggests we’re likely to see goals at both ends. Braga have been consistent going forward but remain vulnerable at the back, as evidenced by their run of five consecutive games where both teams have scored. Estrela’s defence has struggled all season, but they still manage to create chances even under pressure in the standings. The visitors’ need for points in their fight for survival means they can’t afford to sit back-they’ll have to take risks. Taking all this into account, our main prediction is both teams to score.No comments
Betting Tips: Braga - Estrela
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in 6 of last 7 Gustavo Fernandes Correia games.in last 5 games against Estrela (Primeira Liga).in 7 of last 8 home games (Primeira Liga).in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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