Porto vs Arouca Prediction 23 August 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 In this Primeira Liga matchday 3 fixture, Porto host Arouca. The home side have a considerably stronger squad. The Dragons are capable of controlling the match for the full 90 minutes and converting that dominance into a steady stream of chances. A heavy defeat for Arouca is not out of the question.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two sides last met in late February this year, with Porto winning 3-1. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the hosts hold a commanding advantage, leading 4-1 in wins.

    Head-to-head statistics Porto - Arouca

    86%
    12 Wins
    7%
    1 Draw
    7%
    1 Win
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    3.29
    Both teams scored
    29%
    2.86
    Total average
    0.43
    1.71
    Yellow cards
    2.21
    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    27.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    3.11
    0.32
    5
    1
    13
    12
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    3.11
    0.32
    5
    1
    13
    12
    0
    2
    29.09.25
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Porto
    Porto
    1
    0.74
    2.9
    5
    8
    13
    8
    5
    1
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.74
    2.9
    5
    8
    13
    8
    5
    1
    01.03.25
    Liga Portugal
    FC Arouca
    FC Arouca
    FC Porto
    FC Porto
    0.56
    1.52
    4
    2
    13
    12
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.56
    1.52
    4
    2
    13
    12
    2
    2
    29.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    17
    8
    2
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    17
    8
    2
    2
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    Porto Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Rio Ave, away team - Porto). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Porto vs Rio Ave):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 10 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    Porto are in decent form right now. Unlike some of Portugal's other big clubs, they have a perfect record so far - beating Alverca 2-0 and then Rio Ave 2-0, having also won the national Super Cup beforehand. Their squad is in good shape, and the team is gradually building fitness, so each match should bring at least some improvement. That applies to the attack in particular. According to advanced xG statistics, they are already generating chances worth around two goals per game - and that figure may be even higher now.

    Match Results: Porto

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    Porto
    Porto
    0.78
    1.99
    6
    6
    1
    10
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.78
    1.99
    6
    6
    1
    10
    0
    0
    W
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Alverca
    Alverca
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    W
    01.08.26
    Super Cup
    Porto
    Porto
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    9
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    9
    3
    3
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Porto
    Porto
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    -
    -
    4
    2
    18
    9
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    18
    9
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Arouca Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Arouca, away - Moreirense). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.

    Here are the match stats (Arouca vs Moreirense):

    • ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    Arouca have made a surprising start to the season, winning both of their opening matches to sit among the early pacesetters. They beat Vitória Guimarães 1-0, then hammered Moreirense 4-0. That said, their position at the top is more a product of circumstance than genuine quality. The early fixture list was kind to them, and their pre-season form turned out to be better than expected. Against one of Portuguese football's biggest clubs, things will look very different. Arouca will sit deep and defend in numbers - they simply don't have the resources to match Porto on equal terms.

    Match Results: Arouca

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lusitania
    Lusitania
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Arouca
    Arouca
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on corners

    Porto: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.5; at home field - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 6.33.

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.6.
    👉Prediction: Corners handicap -4 (odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Porto vs Arouca

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Porto at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Arouca away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Porto at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for Arouca away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.58)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Porto are the clear favourites here. They are capable of dominating throughout, and that should manifest not just in possession but in sustained pressure around the opposition box. The hosts have some of the most talented players in the league, which is not something Arouca can claim. Our editorial team believes the difference in class will show quickly. The match could well end 3-0. We're backing Porto Team Total - Over 2.5 goals.
    Porto Total goals Over (2,5)
    Published: 22/08/2026, 07:46
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
    86
    4
    85
    175 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Porto - Arouca

    Porto have won:
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 6 of last 7 home games against Arouca.
    fc-porto-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Porto Win
    Bovada
    -417
    Arouca have lost the 2nd half:
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 6 of last 7 away games against Porto.
    2nd Half Porto Win
    Everygame
    -189
    Porto have not lost:
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 12 of last 13 games against Arouca.
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 11 of last 12 games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain last 7 home games against Arouca.
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain last 6 home games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1in last 19 home games.
    fc-porto-1in 15 of last 16 games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Porto will not lose
    Everygame
    -2000
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 7 of last 8 Porto games against Arouca.
    fc-porto-1fc-aroucain 6 of last 7 Porto games against Arouca (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1in last 32 Porto games.
    fc-porto-1in last 30 Porto games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-porto-1in last 15 Porto home games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucain 13 of last 14 Arouca games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucain 12 of last 13 Arouca away games (Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -500
    View more facts

    Porto - Arouca Table position

    Liga Portugal 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Porto
    Porto
    33006-09
    2.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    32108-57
    3.
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    32105-37
    4.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    32104-27
    5.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    32015-26
    6.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    21109-24

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    8 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 4
    +10
    +7
    18 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    8
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draw
    1
    1
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    18
    4
    Conceded
    11
    1.8
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    2
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats