Vitoria vs Botafogo Prediction 16 August 2026
🔊 In round 23 of the Brazilian Série A, Vitória host Botafogo at Barradão. The hosts are having a season in the lower half of the table and are counting particularly on home matches, while Botafogo have so far been unable to find consistency and come into this match after a heavy defeat to Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana. The freshness factor could prove key here: Vitória had the chance to prepare for the game without any additional workload, while the visitors, following their collapse in Cusco, must quickly refocus on the league.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 July 2026 and ended 0-0. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Botafogo):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Vitória and Botafogo:
- 31 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 12, draws - 11;
- goals - 36 vs 41;
- average 1st half total - 1.13, 2nd half - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.48.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Botafogo
Vitoria Team Overview
Vitória come into this match against Botafogo in a difficult position in the table, but home advantage remains a serious factor for the team. Barradão has genuinely helped the hosts this season: 11 wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 13 matches across all competitions in Salvador.
However, Jair Ventura's side have lost their last three league rounds with a combined score of 0-8. One important detail is that in the first half of the season Vitória drew with Botafogo - 0-0 - and that match was played at the Rio de Janeiro club's ground. Now the "lions of Barra" will have the advantage of their own stadium.
For the hosts, it is particularly important not to let Botafogo score an early goal. If Vitória can stay compact and force their opponents into prolonged positional attacking, the pressure from the stands could gradually play its part. Another plus is the lack of a heavy workload immediately before this match. Unlike Botafogo, Vitória did not play a demanding match in international competition during the week. So physically the hosts should look fresher.
Match Results: Vitoria
Botafogo FR Team Overview
Botafogo are going through a very difficult spell. In the league, they drew 1:1 with Fluminense in the previous round, then travelled to Peru for the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana round of 16. The trip ended in a complete disaster - Cienciano thrashed the Brazilians 6:1.
The defeat is particularly painful not just because of the scoreline. Botafogo had a terrible first half, conceding four goals, and have now virtually lost any chance of progressing in the tournament. The second leg takes place after the match against Vitória, so the coaching staff have very little time to get the squad back on track physically and mentally.
The league situation is far from ideal either. In their last ten matches, Botafogo have managed just three wins, five draws and two defeats, and their scoring has been fairly modest - 13 goals over that run. In Salvador, Botafogo will have to play against a side that traditionally enjoys strong support at Barradão, coming straight off an emotionally devastating match in Cusco. As for head-to-head meetings between Vitória and Botafogo, the under tends to come in: 8 of the last 9 meetings ended with a total of under 2.5 goals.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.16, away side - 1.32;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.48;
- both teams scored: all time - 18 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Average total statistics: Vitoria vs Botafogo
- in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.24;
- goals scored: 1 vs 1.67;
- in the 1st half: 0.36 vs 0.76;
- in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.9;
- Vitoria: at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Botafogo: away in the tournament - 1.55;
- last 10 matches: 1 (at home - 1.75) vs 1.6 (away - 1.67).
- Botafogo score under 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with this team.
Corners Prediction
Vitória: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.09; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 5.
Botafogo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4, away - 3.18;
- last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; away - 2.83.
- Vitória have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with this opponent (Série A).
- Vitória have taken fewer than 5.5 corners at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Série A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 31;
- both teams scored all time - 18 times;
- at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Stats: Vitória vs Botafogo
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 21;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 8 vs 16;
- Vitória: BTTS at home - 2 (20%);
- Botafogo: BTTS away - 9 (82%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 3 vs 7;
- Vitória: BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Botafogo: BTTS away - 4 (67%).
Exact Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/215, 15.8%);
- Vitória at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (4/10, 40%);
- Botafogo away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.19% (odds 6)
2:1 - 8.79% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 8.25% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Botafogo are the stronger side on paper, but right now the team are in an extremely uncomfortable position following the heavy defeat to Cienciano. The long flight, a gruelling match at altitude and the emotional blow could seriously affect the visitors. Vitória, meanwhile, have had more time to recover and will play at home. So I expect a cautious match with few chances and an advantage for the hosts. My prediction is total under 2.5 goals. The likely result is a Vitória win, 1:0.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Botafogo FR
in 8 of last 9 home games.
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in last 4 games against Botafogo FR (Serie A).in 12 of last 13 home games.in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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