Botafogo vs Vitoria Prediction 17 July 2025
🔊 On Wednesday, Botafogo host Vitória in the 14th round of Brazil's Serie A. For the home side, a spot in the Copa Libertadores is within reach, while for the visitors, every upcoming match could be crucial to saving their season. The game promises to be intense-Botafogo arrive prepared, and the underdogs are set for a battle.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 November 2024 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Botafogo were the home side):
- possession: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Botafogo and Vitoria:
- 28 matches played;
- home wins - 12, away wins - 8, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 41 to 36;
- average goals in the first half - 1.25, in the second half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.75.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Vitoria
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 13th round of the Brazilian Serie A, featuring Vasco da Gama at home against Botafogo. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
⭐ "The Lone Star" currently sit in 6th place with 21 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). The team boasts a decent scoring record with 16 goals (averaging 1.33 per game) and one of the league's most reliable defenses, conceding just 7 goals (0.58 per match). ⚫ Their home record is particularly impressive: Botafogo remain unbeaten on their own turf. They've netted 13 goals in 5 games (an average of 2.6) while conceding just around 0.8. The team plays confidently with the support of their fans and consistently picks up points. A victory in this match could see them climb to 5th place and solidify their status as top-four contenders. However, they aim for more: they will fight until the end of the championship to defend their title as last year's champions.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Vitoria Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on during the 13th round of Brazil's Serie A, where they faced Internacional away. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game stats (Vitória vs Internacional):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
🦁 "Lions of Barra" currently sit in 18th place with 11 points after 13 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). The team has scored just 10 goals (averaging less than one per game at 0.77) while conceding 15 goals (approximately 1.15 per match).
🔴 The most concerning statistic is their away performance: 7 matches without a win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game. The team plays very cautiously, but struggles to mount effective attacks. An unexpected victory against Vitoria could lift them to around the 14th or 15th position, providing a crucial boost in their fight for survival. However, this would require an almost flawless performance against the favorites.
Match Results: Vitoria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins for the home team - 5; for the away team - 2; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.25;
- Today's home team averages 0.71 goals, while the visitors average 0.54.
First Half Stats: Botafogo (home) vs Vitória (away)
- Tournament matches played: 5 vs 7;
- Wins: 4 (80%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (20%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 0.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 1;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 5 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.1) vs 0.4 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.3).
- Botafogo have won the first half at home in their last 7 matches consecutively.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 8, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Vitória
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- Wins: 6 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 15%;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Vitória cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in six consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Vitória cover a +1.5 handicap in 21 of their last 22 matches (Serie A).
- Vitória cover a +1.5 handicap in 19 consecutive matches.
- Vitória cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in 10 of their last 11 matches (Serie A).
- Vitória cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in nine consecutive matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The current home team averages - 1.46 goals, visitors - 1.29;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.75;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 18 times; at the home team's venue - 8 times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Vitória
- Average total in the tournament: 1.92 vs 1.92;
- Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.77;
- First-half average total: 0.5 vs 0.08;
- Second-half average total: 0.83 vs 0.69;
- Botafogo: average home total in the tournament - 2.6;
- Vitória: average away total in the tournament - 0.57;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 2) vs 0.5 (away - 0.4).
- Total over 1.5 goals hit in nine of the last ten head-to-head matches at the home team's venue (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals hit in 18 of Botafogo's last 19 home matches.
- Total over 1.5 goals hit in seven consecutive home matches for Botafogo (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.42; at home - 5.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; at home - 3.33.
Vitória: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.08, away - 4.71;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.8; away - 5.6.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.22 (1.61 for the home team and 1.61 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home venue - 3 (1.69 for the home team and 1.31 for the visitors).
Botafogo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.25; at home - 1.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 1.67.
Vitória: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.54, away - 3.14;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- At the home team's venue - eight times.
Statistics: Botafogo vs Vitória
- Total matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 7;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - two times (40%);
- BTTS for Vitória away - three times (43%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: two vs three;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - two times (67%);
- BTTS for Vitória away - one time (20%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Botafogo have dominated their encounters with Vitória, remaining unbeaten in the last 8 meetings (5 wins, 3 draws). The team is in fine form, consistently performing well at home and effectively stifling opponents' attacks. Meanwhile, Vitória struggle on the road, scoring infrequently. The disparity in class, form, and statistics is evident. Botafogo are on an upward trajectory, playing at home and scoring prolifically, while Vitória continue to falter and are unlikely to spring a surprise. Our prediction: Botafogo to win with a -1 handicap. We anticipate a composed yet confident victory for the hosts as they secure three points without engaging in a goal fest.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Vitoria
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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