Botafogo vs Vitoria Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 Botafogo and Vitória meet in a rescheduled round 4 fixture of the Brazilian championship at the Nilton Santos stadium in Rio de Janeiro. Both clubs have plenty riding on this one in the race for the top half of the table - Botafogo sit ninth, two places above their opponents, but the two sides are level on points. Both come into the match off the back of a positive return to the season, though the hosts are clear favourites here.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between the two sides took place on 09 November 2025 and ended 0-0. Here's how the stats looked in that match (Vitoria were the home side):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 3.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Botafogo and Vitória:
- 30 matches played;
- home wins: 12, away wins: 8, draws: 10;
- goals: 41 vs 36;
- average first-half total: 1.17, second-half: 1.4;
- average match total: 2.57.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Vitoria
Botafogo FR Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Série A (Botafogo at home, Santos away). The final score was 2-1.
Match stats (Botafogo vs Santos):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 9.
After the World Cup break, Franklim Carvalho's side returned to action with a home win over Santos (2-1). The Rio club is still competing on multiple fronts. After 18 rounds of Série A they sit on 25 points - seven wins, four draws, seven defeats - and are still in the Copa Sudamericana, though they went out of the Copa do Brasil, losing to Chapecoense on aggregate (1-0, 0-2).
At home, Botafogo are noticeably more comfortable. They've won their last three matches at Nilton Santos, but conceded in every one of them. Both Teams To Score - Yes has landed in 14 straight Série A matches for the club going back to last season. Vitória aren't the easiest opponents for the hosts either: five of their last six league meetings at this ground ended in a draw.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Vitoria Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Série A (Vitória at home, Vasco da Gama away). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Vitória vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Under Jairo Ventura, the club from Salvador also made a solid start to the second half of the season, edging Vasco da Gama 1-0 at home. After 18 rounds, Vitória sit on 25 points too - seven wins, four draws, seven losses - but trail Botafogo on goal difference. Before the second half of the season got underway, Vitória won the Copa do Nordeste, beating Fortaleza across two legs (2-1, 1-0). That means the Leões da Barra arrive in Rio on the back of three straight wins.
In Série A, their away form is poor - nine trips, no wins, three draws and six defeats. But there's something to be said for their character: in 11 of their last 12 matches, Ventura's side have scored after the break. Vitória aren't the most comfortable opponent for Botafogo, and writing them off completely would be a mistake.
Match Results: Vitoria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 30;
- first-half wins for the home side - 5; for the away side - 2; draws - 7;
- average first-half total: 1.17;
- today's hosts average 0.67 goals in the first half, the visitors - 0.5.
First-half stats: Botafogo (home) vs Vitoria (away)
- matches played in the competition: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 6 (66.67%);
- draws: 2 (25%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- average goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.56;
- average goals conceded: 0.63 vs 1.33.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 3;
- average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Botafogo have scored in the first half in 5 consecutive home matches.
- Vitoria have conceded in the first half away in 10 of their last 11 matches (Série A).
- Vitoria have conceded in the first half away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played: 30;
- home wins: 12, away wins: 8, draws: 10.
Stats: Botafogo vs Vitoria
- matches in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win rate: 39% vs 39%;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 handicap away in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides.
- Vitoria have covered the +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average totals):
- home team: 1.37, away team: 1.2;
- in head-to-head matches: 2.57;
- both teams scored: all time: 18 times; at the home team's ground: 8 times.
Average total stats: Botafogo vs Vitoria
- in the tournament: 3.61 vs 2.61;
- goals scored: 1.83 vs 1.22;
- 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.44;
- 2nd half: 1.06 vs 0.78;
- Botafogo: at home in the tournament: 2.13;
- Vitoria: away in the tournament: 0.78;
- last 10 matches: 1.7 (home: 2) vs 2.2 (away: 1.8).
- Botafogo have conceded in 17 consecutive matches (Série A).
- Botafogo have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Botafogo have conceded at home in 7 consecutive matches (Série A).
- Vitoria have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Vitoria have scored away in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played: 30;
- both teams scored all time: 18 times;
- at the home team's ground: 8 times.
Stats: Botafogo vs Vitoria
- played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 15 vs 8;
- Botafogo: BTTS at home: 6 (75%);
- Vitoria: BTTS away: 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- Botafogo: BTTS at home: 4 (100%);
- Vitoria: BTTS away: 4 (80%).
- Botafogo have scored and conceded in 14 consecutive matches (Série A).
- Botafogo have scored and conceded at home in 6 consecutive matches (Série A).
- Vitoria have scored and conceded away in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results (current season):
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/183, 15.3%);
- Botafogo's most common home result: 2:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Vitoria's most common away results: 1:1, 2:0, 3:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.34% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.52% (odds 8)
1:0 - 7.34% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Botafogo look like the favourites thanks to their higher-quality squad, confident performances at home and more reliable defensive structure. Vitória are capable of making life difficult for their opponents due to their fighting spirit and strong current form, but they are still without an away win in the current league campaign. At the Nilton Santos Stadium, the hosts should control possession and initiative for most of the match. At the same time, Botafogo have traditionally found it difficult in home games against Vitória, so the most logical option appears to be the both teams to score (yes) bet. Predicted score - 2:1 in favour of the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Vitoria
in 6 of last 7 home games against Vitoria.
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in 6 of last 7 games.in last 6 home games against Vitoria (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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