Como vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 February 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Como and Fiorentina in the 25th round of Serie A? The teams are tackling completely opposite objectives this season: the Larians are battling for European qualification spots, while La Viola are desperately trying to maintain their top-flight status. The motivation for both sides is crystal clear, and each will do everything possible to ensure the match at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia swings in their favor.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Como and Fiorentina in recent years includes just five matches, with a slight edge going to the "Larians," who have secured three victories, while the "Violas" have triumphed twice. Their most recent encounter took place on January 27 in the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia, where Como convincingly defeated their opponents 3-1. Similarly, in the first round of the league, Como emerged victorious with a 2-1 win.
Head-to-head statistics Como - Fiorentina
Como Team Overview
🔵 Como are having a truly impressive season. They sit sixth in the standings with 41 points, just five points shy of the top-four zone. Moreover, they have a game in hand-a match against Milan, initially scheduled for February 8 in Australia, has been rescheduled to February 18 and will take place in Italy.
⚪ Recent results only affirm the team's good form. In their last five matches across all competitions, Como have secured four positive outcomes. The streak could have been flawless if they had managed to find the net against Atalanta (0-0), as they generated an impressive 4.56 xG but failed to capitalize on their dominance in play and numbers. However, Fabregas' men recently booked a spot in the Coppa Italia semi-finals, overcoming Napoli away (1-1 in regular time, 7-6 on penalties).
Match Results: Como
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina are enduring a challenging season. After 24 rounds, they find themselves in 18th place with just 18 points, trailing the safety of 17th place by three points. Recent results highlight their struggles: the "Viola" have failed to secure a win in their last four matches across all competitions (three losses and one draw), and they were knocked out of the Coppa Italia, losing 1-3 at home to Como.
⚪ In the previous round on February 7, Fiorentina had a chance to lift their fans' spirits in a match against Torino. The team appeared well-organized and effective in attack, yet once again failed to clinch victory, conceding a heartbreaking goal in the 90+4th minute (2-2). In their current predicament, every point is crucial, and the two points dropped could prove costly by season's end.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Como
📣 After the match against Napoli, Como's head coach Cesc Fabregas hailed the victory as historic for the club: "There's no denying it - this is a small piece of history for Como. We dedicate the win to the city and the fans. I'm proud of the boys, but we need to stay humble: I've never won a trophy just by reaching the semifinals." On the team's character: "Conte wanted to win this tournament, but we managed to hold our ground and compete. I liked the team's attitude. The penalties were tough today, but the guys kept their composure."
🚫 Como still have the same players on their injury list. Eduardo Goldaniga's participation is doubtful due to a heel injury. Assane Diao won't be able to return until the end of February because of a muscle injury.
Fiorentina
📣 Following a 2-2 draw with Torino, Fiorentina head coach Paolo Vanoli expressed his frustration over recurring mistakes: "The desire to secure a result at all costs sometimes leads to certain decisions. What irritates me most is the repetition of the same errors. We deserved to win today, but it didn't happen-we need to fight until the end." On the reasons behind the issues: "It's a bit of everything: there are structural shortcomings, and sometimes it's a lack of focus. The guys are trying, we're working on set pieces. We need a positive mindset and more resilience in crucial moments."
🚫 Fiorentina also face some minor squad issues. Daniele Rugani will be sidelined until the end of February due to a calf injury. Albert Gudmundsson is expected to return by early March after an ankle injury. The timeline for Tariq Lamptey's recovery from a knee injury remains uncertain.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Fiorentina tend to lose focus after the break, conceding at least one goal in the second half in 14 of their last 15 matches. Como, on the other hand, have shown prowess in front of the goal and have no significant issues in finishing their attacks. Therefore, a Como goal in the second half seems like a reasonable prediction.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Recent matches involving Como typically feature a low number of corners - the total under 8.5 corners has hit in 6 of their last 7 Serie A games. Notably, in their recent cup encounter, the two sides combined for just seven corners (6:1 in favor of the "Larians"). Thus, we see no grounds to expect a sudden surge in corners in the upcoming match.
Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Como are the favorites for the upcoming clash, and it's hard to disagree with that assessment. This season, the "Larians" have been winning hearts with their fearless approach, even against top clubs, ranking among the highest-scoring teams in the league (37 goals, fourth in Serie A) while maintaining a solid defense (only 16 goals conceded, second only to Roma). The hosts are in excellent form, unlike Fiorentina, who struggle to pick up points on the road (just eight points away). Therefore, our main bet is on a Como victory. We're predicting a scoreline of 2-0 on the board.
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Betting Tips: Como - Fiorentina
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