Guatemala vs Canada Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
π The CONCACAF Nations League quarter-final pits Guatemala against Canada for a place in the final stage of the tournament. The hosts have reached this stage for the first time in their history and now intend to prove they can compete with the regionβs strongest teams. Canada, meanwhile, qualified directly for the quarter-finals thanks to their high ranking and are looking to confirm their status. The first leg in Guatemala could be decisive for the tie: will the hosts take their chance, or will the visitors establish an advantage ahead of the return leg?
Guatemalans can bite back
π The teams last met in January this year, when Canada won by a single goal. Before that, Guatemala beat Canada on penalties in the Gold Cup, to everyone's surprise.
Head-to-head statistics Guatemala - Canada
Seven points after four rounds
Guatemala had a successful group stage in the 2026/27 CONCACAF Nations League. After four matches, they finished first in Group B of League A with seven points. Guatemala recorded two wins, one draw and one defeat, with a goal difference of 9:3. Jamaica and Suriname also earned seven points, but Guatemala finished ahead of them thanks to a better goal difference. Top spot was enough to reach the quarter-finals, where Guatemala will face Canada.
Guatemala began the group stage with a 2:3 defeat to Jamaica before thrashing El Salvador 6:0. Fajardo scored a hat-trick in that match but will most likely be unavailable for the next game. Guatemala then faced Suriname twice: they first drew 0:0 away from home before securing a narrow 1:0 win in the return fixture thanks to a goal from Matt Evans in the 90+6th minute. In the previous edition of the Nations League, in 2024/25, Guatemala also played in League A and finished third in Group A. They took seven points from four matches (two wins, one draw and one defeat), with a goal difference of 6:5. Costa Rica (8 points) and Suriname (7) finished above them. That was not enough to reach the quarter-finals, so Guatemala went into the preliminary round of qualifying for the 2025 Gold Cup. They did, however, retain their place in League A.
Match Results: Guatemala
Jesse Marsch will not miss his chance
Canada are one of the leading teams in CONCACAF and are considered among the main contenders for the title. Thanks to their high ranking in the region, Canada, along with Mexico, the USA and Panama, qualified directly for the quarter-finals, bypassing the group stage. Jesse Marschβs side have a strong squad, with many players competing in Europeβs top leagues. Captain Alphonso Davies, the biggest star in Canadian football, has a particularly important role in the team. The Bayern Munich defender is known for his pace, technique and ability to join the attack. Canada face Guatemala in a two-legged quarter-final tie.
In September and October, the Reds played three friendlies, winning two and losing one. They beat Chile (1:0) and Peru (2:0) but lost to the USA (0:1). The team showed defensive solidity, keeping two clean sheets. Up front, striker Jonathan David and winger Tajon Buchanan remain key figures. Canada finished third in the previous 2024/25 Nations League campaign. They reached the final stage after a convincing quarter-final victory over Suriname (4:0 on aggregate). Canada lost to Mexico (0:2) in the semi-final but then beat the USA (2:1) in the third-place match.
Match Results: Canada
Latest news
Guatemala
β Guatemala have four confirmed absentees. Aparicio is out with a hairline fracture of the fibula, Franco is suspended, Robles has suffered a recurrence of a quadriceps injury and will miss at least ten days, while Fajardo is suspended. Santis is doubtful.
Canada
β Canada have a longer list, with seven absentees. Osorio, Shaffelburg and Jones are out through injury; EustΓ‘quio has a groin problem, Larin has a hamstring injury, Cornelius has a thigh injury, and Johnston has suffered another hamstring injury.
β There is good news too: Davies will be available for the national team and, according to Marsch, is back to full fitness.
Total Goals Prediction
Canada have enough attacking potential to increase the pressure as the match goes on. After the break, the visitors will be able to exploit space and look for opportunities in front of their tiring opponentsβ goal. The statistics support this pick: Canada have scored in the second half in 6 of their last 7 CONCACAF Nations League matches. Editorβs pick: Canada to score in the second half at odds of 1.50*.
Corners Prediction
Canada will look to take control of possession and regularly put Guatemalaβs defence under pressure with attacks down the flanks. The visitors will probably have to stay compact, block low crosses and clear the ball behind for corners, creating additional opportunities for corners. The statistics support this scenario: over 8.5 corners has landed in 6 of Canadaβs last 7 matches. The editorβs pick is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.45*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Guatemala are one of the regionβs most aggressive teams and receive a lot of cards. In four of their last five matches, the total was over 3.5 yellow cards. This is now a consistent trend, not a coincidence. The match against Canada is unlikely to be an exception. Canada have a noticeably stronger squad and will have more possession, so the hosts will have to defend more often, engage in tough challenges and stop attacks with fouls. It is in matches like these that Guatemala traditionally pick up cards. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
β Editor's Pick
Canada have won four consecutive away matches in the CONCACAF Nations League and intend to extend that run. The national team's key players performed well at the World Cup, and the experience and confidence they gained should help them in the upcoming match. With their superior individual quality and team cohesion, Canada are capable of controlling the match and securing another win. Correct score prediction: 0:2. Editor's pick - Canada to win.
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Betting Tips: Guatemala - Canada
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