Bonaire vs Cuba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔊 Bonaire go into the match on the back of a run of poor results, but remain highly motivated by the threat of relegation. Cuba are comfortably top of the table, but pressure from their rivals means they need to pick up points in every match. The league situation raises the stakes for both sides: the hosts are fighting to stay in the league, while the visitors cannot afford to relax in the final rounds. The contrast between a relegation battle and a push to stay top sets the stage for a hard-fought match.
Convincing win in the only match
The teams have met only once in an official match so far: Cuba beat Bonaire 2-0 without conceding a goal.
Head-to-head statistics Bonaire - Cuba
The team seeks consistency
Bonaire are third in Group C of League B in the CONCACAF Nations League after four rounds. They have 3 points from one win and three defeats, with a goal difference of 7:8. Grenada also have 3 points, but Bonaire are ahead of them on goal difference. They made a poor start to the tournament, losing to Saint Kitts and Nevis (1:2), Cuba (0:2) and Grenada (2:3). However, Bonaire recorded a convincing 4:1 win in the return match against Grenada.
The national team’s head coach is Rilove Yanga. Before the tournament, he said he wanted to compete for promotion. So far, the team have alternated poor performances with impressive results, making consistency their main aim in the remaining matches. Bonaire can still improve their position in the table, but they need to pick up points to do so: finishing bottom of the group means relegation to League C.
Match Results: Bonaire
Prolific going forward, risky at the back
Cuba are joint top of Group C after four rounds. They have 8 points from two wins and two draws, with a goal difference of 10:5. Cuba began the tournament with wins over Grenada (3:0) and Bonaire (2:0). They then drew twice with their main rivals, Saint Kitts and Nevis (3:3 and 2:2). In the most recent match, Cuba avoided defeat thanks to a 90th-minute goal from Daniel Díaz, after Junior Pérez had scored earlier.
Cuba showed their attacking potential in the matches against Saint Kitts and Nevis: in the most recent game, they had 25 shots, six of them on target. However, despite their attacking activity, they have not always been reliable in defence, conceding five goals across the two meetings with their main rivals. Cuba have two group-stage matches remaining. They are level at the top with Saint Kitts and Nevis, so it is important for them not to drop points if they are to retain first place.
Match Results: Cuba
Match Result Prediction
Bonaire have covered the +2.5 handicap in 11 of their last 12 matches. However, Cuba have averaged 3 goals per away match this season, while Bonaire have lost both of their home matches this season - arguments against the bet. Still, the proposed handicap allows Bonaire to lose by one or two goals: we pick Bonaire - Handicap +2.5 at odds of 1.69*.
Total Goals Prediction
In their last ten away matches, Cuba have scored an average of 1.6 goals, while Bonaire have conceded 1.83 in their last ten home matches. Cuba's away average this season is higher at 3 goals per match, although that figure covers only two away matches. Given this discrepancy, we pick Cuba Team Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.45*.
Safer Bet
Cuba have scored an average of 2.5 goals per match this season, and 3 per away match. Bonaire have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per home match this season and 1.83 goals per match in their last ten home games. These figures support Cuba Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:2 (9.92%), 0:2 (7.96%) and 1:3 (7.41%). Of these, 1:2 has the highest probability. All three scorelines imply a Cuba win, but none has a probability above 10%.
*The odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The standings force both teams to play with maximum focus: Bonaire are fighting to stay up and rarely allow opponents to beat them by a large margin, while Cuba need to retain their lead but do not always turn their advantage into emphatic wins. This season's handicap trend confirms the hosts' resilience against heavy defeats, despite their poor form and strong opposition. Correct score prediction: 1:3. Editor's pick: Bonaire - Handicap +2.5.
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Betting Tips: Bonaire - Cuba
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