Bermuda vs Saint Lucia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔊 Bermuda enter the CONCACAF Nations League on a losing streak and are in the relegation zone, four points from safety. Saint Lucia are fighting for first place and remain highly motivated, just one point behind the leaders. The match takes on added significance for both teams at this late stage of the tournament: the hosts are trying to keep their survival hopes alive, while the visitors cannot afford a slip-up in the race for promotion.
Comfortable win in the only match
Saint Lucia beat Bermuda 5-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League match on 29 September 2026, despite having less possession (43% to 57%) and fewer shots on target (7 to 11) than their opponents.
📊 The teams have met only once: Saint Lucia won 5-2 at home, scoring three goals before half-time and two more after the break.
Head-to-head statistics Bermuda - Saint Lucia
Poor play at both ends
Bermuda have had a very poor CONCACAF Nations League campaign. After four matches, they are bottom of Group B in League B, with no points and four consecutive defeats. Their goal difference is 5:13. Over that period, they have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per game, pointing to serious problems in both attack and defence. At home, Bermuda have not scored more than one goal in five consecutive matches, as reflected in the team total goals trend. They are already in a difficult position and risk finishing bottom of the group, which would mean relegation to League C.
The team's main problem is an unreliable defence: they have conceded at least two goals in each of their four matches. The 5:2 away defeat to Saint Lucia was particularly heavy, while Bermuda also failed to pick up any points in their two meetings with Barbados. However, they have scored in every group match, so they do have some attacking potential. Matches against Saint Lucia and Guadeloupe lie ahead, and Bermuda need to turn things around and finally end their losing run.
Match Results: Bermuda
Consistency underpinned by balance
Saint Lucia are enjoying a successful CONCACAF Nations League campaign. After four matches, they sit second in Group B of League B with nine points. The islanders have three wins and one defeat, with a goal difference of 9:4. Only Barbados are above them, one point ahead.
The tournament began with a setback: Saint Lucia lost to Barbados (0:2), but they have improved considerably since then. They beat Bermuda (5:2) and took maximum points from two matches against Guadeloupe without conceding a goal. Crucially, after their poor start, Saint Lucia managed to turn things around and win three matches in a row. Next up for the islanders is a match against Bermuda. It could prove decisive in the race for first place and promotion to League A. To achieve that, Saint Lucia need not only to extend their winning run but also to show everything they are capable of against the bottom side.
Match Results: Saint Lucia
Prediction for the 1st half
Bermuda have scored in the first half in seven of their last eight CONCACAF Nations League matches. This is a direct argument in favour of a home goal before the break. However, in their last ten home matches, Bermuda have averaged just 0.4 goals per match, which limits confidence in the prediction. We pick Bermuda to score in the first half at odds of 2.20*.
Match Result Prediction
Bermuda have lost nine of their last ten matches and all four matches this season, including both at home. Saint Lucia have won three of their four matches this season. Away from home, however, they have one win and one defeat, so their away record is less convincing than their overall record. We pick Saint Lucia to win at odds of 1.49*.
Total Goals Prediction
Bermuda have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in five consecutive matches. They have averaged 0.4 goals over their last ten home matches, although their average in home matches this season is one goal. Saint Lucia have conceded an average of 3.2 goals over their last ten away matches - a notable argument against the bet. Nevertheless, Bermuda’s home scoring record supports the pick of Bermuda Team Total Goals - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.53*.
Safer Bet
Bermuda have gone ten matches without a win. They have lost all four matches this season, including two at home, while Saint Lucia have won three of their four matches. The visitors’ away results are more modest - one win and one defeat - so we are choosing double chance rather than an outright win: Saint Lucia to Win or Draw at odds of 1.16*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:2 (10.36%), 1:1 (8.48%) and 0:2 (7.74%). Of these, 1:2 has the highest probability. The other two scorelines have lower calculated probabilities.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both teams come into the match highly motivated: Bermuda are fighting to stay in the league, while Saint Lucia are chasing the title. Despite the pressure of their league positions, the statistics point to Bermuda’s low scoring at home and Saint Lucia’s cautious approach away from home. Bermuda have lost 9 of their last 10 matches. Predicted correct score 1:2. Editor’s prediction: Saint Lucia to win.
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Betting Tips: Bermuda - Saint Lucia
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