Barbados vs Guadeloupe Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔊 Barbados go into the fifth round in first place, holding on to the lead in the CONCACAF Nations League but under pressure from their rivals. Guadeloupe sit third and are fighting to retain their place in the league. Both teams are highly motivated to pick up points. The match is particularly important for both sides: the hosts aim to maintain their advantage, while the visitors are trying to avoid dropping into the danger zone. Given the standings, an intense, result-focused match is expected.
Narrow lead on goals
Guadeloupe have not lost any of their three competitive matches against Barbados: two wins and a draw. Their advantage in goals scored is narrower - 5:3.
Head-to-head statistics Barbados - Guadeloupe
Every match is a battle for first place
Barbados are enjoying a strong CONCACAF Nations League campaign and lead Group B of League B after four rounds. They have 10 points from three wins and a draw, with 10 goals scored and four conceded. The Bajan Tridents have beaten Bermuda twice (4-1 and 2-1) and defeated Saint Lucia (2-0). Their only dropped points came against Guadeloupe in a 2-2 draw. In that first meeting, Guadeloupe opened the scoring in the 49th minute, but Barbados turned the game around in the space of two minutes: goals from Thierry Gale and Reid-Steven put the hosts ahead before their opponents equalised in stoppage time. Barbados also had twice as many shots as Guadeloupe, 10 to 5.
Gale has become the team’s main attacking threat, with six goals in four group matches. Barbados are unbeaten and have shown they can recover from difficult situations when they fall behind. A win in their next match will strengthen their position at the top ahead of their final game against Saint Lucia. Their opponents have already shown they can cause problems, so an easy match is not to be expected.
Match Results: Barbados
Every match is a battle for points
Guadeloupe are third in Group B of League B of the CONCACAF Nations League after four rounds. They have 4 points from one win, one draw and two defeats, with a goals record of 4 scored and 7 conceded. Guadeloupe began the tournament with a comeback win over Bermuda (2-1). In their next match, they drew 2-2 with group leaders Barbados. Bosné opened the scoring in the 49th minute and, after their opponents scored twice in quick succession, completed his brace in the 90+1st minute.
The team's top scorer is Jamali Bosné. He has three goals in four matches, all of them scored in the first two games. After that prolific start, the attack has slowed noticeably. Two matches remain. The next is away to Barbados. A win there would keep their chances of finishing second alive, although they would also need their rivals to slip up. Guadeloupe have shown resilience at times, but lack consistency.
Match Results: Guadeloupe
Prediction for the 1st half
Barbados have scored in the first half in five consecutive home matches. Guadeloupe have also lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches, although that result alone does not mean Barbados will score before half-time. The home scoring run directly supports the bet, while the small sample limits confidence. We pick Barbados to score in the first half at odds of 2.12*.
Match Result Prediction
Barbados have not lost any of their four matches this season, with three wins and a draw. They have won both of their home matches this season, while Guadeloupe have won one and lost one of their two away matches. The sample is small, so rather than backing an outright win, we are taking Barbados to Win or Draw at odds of 1.67*.
Total Goals Prediction
Barbados have scored in 16 consecutive matches. They average 3 goals in home matches this season and 2.67 in their most recent home matches. Guadeloupe have conceded an average of 2 goals away from home this season and 2.2 in their most recent away matches. These figures provide a basis for backing Barbados Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 2.31*, although the averages do not guarantee that the line will be cleared.
Corners Prediction
There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in six consecutive Barbados matches. This run directly relates to the selected line, but there are no corner statistics for Guadeloupe. Therefore, the bet on Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.45* is based only on the results of one team’s matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Barbados have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches. In their recent home matches, they have scored an average of 2.67 goals and conceded 1.83; Guadeloupe have scored an average of 1.2 goals in their recent away matches. However, Barbados have conceded only 0.5 goals per home match this season, which limits confidence in the prediction. Even so, the recent run of matches supports a bet on Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.55*.
High-Risk Bet
Barbados have scored in the first half in five consecutive home matches. They have also conceded before half-time in 10 of their last 11 home matches. These runs support goals for both sides in the first half, but do not show how often both occurred in the same match. Given this uncertainty, we are choosing the riskier bet Both Teams to Score in the First Half - Yes at odds of 3.74*.
*The odds are approximate and may differ between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Barbados have scored in 16 consecutive matches. In their recent home matches, they have scored an average of 2.67 goals, while Guadeloupe have conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their recent away matches. The bet is Barbados to Score at odds of 1.26*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (9.48%), 2:1 (8.24%) and 2:0 (7.57%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely result. The 2:1 scoreline ranks second, while 2:0 ranks third.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both teams go into the match highly motivated: Barbados are looking to stay top, while Guadeloupe are fighting to remain in the league. Barbados have scored consistently throughout the tournament and often make defensive mistakes, as reflected in their averages of 2.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded over their last 10 matches. Guadeloupe have been inconsistent, but they also regularly create chances at the other end while conceding in almost every match. The key trend is that Barbados have both scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches. This points to a strong chance of both teams scoring and is supported by both teams' statistics. Predicted correct score 2:1. The main pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Barbados - Guadeloupe
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