Maldonado vs Cerro Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
π Deportivo Maldonado go into the match in fourth place, with a clear motivation to improve their league position. Cerro are ninth, but the gap to the leaders is quite large. The teams enter the 14th round in contrasting form: the hosts have been getting results more often, while the visitors have been losing more often. The outcome will depend primarily on the teamsβ current form and their ability to convert their chances.
The opponent rarely scores
In the cup match on 23 September 2026, Deportivo Maldonado beat Cerro away from home 2-1. After a goalless first half, the visitors scored twice; they outshot their opponents 10-4 over the course of the match.
Deportivo Maldonado have won six of their nine competitive meetings with Cerro, with two others ending in draws. Cerro have just one win and failed to score in five of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Cerro
Attack firing, defence holding firm
Deportivo Maldonado lost 2-1 at home to Nacional Montevideo in their last Uruguayan Cup match on 10 November 2026, despite having more shots: 14-8 overall and 7-3 on target.
Deportivo Maldonado have been in convincing form recently: in their last 10 matches, they have won 6 and lost 2, scoring an average of 2.1 goals and conceding fewer than one per match. Their recent form is also positive, with 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five matches. Their motivation in the league is at its highest, and they cannot afford to drop points at home.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Lacking a cutting edge up front
Cerro's last Primera match on 31 October 2026 ended in a 2-1 defeat to Central EspaΓ±ol. Playing at home, Cerro had 66% possession and took 13 shots to their opponents' five, but it was not enough to win.
Cerro have won just twice in their last 10 matches, losing six times, while their scoring rate has remained low at an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Their last five matches have brought one win and four defeats, pointing to a prolonged slump. Their league position calls for greater efficiency; the visitors need to show improvement and start turning matches into wins.
Match Results: Cerro
Match Result Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado have won 12 of their 18 home matches this season and lost just one. Cerro have suffered 10 defeats in 17 away matches. The home sideβs home results and the visitorsβ away results provide grounds to back Deportivo Maldonado to win at odds of 1.63*.
Total Goals Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches. They have averaged 1.78 goals at home this season and 2.2 goals over their last 10 home matches; Cerro have conceded an average of 2.06 goals away this season. However, the home side have scored fewer than three goals in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings, tempering expectations for a higher line. We pick Deportivo Maldonado Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.79*.
Corners Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in seven consecutive home matches. The trend is directly relevant to the home context of this fixture, but the input data contain no average corner figures. We therefore pick Deportivo Maldonado Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.94*, bearing in mind the limited supporting evidence.
High-Risk Bet
Deportivo Maldonado have scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 home matches, while Cerro have conceded an average of 2.06 away goals this season. This provides grounds to consider a higher line, although the home side have scored fewer than three goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings. Deportivo Maldonado Team Total Goals - Over 2 at odds of 2.57* remains a risky option: if they score exactly two goals, the stake is refunded.
*The odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Deportivo Maldonado have not lost in 17 of their 18 home matches this season, with 12 wins and five draws. Cerro have lost 10 of their 17 away matches, while the hosts have not lost in eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings. These results support the bet Deportivo Maldonado to Win or Draw at odds of 1.16*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithmβs calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (12%), 1:1 (10.68%) and 2:0 (10.44%). Of these, 1:0 is the most likely. The probabilities of 1:1 and 2:0 are close to each other.
β Editor's Prediction
The hosts have been in good form at home, and the trend also shows that Deportivo Maldonado have not lost in eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings between these teams. The visitors, meanwhile, have not played with confidence and regularly drop points even against weaker opponents. Editor's prediction: Deportivo Maldonado to win.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro
in 8 of last 9 games against Cerro.in 7 of last 8 games against Cerro (Primera Division).in 14 of last 15 home games.in last 12 home games (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 games.
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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