Cerro vs Maldonado Prediction 2 May 2026

    🔊 In the upcoming clash between Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado, we see teams with contrasting styles. Cerro, sitting in 15th place on the table, have shown inconsistent form, and their attacking potential has been underwhelming. On the other hand, Deportivo Maldonado are one of the tournament's frontrunners, boasting an impressive away record. Both sides aim to improve their standings: the hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone, while the visitors are pushing to continue their title challenge. Let's analyze the matchup and make an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place on 08 November 2024, ending with a score of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Cerro):

    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado:

    • played 7 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
    • number of goals - 5 against 10;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.86, in the 2nd half - 1.29;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.14.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerro - Maldonado

    11%
    1 Win
    22%
    2 Draws
    67%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    9
    Total Goals Avg
    2.11
    Both teams scored
    44%
    0.67
    Total average
    1.44
    3.22
    Corner
    3.67
    2.11
    Yellow cards
    2.44
    Last matches
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    08.11.24
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    2
    05.05.24
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    1
    03.09.23
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    CA Cerro
    CA Cerro
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    15
    4
    6
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    15
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Central Espanol, away team - Cerro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.

    Here are the game statistics (Cerro vs Central Espanol):

    • ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Cerro are teetering on the edge of relegation from the Primera, currently sitting 15th in the standings. Their recent form offers little optimism: just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. The team's attack is struggling, with an average scoring rate of only 0.55 goals per game, clearly insufficient for a successful campaign. Their defense isn't much better, conceding around 1.36 goals per match on average.

    The team adopts a cautious playing style with a strong focus on defense, as evidenced by a long streak of home games featuring fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last thirteen matches. It seems the club is operating on the principle of "better to score less and concede less." But will this be enough to ensure their survival? In their last outing, nothing went right-Cerro suffered a disappointing 3-1 away defeat to Central Español. This loss was particularly frustrating as their opponents played the entire second half with ten men following a red card late in the first half.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    D
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    10.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Deportivo Maldonado, away - Albion). The match ended with a score of 1:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion):

    • ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    Deportivo Maldonado have firmly secured their place in second, showcasing a solid balance both at home and on the road. Their last four matches include two wins, one draw, and just a single loss, indicating a consistent form over recent weeks. The team impresses with their attacking prowess, averaging 1.67 goals per match. Meanwhile, their defense is as reliable as clockwork, conceding only one goal per game on average.

    These stats speak for themselves-Deportivo clearly know what they're doing and continue to delight fans with quality football. However, last week the club suffered a setback in an important home clash against one of their direct rivals for the medals, Albion, losing 2-1. Things went awry from the start when Tabo missed a penalty in the ninth minute. Now, fans are eager for their favorites to bounce back from that disappointment.

    Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    1
    4
    L
    09.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    9
    1
    5
    8
    1
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    1
    5
    8
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 7;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 0.86;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.14, while the visitors net 0.71.

    First-Half Stats: Cerro (home) vs Deportivo Maldonado (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 3 (50%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (16.67%);
    • draws: 6 (100%) vs 2 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.33 vs 1.33;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 0 vs 4;
    • losses: 4 vs 1;
    • draws: 6 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado

    • matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • wins: 2 vs 7;
    • win percentage: 18% vs 58%;
    • losses: 6 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • losses: 5 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Deportivo Maldonado (Primera Division).
    • Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.19)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.71, the guests - 1.43;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.14;
    • both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado

    • average total in the tournament: 1.91 vs 2.67;
    • average total goals scored: 0.55 vs 1.67;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.18 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.36 vs 0.67;
    • Cerro: average total at home in the tournament -  0.67;
    • Deportivo Maldonado: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 13 Cerro home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 6 (3.43 - for home team and 2.57 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 4.67 (3 - for home team and 1.67 - for away team).

    Cerro: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.55; at home field - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; at home field - 3.4.

    Deportivo Maldonado: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.58, away - 6.17;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 4.8.
    Trends
    • Over 7.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Deportivo Maldonado away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (7,5) (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 7;
    • both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Cerro at home - 2 (33%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado away - 4 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Cerro at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Deportivo Maldonado away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.69)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (16/97, 16.5%);
    • Cerro at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
    • Deportivo Maldonado away most often play: 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 14.52% (odds 5.14)
    1:1 - 11.76% (odds 5.62)
    0:0 - 11.12% (odds 6.23)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1) (odds: 5.14)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the upcoming match, there's a clear contrast in team form. Cerro, sitting at 15th place, struggles both offensively and defensively. Their game plan is heavily focused on defense, as evidenced by a streak of low-scoring matches, averaging less than 2.5 goals per game. Meanwhile, Deportivo Maldonado confidently holds second place, consistently delivering solid performances with an impressive attacking record of 1.67 goals per match. Trends indicate a dominance of low-scoring encounters, with the hosts seeing under 2.5 goals in 13 consecutive home games. Considering these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Odds-200
    Published: 30/04/2026, 08:05

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    Betting Tips: Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado

    Cerro have drawn in the 1st half:
    ca-cerroin last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +100
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    ca-cerroin last 13 Cerro home games (Primera Division).
    in 9 of last 10 Bruno Sacarelo Roig games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Cerro have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ca-cerroin last 16 games.
    ca-cerroin last 15 games (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroin last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    Cerro Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Deportivo Maldonado have scored:
    deportivo-maldonadoin 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).
    deportivo-maldonadoin 10 of last 11 away games.
    Deportivo Maldonado will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Cerro - Maldonado Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1594223-1431
    2.
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1592424-1629
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215
    15.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1524912-2310
    16.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    152498-2410

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 14
    -4
    +11
    16 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    16
    14
    Conceded
    5
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    6
    Both teams scored
    2
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats