Nacional vs Albion Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
π Nacional Montevideo head into the 14th round of the season in third place and remain highly motivated. Albion are 12th and have no clear motivation. The focus is on the quality of both teamsβ recent performances and their goalscoring form, which could be a key factor when choosing a prediction. The two sides approach the match with different mindsets, as reflected in their statistics over recent weeks.
Every win comes at home
Nacional Montevideo and Albion drew 0-0 in the Uruguayan Cup on 27 August 2026. Nacional had nine shots to Albionβs none and won nine corners to three, but failed to score.
In five competitive meetings, Nacional Montevideo have won three, Albion have won one, and the other match ended in a draw. The difference is particularly noticeable at Nacionalβs ground: they have not conceded in three meetings there, while Albion have yet to score there.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Albion

The defence rarely slips up
Nacional Montevideo won 2:1 away to Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguayan Cup on 10 November 2026. The hosts had more shots, 14:8, but Nacional Montevideo scored twice from just three shots on target.
Nacional Montevideo have been convincing in their recent run of matches: three consecutive wins in their last five matches, with just three defeats over that period. In their last 10 games, they have recorded 8 wins and lost only twice, while scoring consistently - an average of 1.7 goals per game. Their defence has also been reliable, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per match over the longer run. The team have maintained a high level of concentration and shown consistent form, giving them grounds to expect a productive performance.
Match Results: Nacional Montevideo

Attack firing, defence faltering
Albionβs last match was a home Primera fixture against Deportivo Maldonado on 2 November 2026, which ended in a goalless draw. The visitors had twice as many shots - 26 to 13 - and hit the target ten times, but Albion kept a clean sheet.
The team stand out for their goalscoring and defensive inconsistency. In their last five matches, Albion have won three, drawn one and lost one. Across 10 matches, they have 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Albion have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven matches, with over 2.5 goals occurring just as often. This highlights Albionβs tendency to play open football.
Match Results: Albion Fc
Match Result Prediction
Albion have covered the (+1.5) handicap in 17 of their last 19 away matches. This season, they have 7 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats away from home, while Nacional have won 10 of their 18 home matches. However, Albion have conceded an average of 2 goals over their last 10 away matches, increasing the risk of a heavy defeat. Taking their long run of away results into account, we pick Albion - Handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.54*.
Total Goals Prediction
Albion have scored in seven consecutive matches. In their last 10 away games, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match, while Nacional have conceded an average of 1 goal in their last 10 home games. These figures support Albion Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.62*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Albion have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches. Nacional have scored at home in 12 of their last 13 matches, while Albion have scored in seven consecutive matches. Nacional have conceded an average of 1 goal in their last 10 home games, leaving some doubt as to whether Albion will score. Nevertheless, we pick Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.82*.
High-Risk Bet
Nacional have scored in the second half in 12 of their last 13 home matches. Albion have scored in the second half in seven consecutive matches. The bet requires both runs to continue in the same match, so we choose the riskier option: Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at odds of 3.50*.
*The odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Nacional have scored in 12 of their last 13 home matches. They average 1.61 goals per home match this season and 1.6 goals across their last 10 home matches. Therefore, we pick Nacional Montevideo Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.11*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (11.75%), 2:1 (10.63%) and 1:1 (10.61%). The most likely result is 1:0. The probabilities of 2:1 and 1:1 are almost identical.
β Editorβs Prediction
Nacional Montevideo score consistently at home and rarely have defensive lapses, but Albion are on a run of high-scoring matches in which both teams have regularly scored. Several trends point to a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals: 6 of Albionβs last 7 matches featured at least three goals, and both teams scored frequently in those matches. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
