Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction 14 March 2026
🔊 Kilmarnock and Hearts are gearing up for a match that promises to be intense. Kilmarnock have shown inconsistency in recent games, frequently scoring and conceding, which highlights their defensive issues. Hearts, on the other hand, sit at the top of the table and display confident play with high scoring efficiency.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 03 December 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Hearts as the home side):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 4 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Kilmarnock and Hearts:
- 47 matches played;
- home victories - 20, away wins - 15, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 59 against 52;
- average goals in the first half - 1.02, second half - 1.34;
- average total goals per match - 2.36.
Head-to-head statistics Kilmarnock - Hearts
Kilmarnock Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Premier League (home team - Falkirk, away team - Kilmarnock). The match concluded with a 5-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Kilmarnock vs Falkirk):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 10.
🔵 Kilmarnock are struggling this season, sitting in 11th place. Their form has been disappointing, with just one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five matches. They average 1.1 goals per game, but their defense is leaky, conceding 2.07 goals per match. At home, Kilmarnock consistently hit the over 2.5 goals mark.
Match Results: Kilmarnock
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The most recent official match played by the current visitors took place on in the Premier League, with Hearts hosting Aberdeen. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Hearts vs Aberdeen):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
🔴 Hearts are in the championship race, sitting at the top of the table thanks to their solid performances both in attack and defense. The team has won three of their last five matches and boasts a strong defense, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game while scoring an average of 1.79 goals per match.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 47;
- Home wins - 20, Away wins - 15, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- Matches in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- Wins: 4 vs 19;
- Win percentage: 14% vs 66%;
- Losses: 16 vs 4;
- Draws: 9 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 6;
- Losses: 6 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Kilmarnock have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 24 of the last 25 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Kilmarnock have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 22 of the last 23 head-to-head meetings in the Premier League.
- Kilmarnock have covered a +1.5 handicap in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Kilmarnock have covered a +1.5 handicap in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings in the Premier League.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.26, Away team - 1.11;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.36;
- Both teams scored: overall - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Average Total Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- In the tournament: 3.17 vs 2.62;
- Goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.79;
- First half: 0.62 vs 0.79;
- Second half: 0.48 vs 1;
- Kilmarnock at home in the tournament - 1.21;
- Hearts away in the tournament - 1.71;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 2.2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 14 of the last 15 head-to-head matches at the home ground.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 13 of the last 14 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Premier League).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches (Premier League).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 47;
- Both teams scored overall - 20 times;
- At the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- Played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 18 vs 12;
- Kilmarnock BTTS at home - 7 (50%);
- Hearts BTTS away - 6 (43%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 8 vs 3;
- Kilmarnock BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Hearts BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most Frequent Results (Current Season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (20/174, 11.5%);
- Kilmarnock at home most often finishes matches: 0-1 , 0-3 , 1-3 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Hearts away most often plays: 0-2 , 0-3 , 1-0 , 1-2 (2/14, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 11% (odds: 7)
1-2 - 10.09% (odds: 7.5)
0-1 - 8.74% (odds: 7)
- Hearts win with a score of 1-0 in three of their last four matches (Premier League).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash, expect both sides to play aggressively. Despite defensive struggles, Kilmarnock consistently finds the back of the net at home. Hearts display confidence and reliability both in attack and defense, which keeps them at the top of the table. Our prediction: over 2.5 goals, a trend that has hit in Kilmarnock's last 5 home matches in a row.
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Betting Tips: Kilmarnock - Heart of Midlothian
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in 15 of last 16 away games against Kilmarnock.in 18 of last 19 games.in 17 of last 18 games (Premiership).in 9 of last 10 away games (Premiership).in 10 of last 11 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Premiership).in 15 of last 16 games.in 14 of last 15 games (Premiership).in 14 of last 15 Kilmarnock home games against Heart of Midlothian.in 13 of last 14 Kilmarnock home games against Heart of Midlothian (Premiership).in 11 of last 12 Kilmarnock games against Heart of Midlothian.in 10 of last 11 Kilmarnock games against Heart of Midlothian (Premiership).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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