Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction 18 October 2025
🔊 In the 8th round of the Scottish Premiership, Kilmarnock will host Heart of Midlothian at Rugby Park. The hosts currently sit in 3rd place with 10 points and are eager to solidify their position in the upper part of the table. Hearts lead the league, having secured 19 out of a possible 21 points, and will be fighting to extend their winning streak. The head-to-head history between these teams shows parity: in their last six encounters, each side has claimed two victories, with two matches ending in a draw. The upcoming game promises to be intense, with both teams vying for crucial points.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 May 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Kilmarnock were the home side):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Kilmarnock and Hearts:
- 45 matches played;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 14, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 58 to 48;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.04, in the 2nd half - 1.31;
- average total goals per match - 2.36.
Head-to-head statistics Kilmarnock - Hearts

Kilmarnock Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Premier League, featuring Kilmarnock as the home side against St Mirren. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Kilmarnock vs St Mirren):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 8 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
🔵 In the last round, Kilmarnock secured a 2-0 home victory over St. Mirren, marking their second consecutive win. Prior to that, Stuart Kettlewell's side clinched a 2-0 away triumph against Dundee United with the same scoreline. Currently sitting third in the standings with two wins, five draws, and one loss, it's noteworthy that their sole defeat came at their home ground, Rugby Park. As they face the league leaders in the upcoming match, Kilmarnock will need to maintain their focus to secure a positive result and remain in contention for the top spot after the ninth round.
Match Results: Kilmarnock

Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in the Premier League, where Hearts hosted Hibernian. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Hearts vs Hibernian):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
🔴 In the last round, Hearts secured a 1-0 home victory over Hibernian, extending their winning streak to four consecutive matches. Derek McInnes's side remain unbeaten in the current Scottish Premiership season, boasting six wins and one draw. Only Celtic show similar consistency, although they are two points behind. The Edinburgh club is also the highest-scoring team in the league at the moment, having netted 16 goals, making them clear favorites for the upcoming clash with Kilmarnock.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 45;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 14, draws - 11.
Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- win percentage: 29% vs 86%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 4 vs 8;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Kilmarnock win with a +1.5 handicap in 24 out of the last 25 head-to-head encounters.
- Kilmarnock secure a +1.5 handicap victory in 22 of the last 23 head-to-head meetings (Premiership).
- Kilmarnock win with a +1.5 handicap at home in 21 of the last 22 matches.
- Kilmarnock secure a +1.5 handicap victory at home in 17 of the last 18 matches (Premiership).
- Kilmarnock have won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 consecutive matches.
- Kilmarnock have secured a +1.5 handicap victory in 8 consecutive matches (Premiership).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- current home team average goals scored - 1.29, away team - 1.07;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.36;
- both teams scored: all-time - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 3.14;
- average goals scored: 1.57 vs 2.29;
- average first-half total: 1 vs 0.71;
- average second-half total: 0.57 vs 1.57;
- Kilmarnock: average home total in the tournament - 1.25;
- Hearts: average away total in the tournament - 2.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.86) vs 2.5 (away - 2.4).
- Hearts score less than 1.5 goals away in five consecutive head-to-head matches (Premiership).
Corners Prediction
Kilmarnock: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 4.71; at home - 5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 4.86.
Hearts: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 6.43, away - 6.67;
- last 10 matches: average total - 7.6; away - 7.4.
- Hearts take fewer than 6.5 corners away in six of the last seven head-to-head encounters.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.04 (2.02 for the home team and 2.02 for the visitors);
- average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.42 (1.79 for the home team and 1.63 for the visitors).
Kilmarnock: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 2.43; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 1.86.
Hearts: Statistics
- season: average tournament total - 2.14, away - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 2.2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Kilmarnock - 4, Hearts - 3;
- Kilmarnock BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Hearts BTTS away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: Kilmarnock - 6, Hearts - 4;
- Kilmarnock BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Hearts BTTS away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Kilmarnock enter the match riding a wave of momentum with two consecutive victories, aiming to solidify their position at the top of the table. However, Hearts are in sensational form: they remain unbeaten this season, have won their last four matches in a row, and are the highest-scoring team in the league. Recent head-to-head encounters show parity, but the current form favors the visitors. Expect a tense and hard-fought game, with both teams battling for crucial points, but the edge likely belongs to the Edinburgh side. Our prediction: Hearts' individual total under 1.5 goals. This has been the outcome in their last five head-to-head meetings at Rugby Park.
