Rennes vs Marseille Prediction 11 September 2026
🔊 After three rounds, Rennes have dropped points only to PSG and sit fifth. Marseille have squandered theirs over the course of a week: after a heavy home win over Strasbourg, they failed to score at Monaco, then lost at home to Paris 2-3, conceding in the first minute. The result is seven points against three. That said, Rennes are not without their weaknesses: they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season, and that is the visitors' main card to play.
🔁 We regularly update this prediction. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Head-to-Head
📊 The hosts don't tend to go big in this fixture: Rennes have not scored more than two goals in 21 consecutive head-to-head matches. High-scoring results are rare here too - in 19 of those 21 meetings, Marseille have not lost by more than one goal in Rennes. The visitors have also been restrained in front of goal: in 8 of their last 9 trips here, they have not scored more than one. The two sides last met in May, when Marseille took the Europa League spot.
Head-to-head statistics Rennes - Marseille
Stade Rennes Team Overview
Rennes went into this round in fifth place, having taken seven points from three matches without a defeat. Franck Haise has kept his job, with the club extending his contract, and the start of the season has justified that decision: a draw with PSG, three points against Le Mans, and last round a 2-1 win over Angers, with both goals coming inside the first 17 minutes.
Rennes' main source of goals is Esteban Lepaul, who has scored three in three rounds - more than anyone else at the club. At home, the Bretons have been difficult to beat, going six consecutive Ligue 1 matches without a defeat on their own ground. The other side of their start is the defence, which has conceded five goals in three rounds - more than any other side in the top five.
Match Results: Stade Rennes
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
Marseille have had an inconsistent start to the season: a heavy home win over Strasbourg, a blank away at Monaco, and a defeat to Paris. Three points from three matches - the same as Lens and Angers. Bruno Genesio took charge of the club on 1 July, replacing Habib Beye, and this is his first season at Marseille.
The attack is resting on one man: Amine Gouiri has scored four goals in three matches, including both in the game against Paris. Marseille lost that match after a penalty - on 84 minutes, Egan-Riley handled in his own box. Away from home, the visitors are even more modest: in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings on the road, Marseille have scored no more than one goal.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Latest news
Stade Rennes
✅ New addition - Boulaye Dia: on 2 September the club took the forward on loan from Lazio for €2 million, with an option to buy for a further €8 million. He has already come off the bench in the 89th minute against Angers. Rennes had no injured or suspended players for the previous matchday and have no red cards this season. Their central defensive partnership was overhauled in the summer: Lilian Brassier was sold to Eintracht for €8.5 million, and Charlie Cresswell is now partnering Rouault.
🔁 Update - 11 September, 05:08 UTC:
- Centre-back Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, who missed the last match, is set to return. The 20-year-old Moroccan did not play against Angers, despite having started the first two league rounds. According to French media, he is most likely to start against Marseille. That said, Rennes have conceded in 12 of the last 13 matches in which Ait Boudlal started.
🔁 Update - 11 September, 12:58 UTC:
- Rennes published their squad list for the match on matchday. As expected, defenders Gonçalo Oliveira and Alidu Seidu were absent, along with Arnaud Nordin. The latter has played 32 minutes on the pitch this season.
Olympique Marseille
❓ Genesio's injury list is small but significant: both Geoffroy Kondogbia and Tochukwu Nnadi are unavailable for the match in Rennes, having also missed the game against Paris. The visitors have no suspended players. Defender Leonardo Balerdi left on loan to Roma in the summer, while Mason Greenwood joined Fenerbahçe for €39 million.
🔁 Update - 11 September, 7:35 UTC:
- According to Opta, Marseille have made their worst start to a Ligue 1 season in 19 years, and Bruno Genesio their worst start to a season in four years. That said, Marseille have scored in 6 of their last 7 matches including pre-season games. The other side of the coin: they have conceded in 6 of their last 8.
🔁 Update - 11 September, 12:48 UTC:
- Marseille's press service have published the squad list for the trip to Rennes. Twenty-one players are included. As expected, Kondogbia and Nnadi are absent. Also left out of the travelling party are several young players: defenders Kelyann Bézahaf, Mohamed Hamzaoui and Alexi Koum Mbondo, and forward Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Rennes starting XI: Samba - Frankowski, Cresswell, Rouault, Merlin - Rongier - Blas, Szymański, Camara, Tamari - Lepaul.
📋 Predicted Marseille starting XI: De Lange - Weah, Egan-Riley, Aguerd, Emerson - Abdelli, Højbjerg - Harit, Gomes, Paixão - Gouiri.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Marseille have been limited to one goal in this fixture: that has been the case in 8 of their last 9 visits to Roazon Park. Away from home, the picture is the same - a run of eight consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their only away trip of the season confirmed as much: Genesio's side failed to score in Monaco. The bet is Marseille Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.66*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Rennes' last 10 official matches have produced 128 corners in total - 12.8 per game, with the hosts themselves taking 7.1 of those. Marseille's numbers are more modest: 96 corners, 9.6 per match. The average for this pair works out at 11.2 corners per game, which is noticeably above 9.5. The calculation rests on the home side: Marseille's opponents average just four corners per game. The bet is Total Corners - Over 9.5.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In their last 10 matches, Rennes have been shown 33 yellow cards - 3.3 per game, with 1.7 of those going to the hosts themselves. Marseille's numbers are higher: 38 cards, 3.8 per match, split evenly at 1.9 each side. Adding each team's figure to their opponents' opponents' average gives 1.8 for Rennes and 1.75 for Marseille, combining to 3.55. That points towards a bet on Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
A clean sheet seems unlikely here. Both teams have scored in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches at Roazon Park. Rennes' defence offers little reassurance either - they have conceded in each of their last seven league matches. Marseille, meanwhile, have scored in two out of every three rounds, and Gouiri alone is a threat any defence has to respect. We don't expect either side to leave the pitch without scoring. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Stade Rennes - Olympique Marseille
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