Marseille vs Rennes Prediction 3 February 2026
🔊 Which team will advance to the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France: Marseille or Rennes? These rivals face off on Tuesday at the Orange Vélodrome to determine whose cup journey ends and who continues the quest for the trophy. We anticipate a fiercely contested match, so we've decided to delve deeper into the game and provide a well-founded prediction on its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have a back-and-forth head-to-head record, but the home side tends to come out on top more often. In three of the last four matches between Marseille and Rennes, the victory went to the team playing on their home turf.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Rennes
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
🔵 Marseille recently faced elimination from one tournament-the Champions League-and they are certainly not keen on crashing out of another this week. A reminder that their 3-0 defeat to Club Brugge ended their Champions League playoff hopes. Following that, Roberto De Zerbi's side saw their winning streak in the French league come to a halt with a 2-2 draw against Paris FC.
⚪ In the match against Paris, Marseille led 2-0 but failed to hold onto their advantage, conceding a penalty in the 90+3 minute. This lapse in concentration cost them valuable points in their quest for a Champions League spot next season. If Roberto De Zerbi's men continue to falter in the closing stages of matches, they risk an early exit from the French Cup as well.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Stade Rennes Team Overview
🔴 Rennes were an exemplary team until mid-January, securing numerous victories that propelled them up the Ligue 1 standings. However, the end of the first calendar month saw a downturn: zero points from two league matches and an equal number of goals scored.
⚫ Habib Beye's squad faced setbacks in games against Lorient (0-2) and Monaco (0-4). It's important to note that Monaco are not the formidable side they were last year - they've been beaten by many teams lately, yet Rennes failed to capitalize. The main issue in these encounters was a complete breakdown in their attacking line, as the "Red and Blacks" struggled to create anything upfront.
Match Results: Stade Rennes
Latest news
Olympique Marseille
❌ Marseille have just one potential absentee ahead of their clash with Rennes, and even that is uncertain. Italian defender Emerson, who sustained a thigh injury late last month, is the cornerstone of the "blue and whites" defense. He has already missed four matches due to this injury (two in the Champions League and two in Ligue 1). His participation against Rennes remains highly doubtful.
Stade Rennes
🎙 Rennes head coach Habib Beye shared his thoughts on the defeat to Monaco and the upcoming Coupe de France match. "After such a loss, we grow, just like a few months ago when we were going through a rough patch. Today, some of our players performed below their usual standards. We need to ask ourselves why. When we underperform, opponents need to step up. On Tuesday, we'll have opportunities, and we must seize them," Beye stated.
❌ Ahead of the match against Marseille, Rennes are dealing with injury setbacks. Valentin Rongier (calf injury) is not yet ready to return to the pitch, but it should happen soon, as the head coach mentioned in a recent press conference. Seko Fofana (calf injury) has started running again in training.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Leonard. Over the course of 100 matches, he averages 3.64 yellow cards per game, with 24 fouls. This season, the yellow card statistics for the teams are as follows: when Marseille play at home, they average 2 yellow cards per game, while Rennes average 1.7 on the road. Both teams tend to avoid frequent bookings, so we suggest a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
This season, Marseille's average individual total is 2.6 goals per game, while Rennes score an average of 1.6. The overall scoring in matches involving these teams is high: 3.6 for the hosts and 3.1 for the visitors. Given these stats, we recommend considering a bet on match total over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Corners Prediction
This season across all competitions, Marseille average 5.5 corners per game, while Rennes have 6.3 in the same period. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and boast above-average statistics among French clubs, so we propose a bet on total corners over 8.5.
Editorial Prediction
Marseille are not in their best form currently, largely due to emotional setbacks following their Champions League exit, which has impacted their league performances as well. Rennes, on the other hand, face a genuine issue over the past two weeks: their attack is faltering, and the defense isn't stepping up either. Against this backdrop, betting on a Marseille victory seems promising. We predict the hosts will win with a scoreline of 3-0.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Stade Rennes
in 7 of last 8 home games against Stade Rennes.
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