Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction 30 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Interest in the match between Independiente Medellín and Millonarios is fuelled by the similar situation in both camps. In recent weeks the visitors have picked up a higher scoring tempo, though the hosts also maintain decent numbers at home. The main contrast here is Millonarios's attacking momentum away from home against a balanced Independiente Medellín.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Millonarios):

    • ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 4 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Medellin and Millonarios:

    • played 45 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 14, draws - 16;
    • number of goals - 53 against 60;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.09, in the 2nd half - 1.42;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.51.

    Head-to-head statistics Independiente Medellin - Millonarios

    33%
    15 Wins
    36%
    16 Draws
    31%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    2.51
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.18
    Total average
    1.33
    Last matches
    02.02.26
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    3
    5
    4
    11
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    4
    11
    5
    3
    03.08.25
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.02
    0.45
    2
    5
    11
    16
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.02
    0.45
    2
    5
    11
    16
    3
    3
    16.02.25
    Primera A
    Millonarios FC
    Millonarios FC
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    0.43
    1.03
    4
    3
    6
    15
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.43
    1.03
    4
    3
    6
    15
    2
    2
    19.07.24
    Primera A
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    13
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    13
    4
    4
    21.01.24
    Liga Aguila, Apertura
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    1
    3
    16
    10
    4
    3
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    16
    10
    4
    3
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    Independiente Medellin Team Overview

    The team's last official match was played on in the Primera A (home side - Deportes Tolima, away side - Independiente Medellín). The match ended 2:3.

    The match statistics were as follows (Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima):

    • possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 10 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 11.

    Independiente Medellín come into this match after three wins in their last five games, with one draw and one defeat. Over the previous ten matches, the team have managed five wins, two losses and three draws, which points to consistent form over a long stretch. On average, the side score 1.6 goals per game over this period and concede 1.3. At home, Independiente Medellín maintain good organisation: in most matches they manage to control the flow of the game, but their attacking output rarely goes beyond one or two goals.

    Match Results: Independiente Medellin

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    18
    10
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    18
    10
    2
    3
    L
    22.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Jaguares de Cordoba
    Jaguares de Cordoba
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    9
    11
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    9
    11
    2
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    1
    9
    13
    16
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    9
    13
    16
    2
    3
    D
    12.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    5
    1
    11
    16
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    11
    16
    1
    3
    L
    10.09.26
    Cup
    Pasto
    Pasto
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    6
    3
    15
    10
    1
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    1
    2
    -
    -
    6
    3
    15
    10
    1
    1
    W
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    Millonarios Team Overview

    The last official match of the current away side took place in the Primera A (home side - Millonarios, away side - Deportivo Pasto). The match ended 2:0.

    The match stats were as follows (Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto):

    • possession: 33% vs 67%;
    • corners: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 20 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    Millonarios have won four and lost one in their last five matches, showing good resilience even away from home. In the previous ten matches, the visitors have won six and lost twice; the averages are strong - 2.3 goals scored per match and 1.1 conceded confirm an attacking emphasis, especially away from home, where trends point to frequent goal exchanges.

    Match Results: Millonarios

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    3
    2
    16
    17
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    16
    17
    3
    2
    D
    19.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    9
    1
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    9
    1
    3
    W
    14.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    10
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    10
    1
    1
    W
    11.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Deportivo Cali
    Deportivo Cali
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    13
    5
    5
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    13
    5
    5
    D
    06.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Deportivo Pereira
    Deportivo Pereira
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    10
    11
    2
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1.33;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.51;
    • both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 12.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios

    • average total in the tournament: 2.77 vs 2.64;
    • average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.55;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.64;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.91;
    • Independiente Medellin: average total at home in the tournament -  1.45;
    • Millonarios: average total away in the tournament - 1.3;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 2.3 (away - 3.4).
    Trends
    • Millonarios have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Independiente Medellin.
    👉Prediction: Millonarios Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 45;
    • both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 12 times.
    Trends
    • Millonarios have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.8)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (35/232, 15.1%);
    • Independiente Medellin at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/11, 27.3%);
    • Millonarios away most often play: 2:1 (3/10, 30%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.36% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 9.27% (odds 4)
    0:1 - 8.18% (odds 4.2)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both teams can afford to play with more ambition going forward rather than limiting themselves to defensive setups just to minimise the risk of mistakes. The key factor is Millonarios' run of six consecutive away matches with goals at both ends: this is backed up by the visitors' high average scoring rate in recent weeks and Independiente Medellín's decent home record in terms of goals scored. This scenario points to an open game - the editor's main pick: both teams to score.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-125
    Published: 09/08/2026, 20:56
    Vitaly Belokhvostov
    Vitaly Belokhvostov
    Football specialist
    1
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    1
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    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Independiente Medellin - Millonarios

    Millonarios have drawn in the 1st half:
    millonarios-fcin 6 of last 7 away games (Liga Aguila).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Independiente Medellin have not lost:
    independiente-medellinmillonarios-fcin 14 of last 15 home games against Millonarios (Liga Aguila).
    independiente-medellinmillonarios-fcin 8 of last 9 home games against Millonarios.
    independiente-medellinmillonarios-fcin 7 of last 8 games against Millonarios (Liga Aguila).
    Independiente Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -294
    Millonarios have not lost:
    millonarios-fcin 11 of last 12 away games.
    millonarios-fcin 10 of last 11 games (Liga Aguila).
    millonarios-fcin 7 of last 8 away games (Liga Aguila).
    Millonarios will not lose
    Everygame
    -182
    Independiente Medellin have scored:
    independiente-medellinmillonarios-fcin 11 of last 12 home games against Millonarios (Liga Aguila).
    independiente-medellinin 23 of last 25 games (Liga Aguila).
    independiente-medellinin 14 of last 15 home games (Liga Aguila).
    Millonarios have conceded:
    millonarios-fcin 17 of last 19 away games.
    Independiente Medellin will score goal
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Independiente Medellin - Millonarios Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    1977526-2628
    9.
    Deportivo Cali
    Deportivo Cali
    1976620-1627
    10.
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1975731-2326
    11.
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1975726-2426
    12.
    Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
    Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
    1975720-2526
    13.
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    1958626-2023

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 12
    +6
    +7
    15 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    5
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    15
    12
    Conceded
    8
    3
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats