Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction 14 September 2026
🔊 The closing match of the fourth round of the English Premier League. Newcastle United, buoyed by an unbeaten run, travel to Leeds looking to fight for three points and a place in the top five after four rounds. The Peacocks gave Chelsea a real game in the League Cup this week, treating their fans to a genuine goal fest before going out in the next round (3-6). So who will come out on top here - the Peacocks or the Magpies?
🔁 Keep an eye on updates to this prediction: if any significant news emerges, we will adjust our recommendations. Check back closer to kick-off.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides met twice last season, and the matches could hardly have been more different. At Leeds, the game ended in a goalless draw, while the match in Newcastle was an end-to-end affair that finished 4-3 to the Magpies.
Head-to-head statistics Leeds - Newcastle
Leeds United Team Overview
The Peacocks began their season with two matches against Nottingham Forest - one in the league and one in the League Cup. They turned both results in their favour, progressing to the next round of the cup and picking up their first three league points of the season. After that, they drew 1-1 with both Brentford and Brighton, before their League Cup run ended with a 3-6 defeat to Chelsea.
Leeds have taken 5 points from a possible 9 and are comfortably settled in mid-table, though there is a clear lack of composure in their defensive play - they have conceded in three consecutive matches. Leeds tend to perform well at home and are currently on a run of six matches without defeat on their own ground.
Match Results: Leeds United
Newcastle United Team Overview
Since Matthias Jaissle took charge of Newcastle, the team has gradually found form, integrated their new signings and gone into the new season on a five-match unbeaten run. The Magpies have come through two rounds of the League Cup, beating West Brom (3-2) and Millwall (1-0). In the league, they won away at Tottenham (2-0) but have drawn twice at home, against Liverpool and Bournemouth, both matches finishing 2-2.
Newcastle have a solid five points and are established in the top half of the table. They have gone unbeaten in eight of their last nine matches. However, the defensive side of their game leaves something to be desired - in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches, Newcastle have conceded. The standout achievement of Jaissle's first month in charge is arguably how smoothly the new signings have been brought into the team. Amar Dedic and Lukáš Horníček have slotted straight into the side and quickly become key parts of it.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Leeds United
❌ Three players will be unavailable to the German manager for the match against Newcastle - Ilia Gruev, Joe Rodon and Mateo Fernandez. All three continue to recover from injuries.
🔁 Update, 14 September, 9:38 UTC:
- Ilia Gruev is close to returning. The Bulgarian midfielder played for Leeds' under-21 side in Premier League 2 against Middlesbrough last weekend. According to MOT Leeds News, the 26-year-old will miss the Newcastle match but should be available to the first team in the near future.
Newcastle United
❌ Matthias Jaissle is without Joelinton, Dan Burn and William Osula.
❓ Amar Dedic's participation remains in doubt, and his absence would significantly affect Newcastle's defensive play.
🔁 Update, 14 September, 04:22 UTC:
- Ewen Jaouën could also miss the match against Leeds. Newcastle's second goalkeeper is having problems with his ankle. The 20-year-old has featured only once this season, in the League Cup match against West Brom (3-2), where he saved just one of three shots and received a yellow card.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Leeds: Trafford - Gudmundsson, Muhamerovic, Elvedi, Justin, Bogle - Stach, Ampadu - Okafor, Calvert-Lewin, Tanaka.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Newcastle: Hornicek - Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Dedic - Miley, Nico - Barnes, Willock, Elanga - Wissa.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The visitors have been consistently finding the net at the start of the season, scoring ten goals in their first five matches. Their attacking style comes at a defensive cost, and they have been conceding even against less formidable opponents - West Brom managed to score twice against the Magpies. Leeds, in their last three matches, have been regularly involved in games with goals at both ends, scoring five and conceding eight over that run. Here we're going with Both Teams to Score - Yes, priced at 1.64*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The trends suggest a high probability of plenty of corners in this match. Total Corners - Over 8.5 landed in seven of the last eight Premier League head-to-head meetings between these two sides. Newcastle are currently among the top four teams in the Premier League for corners this season, averaging a combined total of 10.3 corners per game. Matthias Jaissle's side alone average 6.8 corners per match, and in their recent cup tie against Millwall they took that figure to an extreme, winning 15 corners. We expect this match to produce plenty of corners and are backing Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.56*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Matches between Leeds and Newcastle in the Premier League have traditionally been feisty affairs. In their most recent head-to-head meeting in the league - which ended in a 4:3 win for the Magpies - the referee showed 5 yellow cards across the two sides. Looking at the longer-term head-to-head record, the average number of bookings per game is over 4.3. Away from home, Matthias Jaißle's side frequently disrupt the opposition's quick transitions with petty and tactical fouls under the pressure of a hostile crowd. Our prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5, priced at 1.71*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Leeds have yet to face a serious, high-profile opponent in the Premier League this season, playing only teams of a similar level in the opening rounds. The Peacocks have not lost, but they have managed just one win, and that came by the narrowest of margins. When Leeds faced their first real test of the season against Chelsea in the League Cup, they were immediately on the wrong end of a heavy defeat, conceding six goals. Newcastle, by contrast, have already been through several tough tests against big-six sides from the very start of the season. A draw with Liverpool and an away win at Tottenham suggest that even against serious opposition, Newcastle are not prepared to give up points. Against Leeds, the Magpies will certainly be competing. The main prediction is Newcastle not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Leeds United - Newcastle United
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