Sturm vs Wolfsburg Prediction 30 September 2026
🔊 Sturm and Wolfsburg meet on 30 September in the second leg of the second qualifying round of the women's UEFA Women's Cup. The first match in Germany ended in a 6-1 win for Wolfsburg, meaning the Austrian side need to overturn a five-goal deficit in the return fixture. Wolfsburg have already all but secured their place in the next round, while Sturm have little option but to attack and try to at least make a decent account of themselves in the tie.
The first leg highlighted the difference between the teams.
Wolfsburg were completely in control in the first leg and led 4-0 by the 37th minute, with goals from Ella Peddemoers, Lara Prasnikar, Smilla Vallotto and Svenja Huth. After the break, Sturm pulled one back through Brigitta Pulins, but the German side had the final say - Katharina Piljić and Lena Lattwein made it 6-1.
The statistics reflected Wolfsburg's dominance: 74% possession and nine corners to their opponents' three, while Sturm managed just three shots on target compared to a far greater number of chances created by Wolfsburg.
Head-to-head statistics Sturm - Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg maintain a high tempo
After the first leg, the German side showed no signs of letting up. On 27 September, Wolfsburg thrashed Sand 6-0 in the first round of the DFB-Pokal, and in the league they had already beaten Nuremberg, Bayer, Werder and Stuttgart. They have been scoring freely from the start of the season and are comfortably making their class advantage count.
In the second leg, the coaching staff may allow themselves a degree of rotation. In the first match after the break, Wolfsburg made three substitutions immediately and continued to change their personnel through the second half. That could reduce the intensity somewhat, but even the squad players should find enough space against a side that needs to push forward.
Match Results: Sturm Graz (W)
Sturm suffer another setback
For Sturm, the second leg comes on the back of another poor result. On 27 September they lost 2-0 at home to Austria Vienna, with the score remaining 0-0 until the 76th minute. Sturm struggled to create chances and frequently relied on long balls and aerial duels.
Before the defeat to Wolfsburg, the Austrian side had been in good form, winning five matches in a row and coming through their European Cup qualifying tie against Gintra 7-4 on aggregate. The level of opposition in Germany was a different matter entirely, though. Sturm will now need to attack in much greater numbers, which both creates opportunities of their own and opens up space for Wolfsburg on the counter-attack.
Match Results: Wolfsburg (W)
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The first match produced no bookings at all. The second leg could be played at a different tempo: Sturm need to overturn the deficit, so the Austrian side will look to win more duels and disrupt their opponents' attacks more frequently. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, have no need to push the pace constantly. With that in mind, Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 seems a reasonable option here.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The first match produced seven goals. The scenario here may be somewhat different: Sturm are forced to take risks, while Wolfsburg can exploit the space behind the hosts' defence. Possible rotation from the visitors means another 6:1 rout cannot automatically be expected. However, Sturm need to push forward from virtually the first minute, so space for Wolfsburg to attack should open up regularly. The main selection is Total Goals - Over 3.5 at 1.92*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
In the first leg, Wolfsburg won the corner count 9-3. The German side spent most of the match in the opposition half, regularly working the flanks and creating chances from crosses and set pieces. In the second leg, Sturm will almost certainly be far more aggressive, as they need to score. That could increase the number of attacking moves from the hosts, but at the same time it will leave Wolfsburg space to hit on the break. In that scenario, both sides are capable of regularly pushing attacks through to their conclusion. The pick is Total Corners - Over 8.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Wolfsburg effectively settled the tie in the first leg. The German side have continued to perform confidently in their domestic competition, while Sturm, by contrast, lost to Austria and go into the second leg on the back of two consecutive defeats.
The hosts will have to open up and push forward, as overturning a five-goal deficit requires the most aggressive approach possible. That simultaneously increases Sturm's chances of scoring and creates good conditions for Wolfsburg on the counter-attack. So even with possible rotation from the visitors, a high-scoring game can be expected here.
The main bet is Total Goals - Over 3.5. Predicted score: Sturm 1-4 Wolfsburg.
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Betting Tips: Sturm Graz (W) - Wolfsburg (W)
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