Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction 7 January 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Can the audacious Leeds disrupt Newcastle's push towards the top 5? One of the final fixtures of the Premier League's 21st round features a clash between the Magpies and the Peacocks at St. James' Park. When it comes to picking a favorite, there's little room for doubt: despite Leeds' solid form, Newcastle's formidable home performances make them the more favorable choice. Let's delve into the key aspects of this upcoming match in more detail.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Newcastle and Leeds have such a friendly rivalry that they've settled for a draw in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head encounters. The Magpies are undoubtedly a high-profile team, yet they've managed to defeat the Peacocks only once in their last 8 meetings.

    Head-to-head statistics Newcastle - Leeds

    42%
    5 Wins
    42%
    5 Draws
    17%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    12
    Total Goals Avg
    2.58
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.42
    Total average
    1.17
    1.42
    Yellow cards
    2.25
    Last matches
    07.01.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    2.89
    2.06
    8
    4
    11
    10
    3
    2
    4
    3
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2.89
    2.06
    8
    4
    11
    10
    3
    2
    30.08.25
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.62
    0.39
    5
    5
    10
    15
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.62
    0.39
    5
    5
    10
    15
    1
    1
    13.05.23
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    14
    14
    4
    2
    31.12.22
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    19
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    19
    3
    5
    22.01.22
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    -
    -
    6
    7
    9
    8
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    7
    9
    8
    4
    2
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    Newcastle United Team Overview

    Newcastle have long struggled to find their footing in the Premier League, with inconsistent performances keeping them in the lower half of the table. Although they haven't soared dramatically (currently sitting in 9th place), they're just two points shy of the top five. The Magpies have secured the lion's share of their points at home, losing only 2 out of 10 matches on their turf, while clinching six victories.

    Their sixth win came in the last round. Eddie Howe's side faced a tough opponent in Crystal Palace (2-0), and it was a tense affair. The Black and Whites netted both goals between the 70th and 80th minutes. Captain Bruno Guimarães showcased his scoring prowess, finding the back of the net for the second consecutive match. Previously, his goal sealed an away victory over Burnley (3-1).

    Match Results: Newcastle United

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.76
    1.16
    9
    7
    15
    9
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.76
    1.16
    9
    7
    15
    9
    1
    2
    W
    26.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    3.16
    1.73
    6
    2
    14
    13
    3
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    3.16
    1.73
    6
    2
    14
    13
    3
    3
    W
    23.08.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.21
    3.51
    2
    6
    16
    15
    5
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    3.51
    2
    6
    16
    15
    5
    3
    D
    16.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    -
    -
    5
    7
    8
    10
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    7
    8
    10
    0
    0
    D
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    -
    -
    3
    3
    8
    17
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    8
    17
    0
    1
    L
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    Leeds United Team Overview

    For over a month now, Leeds have been consistently picking up points each round, steadily distancing themselves from the relegation zone. The gap is quite substantial-eight points-so Daniel Farke can rest easy about his managerial position, at least as long as the team keeps delivering such results.

    The "Peacocks" seem to be embracing draws as their specialty-since early December, they've racked up five of them. In their last three outings, the "Whites" have consistently left the pitch with a single point. Sometimes they outplayed their opponents, like in the match against Sunderland (1-1), other times they were outperformed, as seen against Liverpool (0-0), and occasionally they matched their rivals evenly, such as in the clash with Manchester United (1-1).

    Match Results: Leeds United

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Brentford
    Brentford
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    D
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.52
    1.71
    3
    2
    15
    12
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.52
    1.71
    3
    2
    15
    12
    4
    3
    W
    22.08.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    0.88
    0.75
    3
    2
    15
    14
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.88
    0.75
    3
    2
    15
    14
    2
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    -
    -
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    W
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Newcastle United

    🎙 Eddie Howe summarized the encounter with Crystal Palace: "It was a tough game; it's always challenging against Palace. The substitutions helped us achieve our goal. We've secured two consecutive wins, but there's still a lot of work ahead. I consider today's match an important step forward," stated the English manager.

    ❌ Dan Burn, William Osula, Anthony Elanga, Emil Krafth - that's the injury list for Newcastle. Each of these players has missed at least the last three Premier League fixtures. Jacob Murphy sustained a hamstring injury during the game against Crystal Palace, but Eddie Howe reported that the examination revealed nothing serious for the winger.

    Leeds United

    🎙 Daniel Farke on facing Manchester United: "Securing a point at home against Manchester United is always an achievement. As a newly promoted team, we were considered underdogs, yet there's a bit of disappointment because we could have won the match. We looked slightly fatigued and were missing several key players. From a footballing perspective, it might not have been our best performance, but we found a way to defend very well and push forward, so victory was within reach. It speaks volumes about us that we're disappointed with just a point against Manchester United."

    ❌ Leeds don't have too many injury concerns. Daniel James (hamstring) and Joe Rodon (ankle) remain sidelined, but according to Daniel Farke, Jayden Bogle, who missed the last match, is expected to return.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    Michael Salisbury, who will officiate the upcoming match, doesn't hold back when it comes to handing out cards. He averages 4.9 cautions per game in the current Premier League season. The Englishman has shown more than 3.5 yellow cards in his last six Premier League outings. He's consistently an over card ref. Therefore, we find the odds on over 2.5 yellow cards to be quite generous and suggest taking this bet. It has hit in nine consecutive games involving Newcastle, and this is just one of many trends indicating that this is a sound choice.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    No matter who Leeds are up against, they always find the net. This trend is reliable, with the "Peacocks" seeing both teams score in 9 out of their last 10 Premier League matches. We're backing this scenario once again. Our pick is both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Newcastle are the league leaders in average corners per game (6.35), and their home record is particularly impressive at 7.4. At home, the Magpies can overwhelm any team with corners. Thus, the optimal bet is over 4.5 corners for the hosts. Eddie Howe's side has surpassed this mark in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches at St James' Park.

    Editorial Prediction

    Newcastle are formidable at home-a well-established fact by now. Leeds have been performing decently of late, but this challenging away fixture could prove disastrous for them. The Peacocks barely escaped Anfield on January 1st, and we believe they won't be as fortunate this time around. The Magpies will be more aggressive in front of goal and claim victory-this is the prediction from Scores24's team. Based on the above, the anticipated scoreline is 3-1, with the main bet being a Newcastle win.

    Newcastle United Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-141
    Published: 06/01/2026, 16:17

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    Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Leeds United

    Newcastle United have drawn in the 1st half:
    newcastle-unitedleeds-unitedin last 5 games against Leeds United (Premier League).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +138
    Leeds United have drawn:
    leeds-unitedin 5 of last 6 games (Premier League).
    leeds-unitedin last 3 away games (Premier League).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +295
    Newcastle United have not won:
    newcastle-unitedleeds-unitedin 7 of last 8 games against Leeds United.
    Leeds United have not lost:
    leeds-unitedin last 7 games (Premier League).
    Leeds United will not lose
    Everygame
    +117
    Newcastle United have not lost:
    newcastle-unitedin last 11 home games.
    newcastle-unitedin last 7 home games (Premier League).
    Leeds United have not won:
    leeds-unitedin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Newcastle United will not lose
    Everygame
    -625
    View more facts

    Newcastle - Leeds Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152
    12.
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    381471753-5549
    13.
    Everton
    Everton
    3813101547-5049
    14.
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    3811141349-5647
    15.
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    3811121541-5145

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 14
    +2
    +5
    16 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    16
    14
    Conceded
    11
    3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats