Auxerre vs Nice Prediction 12 September 2026
🔊 On Saturday in Auxerre, Ligue 1’s leakiest defence faces off against its least effective attack. The hosts remain the only side yet to pick up a point after three rounds, while the visitors sit just above them thanks to a pair of draws. Both teams are desperate to claim their first win of the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Auxerre have a strong home record in this fixture, avoiding defeat at the Abbé-Deschamps in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head clashes. Back in May, the hosts edged out their rivals 2-1. However, Auxerre rarely keep a clean sheet here-conceding in 10 of their last 11 meetings at home. More often than not, they let one in early, with goals against them before half-time in 9 of the last 10 encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Auxerre - Nice
Auxerre Team Overview
Will Still took charge of Auxerre this summer-the 33-year-old Englishman signed a contract through 2028, returning to France after a brief stint with Southampton, where he was dismissed back in November. So far, things haven't clicked: three matches, three defeats, zero points, and bottom of the table. Still demands high pressing and possession-based football. Against Angers, Auxerre enjoyed 58 percent possession, but Anthony Lopes produced seven saves to deny them, leaving the hosts empty-handed despite their efforts.
The issue isn't up front: Auxerre have found the net in eight consecutive Ligue 1 fixtures. The problems are at the back-11 goals conceded in three games, including five at Lens, and three apiece against Angers and Lyon. However, it's a different story at home: Auxerre have lost just once in their last six Ligue 1 outings on their own turf.
Match Results: Auxerre
Nice Team Overview
Olivier Pantaloni has returned to the club where he once came through the youth ranks, only to find it in the midst of a major sell-off. Mohamed-Ali Cho departed for Hull in a €15 million deal, Kodjo Oppong joined Fenerbahce for €12 million, and Terem Moffi made the move to Hamburg. In their place, the club mostly brought in loanees: Elie Wahi and Niels Nkounkou arrived from Eintracht, while Mohamed Amoura joined from Wolfsburg. Pantaloni has managed to assemble a fairly solid backline-just four goals conceded in three matches, with three of those coming in a single game against PSG.
But up front, things have stalled. Nice went 180 minutes without finding the net, finally opening their account for the season when Elie Wahi scored in the third round. They haven’t tasted victory in Ligue 1 since March, when they managed to get past Angers. Their last six away fixtures in the league have also ended without a win. At the moment, Nice sit 15th in the table.
Match Results: Nice
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Auxerre
❌ Still faces a lengthy injury list that shows no signs of shrinking. Bryan Okoh is out for the long haul after suffering a cruciate ligament tear, while Assan Dioussé (knee), Francisco Sierralta, Marven Senaya, and Telli Sive are all sidelined. Sekou Fofana is a doubt due to a pubic bone injury, with Axel Tuanzebe and Fredrik Oppegard also questionable. On the bright side, Still managed to restore his central defence: Chris Makosso has served his suspension following a red card in Lens and returned to the starting lineup in Lyon.
Nice
❓ Pantaloni are dealing with a lengthy injury list: Morgan Sanson, Moïse Bombito, and Laurent Abergel remain sidelined, while Hicham Boudaoui also missed the clash against Le Mans. Over the weekend, Boudaoui was linked with a move to CSKA, but the Russian transfer window closed on September 10. The latest additions to the treatment room are Ali Abdi and Antoine Mendy-who came off the bench in the previous round-and both are doubtful for Saturday’s fixture. Salis Abdul Samed is also a question mark.
Probable Lineups
📋 Auxerre’s projected starting XI: M. Diop - Akpa, Legros, Makosso, Sy - Piedfort, Danoua - Labo-Lascari, Ahamada, Loader - Archer.
📋 Nice’s projected starting XI: Diouf - Abdelmonem, Ndayishimiye, Mandza - Klass, Koulibaly, Witsel, Nkunku - Ngoumo, S. Diop - Wahi.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
High-scoring thrillers have been a rarity in this fixture: 20 of the last 21 Ligue 1 head-to-heads have seen fewer than four goals. Nice have followed a similar pattern on the road, with under 3.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away games. The only concern is Auxerre, whose matches this season have all featured at least four goals. However, it’s worth noting that Lens, Angers, and Lyon were the ones finding the net against them, while Nice have managed fewer than two goals combined in their recent away trips. The pick here is under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.35*.
🚩 Corner Kicks Prediction
Corners have been one of the few consistent areas for Nice lately: over their last 10 competitive fixtures, they average 5.6 corners per match. Their numbers look even better against Auxerre-Nice have won more than four corners in six of their last seven head-to-head encounters. Auxerre tend to invite pressure, too: their opponents have averaged 5.8 corners over Auxerre’s previous 10 official games. The pick here is Nice over 4.5 corners at 1.83*.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The match will be officiated by François Letexier. So far this season, the French referee hasn’t exactly been strict-he handed out just two yellow cards in his only Ligue 1 appearance. However, the teams themselves show different numbers: in Auxerre’s last 10 games, referees have averaged 3.8 bookings per match, while Nice’s games have seen an average of 3.3. The pick here is over 2.5 yellow cards.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
The visitors’ main issue is clear - they simply don’t score enough. Nice have managed more than one goal in just one of their last 13 Ligue 1 matches. That trend continues on the road, with six of their last seven away games seeing them fail to score more than once. In this particular head-to-head, Nice have failed to score more than a single goal in each of their last seven visits.
Nice are likely to find the net at least once - after all, Auxerre haven’t kept a single clean sheet all season. But expecting more from the visitors seems unrealistic at this point. We don’t see Nice scoring more than once here. The pick: Nice individual total under 1.5. Predicted scoreline - 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Auxerre - Nice
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