Sudan vs Ethiopia Prediction 25 September 2026
🔊 Sudan are playing their home match in Juba - the capital of South Sudan, which became an independent state 15 years ago. Football in Sudan itself has been disrupted by the war between the army and the Rapid Support Forces, so the federation chose a neighbouring country as their venue. Getting off to a bad start is costly: only two teams from a group containing Senegal and Mozambique will qualify for the Africa Cup of Nations.
Head-to-Head
Sudan and Ethiopia have met only twice at official level. The last meeting was played in Sudan and ended in a home win, 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Sudan - Ethiopia
Sudan Team Overview
Sudan are still managed by Ghanaian coach James Kwasi Appiah. At the Africa Cup of Nations in winter, his side got through the group stage without scoring a single goal from open play - their win over Equatorial Guinea came courtesy of an own goal. In the Round of 16 on 3 January, Sudan took the lead against Senegal as early as the sixth minute but lost 3-1. They have not played since - a friendly against Qatar in May was cancelled. According to Appiah, players arrived at the training camp in Taif, Saudi Arabia in groups, with many still involved in CAF club competitions. At home, though, Sudan are a difficult proposition: they are unbeaten in ten consecutive matches. They also tend to start cautiously - the first half has ended level in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
Match Results: Sudan
Ethiopia Team Overview
In January, Yohannes Sahle took charge of the Ethiopia national team again, having previously managed them in 2015-2016. 2026 has gone well for the side so far: three wins and a draw. In the preliminary round of qualifying, Ethiopia beat São Tomé and Príncipe on aggregate (4-0). Sahle named a 39-man squad for September, 37 of whom play in the Ethiopian league. The team's familiar weakness remains: they have gone without a win in 21 of their last 23 away matches.
Match Results: Ethiopia
Prediction for the 1st half
At home, Sudan have almost always gone in level at half-time: that has been the case in 9 of their last 10 matches. We expect the first half against Ethiopia to also end without a winner. The bet is a first-half draw.
Risky Bet
Sudan - Handicap (-1.0) - an option for those expecting the hosts to beat Ethiopia with something to spare. The bet wins if Sudan win by two goals or more, and returns if they win by one. The basis is Sudan's run: they have gone ten consecutive home matches without defeat. It should be noted, though, that the match will be played not in Sudan but in Juba.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13.34%), 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (10.34%). The highest probability belongs to 1-0.
Risky Bet
Sudan - Handicap -1.0 - an option for those expecting the hosts to beat Ethiopia with something to spare. The bet wins if Sudan win by two goals or more, and stakes are returned if they win by exactly one. The basis is Sudan's run: they have gone [N] consecutive home matches without defeat. It should be noted, though, that the match will be played not in Sudan but in Juba.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sudan have scored more than one goal in just 1 of their last 16 matches. In AFCON qualifying it is the same story - they have managed more than one goal in only 1 of their last 10 games. Ethiopia's defence has held firm this year: across four matches in 2026 they have conceded just one goal. We do not expect Sudan to score more than once here. The bet is Sudan Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Sudan - Ethiopia
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in last 10 home games.
in 21 of last 23 away games.
in 15 of last 16 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 6 of last 7 Sudan home games.in 16 of last 18 Ethiopia away games.in 13 of last 15 Ethiopia games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
