Atletico Nacional vs Sao Paulo Prediction
📢 Can we anticipate a high-scoring affair in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Atlético Nacional and São Paulo? The Colombian side are in excellent form, having won three of their last five matches, and they will be eager to extend their successful run at home. Meanwhile, São Paulo are unbeaten in their last eight games and are poised to showcase their strength in the upcoming clash.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Sao Paulo:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 2, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 7 against 5;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.83, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin, away team - Alianza Valledupar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Atlético Nacional are showing strong form at home. The team have been consistent, with six wins in their last ten matches backing up their performance. However, they are prone to defensive lapses, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per game. The "Verdolagas" favor a style of play focused on ball possession and quick flank attacks, which regularly yields positive results for them.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

Sao Paulo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Sao Paulo, away - Vitoria). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Sao Paulo vs Vitoria):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
São Paulo excelled in the group stage, securing four wins and two draws over six matches, showcasing their high level of play both at home and away. The "Tricolor" exhibit a well-balanced game: their solid defense concedes an average of just 0.67 goals per match, while their attack delivers 1.5 goals per game. Notably, they effectively employ a counter-attacking strategy to achieve their results.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Latest news
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Atlético Nacional head into their next match with a few personnel setbacks: Dairon Asprilla and Sebastián Guzmán are recovering from muscle injuries. The most significant absence is Facundo Batista, who is sidelined until mid-November due to a foot fracture.
Sao Paulo
São Paulo will be without the suspended Lucas Ferreira in their upcoming match. The club also faces a significant injury list: Oscar and Robert Arboleda are recovering and expected to return in early September, Wendell is sidelined until the end of August, and Luis Gustavo will miss the next game due to illness. Jonathan Calleri is set to return only in December, while Ryan Francisco is out for the season with a severe cruciate ligament injury.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.83;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Atletico Nacional Medellin (home) vs Sao Paulo (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 0.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- win percentage: 50% vs 67%;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo
- average total in the tournament: 2.17 vs 2.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 1;
- Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total at home in the tournament - 2.33;
- Sao Paulo: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.6) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 23 of last 25 home games.
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83; at home field - 5.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.4.
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 4.
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 home games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.34 (1.67 for home team and 3.67 for away team).
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.17; at home - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.6.
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 2 (40%).
Editorial Prediction
Atlético Nacional enter this two-legged tie as slight favorites and will aim to establish an advantage at home before the return leg. However, São Paulo have displayed consistent attacking prowess this season, making the outcome of this clash more unpredictable. In 14 of their last 16 matches, the Brazilian side have seen at least two goals scored, and their offensive style could break down the hosts' defense. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 1.5 goals seems well-founded.