Atletico Nacional vs Sao Paulo Prediction

    📢 Can we anticipate a high-scoring affair in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Atlético Nacional and São Paulo? The Colombian side are in excellent form, having won three of their last five matches, and they will be eager to extend their successful run at home. Meanwhile, São Paulo are unbeaten in their last eight games and are poised to showcase their strength in the upcoming clash.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Sao Paulo:

    • played 6 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 2, draws - 1;
    • number of goals - 7 against 5;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.83, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    3 Wins
    25%
    2 Draws
    38%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    1.75
    Both teams scored
    38%
    1
    Total average
    0.75
    2.25
    Yellow cards
    2.5
    Last matches
    20.08.25
    Copa Libertadores
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    1.55
    1.63
    4
    5
    14
    5
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    4
    3
    1.55
    1.63
    4
    5
    14
    5
    3
    4
    13.08.25
    Copa Libertadores
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    2.49
    0.23
    8
    3
    18
    13
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.49
    0.23
    8
    3
    18
    13
    2
    2
    14.07.16
    LIB
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    07.07.16
    LIB
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    27.11.14
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    4
    1
    4
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin, away team - Alianza Valledupar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar):

    • ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 9 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 5.

    Atlético Nacional are showing strong form at home. The team have been consistent, with six wins in their last ten matches backing up their performance. However, they are prone to defensive lapses, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per game. The "Verdolagas" favor a style of play focused on ball possession and quick flank attacks, which regularly yields positive results for them.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    1
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    L
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    12.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    7
    1
    2
    1
    5
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    W
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Sao Paulo, away - Vitoria). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here are the match stats (Sao Paulo vs Vitoria):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 16 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 1.

    São Paulo excelled in the group stage, securing four wins and two draws over six matches, showcasing their high level of play both at home and away. The "Tricolor" exhibit a well-balanced game: their solid defense concedes an average of just 0.67 goals per match, while their attack delivers 1.5 goals per game. Notably, they effectively employ a counter-attacking strategy to achieve their results.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    D
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Atlético Nacional head into their next match with a few personnel setbacks: Dairon Asprilla and Sebastián Guzmán are recovering from muscle injuries. The most significant absence is Facundo Batista, who is sidelined until mid-November due to a foot fracture.

    Sao Paulo

    São Paulo will be without the suspended Lucas Ferreira in their upcoming match. The club also faces a significant injury list: Oscar and Robert Arboleda are recovering and expected to return in early September, Wendell is sidelined until the end of August, and Luis Gustavo will miss the next game due to illness. Jonathan Calleri is set to return only in December, while Ryan Francisco is out for the season with a severe cruciate ligament injury.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 6;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 0.83;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.33.

    First-Half Stats: Atletico Nacional Medellin (home) vs Sao Paulo (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (66.67%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 0.33;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 7 vs 5;
    • losses: 2 vs 1;
    • draws: 1 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Atletico Nacional Medellin to score goal(odds: 2.17)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 50% vs 67%;
    • losses: 3 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 6;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose(odds: 1.3)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 0.83;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
    • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo

    • average total in the tournament: 2.17 vs 2.33;
    • average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.67;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.67;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 1;
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total at home in the tournament -  2.33;
    • Sao Paulo: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.6) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 23 of last 25 home games.
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin will score goal(odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on corners

    Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83; at home field - 5.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.4.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 4.
    Trends
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 home games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Atletico Nacional Medellin Total Over (4.5)(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.34 (1.67 for home team and 3.67 for away team).

    Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.17; at home - 2.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.6.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33, away - 2.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 1.8.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Sao Paulo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin at home - 1 (33%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.65)

    Editorial Prediction

    Atlético Nacional enter this two-legged tie as slight favorites and will aim to establish an advantage at home before the return leg. However, São Paulo have displayed consistent attacking prowess this season, making the outcome of this clash more unpredictable. In 14 of their last 16 matches, the Brazilian side have seen at least two goals scored, and their offensive style could break down the hosts' defense. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 1.5 goals seems well-founded.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 August 2025, 01:24)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Sao Paulo

    Sao Paulo have won
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Sao Paulo Win
    Bovada
    +295
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 8 of last 9 games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Sao Paulo have not lost
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 6 games (Copa Libertadores).
    Sao Paulo will not lose
    Everygame
    -154
    Sao Paulo have scored under 1.5 goals
    atletico-nacional-medellinsao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
    Sao Paulo Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Atletico Nacional - Sao Paulo Table position

    Group stage Group D
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    642010-414
    2.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    62316-59
    3.
    Alianza Lima
    Alianza Lima
    61237-115
    4.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    61145-84

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    -3
    10 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    1
    0
    Draws
    5
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    10
    10
    Conceded
    13
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats