Marseille vs Metz Prediction 10 April 2026
🔊 Can Marseille break their losing streak in the league? This Friday, they have a chance to do so as they host Ligue 1's underdogs, Metz, at the Orange Vélodrome. Bookmakers are confident in a home victory, yet Marseille have struggled in recent matches. In our analysis, you'll find insights into this matchup and a prediction on its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 Marseille haven't lost to Metz since 2017. The last three encounters between these sides at the Orange Vélodrome ended in draws. Earlier this season in Ligue 1, Marseille thrashed their opponents 3-0 on the road.
Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Metz
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
⚪ The last two rounds have been a real test of resilience for Marseille, as they faced direct rivals in the race for third place. Both matches ended in defeat: against Lille (1-2) and Monaco (1-2). Currently, Habib Beye's side have slipped to fourth place, but the gap to the top three is minimal-just one point.
🔵 Notably, Marseille held the territorial advantage in both losses, with 52-55% possession. Against the Monegasques, Habib Beye's men had an impressive xG advantage of 2.55 to 1.02. However, they failed to secure any points, which is a blow to the team's confidence. Nonetheless, Marseille's coaching staff is highly experienced and should manage this situation, especially with a game against a lower-ranked opponent coming up.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Metz Team Overview
🔴 Metz seem to have disregarded all predictions about their imminent relegation to Ligue 2, surprising analysts who had written them off. While it's still too early to fully embrace this theory, the league's underdogs have been picking up points in their last two matches, much to the delight of the club's supporters. They are still 8 points away from a playoff spot, but there are signs of a late-season surge.
⚪ In their previous league game, Metz played out a goalless draw with Nantes, who are just one place above them in the standings. A similar result was recorded in the match against Rennes the round before. There's not much to say about their attacking prowess-Benoît Tavenot's squad has only scored 25 goals. However, the fact that a team which has conceded 60 goals managed to keep clean sheets in two consecutive matches indicates positive developments in their defense.
Match Results: Metz
Latest news
Olympique Marseille
❌ For the upcoming match, Marseille might be without English defender CJ Egan-Riley, who played 77 minutes in the last round and picked up a minor injury. Naif Aguerd (groin injury) and Geoffrey Kondogbia (thigh injury) are confirmed absentees. On a positive note, top scorer Mason Greenwood returns after serving a suspension for accumulating yellow cards.
Metz
❌ Metz face some injury setbacks, but these aren't considered crucial as the players wouldn't make the starting lineup even if fit: Ismaël Gerti, Joseph Mangondo, and Cléo Meillier. Midfielder Boubacar Traoré's appearance is doubtful as he's been recovering from a calf injury for three weeks. Meanwhile, Giorgi Kvilitaia and Nathan Mbala have fully recovered and are ready for action.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The upcoming match will be officiated by Stéphanie Frappart. Over her last 100 games, she averages 3.62 yellow cards per match with 24 fouls. In 28 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Marseille averages 2.4 per game, while Metz averages 1.8. Given the high number of cautions this season, we suggest betting on over 3.5 total yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Marseille's average individual total in Ligue 1 stands at 2 goals per match, whereas Metz's is significantly lower at 0.9. However, the overall scoring in their games is high: the hosts average 3.3, and the visitors average 3. Considering this data and their previous head-to-head encounter, we recommend betting on over 2.5 total match goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In 28 Ligue 1 games, Marseille averages 5.1 corners per match, while Metz averages 4.1 in the same period. It is evident that Habib Beye's side will dominate and attack on their home turf, leading to a high number of corners. Therefore, we suggest betting on Marseille to win the corner count.
Editor's Prediction
Metz have reached their peak performance in the last two rounds, yet failed to score, highlighting clear issues in their attack line. Marseille have lost two matches but displayed a solid level of football (a bit unlucky). Considering the current motivation of the home side and the outcome of their last head-to-head, we suggest betting on a Marseille handicap of -1.5. We anticipate a commanding 3-0 victory for the southern side.
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Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Metz
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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