Brest vs Toulouse Prediction 29 August 2026
🔊 Brest are now winless in 10 consecutive Ligue 1 matches, with the new season only extending that streak. In Le Mans, the Bretons took the lead, then fell behind, ultimately settling for a 2-2 draw. Toulouse had an even rougher start, conceding all three points at home to Lyon and remaining on zero. Both clubs appointed new managers over the summer and are still searching for their first victory. The Round 2 clash is set for August 29 at the Francis-Le Blé.
Head-to-Head
📊 Goals are almost a given when these two sides meet: both teams have scored more than one goal in each of their last 11 head-to-head clashes, with the Ligue 1 streak now at ten straight matches. In Brest, the last five encounters have all seen at least two goals. The hosts struggled in the most recent of those-back in January, Brest fell to a 0-2 defeat. Since then, both clubs have changed managers, each for very different reasons.
Head-to-head statistics Brest - Toulouse
Stade Brest Team Overview
Brest are heading into their eighth consecutive Ligue 1 campaign, but their status is a far cry from two years ago. Back then, the club clinched a historic bronze and qualified for the Champions League for the first time ever. Last season, the Bretons finished 12th with 39 points, scoring 43 goals and conceding 55. They are currently on a 10-match winless run in the league, a streak extended by the opening round.
Despite that, Brest showed plenty of intent on the pitch. Away at Le Mans, they fired off 26 shots to their opponents’ eight, posted an expected goals tally of 2.63 to 0.77, yet left with only a point. Romain Del Castillo put the visitors ahead in the 31st minute, but the hosts equalised before half-time and took the lead themselves in the 55th. Kamory Doumbia hit back on 62 minutes to level it up. Del Castillo finished last Ligue 1 season as Brest’s top scorer with nine goals.
Match Results: Stade Brest
Toulouse Team Overview
Toulouse wrapped up last season in ninth place with 45 points, with Yann Gboho leading the scoring charts on eight goals. That mid-table finish is nothing new for the club-they’ve ended up between ninth and eleventh for three straight campaigns. The real concern, however, is their defensive record: Toulouse have conceded in eight of their last nine matches.
The opening round only reinforced those worries. Hosting Lyon, Toulouse held out until the 68th minute before conceding twice in a 17-minute span. They struggled to create chances of their own and kicked off the new season with blanks in both points and goals columns. New signing Thomas Jorgensen was handed a start right away, while Sion Oppong came off the bench in the 80th minute.
Match Results: Toulouse
Latest news
Stade Brest
❌ The major story of the summer is a somber one. On June 17, Éric Roy passed away at the age of 58. Roy was the manager who guided Brest into the Champions League, battling cancer privately for three and a half years without making it public. His successor was chosen by Roy himself-Julien Lachuer, who has been with the club since 2005, first as a goalkeeper, then as goalkeeping coach, and, since 2023, as assistant manager. Lachuer has signed a contract through the summer of 2028, with the entire coaching staff remaining intact. The objective is clear: secure Brest’s place in Ligue 1. There’s been a change between the posts-Grégoire Coudert has joined Burnley, while Romain Cagnon has arrived alongside Egil Selvik, who joins on loan from Watford. In midfield, Mamadi Diambou arrives from Salzburg, joined by free agent Gautier Lloris from Le Havre. Defender Brendan Chardonnet has not recovered in time for the start of the season. There are no suspensions to report: Brest received just one yellow card in Le Mans.
Toulouse
The club parted ways with their manager for sporting reasons: Carles Martínez Novell has left for Bayer, and the team is now led by 43-year-old Dane Jens Berthel Askou, who previously coached at Scottish side Motherwell. Toulouse cashed in on their players: defender Dejan Metaill joined Sunderland, while forward Emersonn signed with Ipswich Town, each deal worth €28 million including bonuses. Several players departed as free agents-Frank Magri moved to Al-Gharafa, Djibril Sidibé signed with Le Mans, and Warren Kamandzi joined Malmö. Three new faces have arrived: midfielder Thomas Jørgensen from Viborg for €7.5 million, striker Sion Oppong from Brommapojkarna for €4 million, and defender David Odogu on loan from AC Milan. There are no suspensions-Toulouse picked up just one yellow card in the opening round, shown to Niklas Schmidt in the 31st minute.
Probable Lineups
📋 Brest likely XI: Selvik - Loco, Le Guen, Tousart, Lala - Nonge, Chotard - Mboup, Doumbia, Del Castillo - Ajorque.
📋 Toulouse likely XI: Restes - Diallo, McKenzie, Nicolaisen, Tappe - Caceres, Jørgensen, Schmidt - Gboho, Hidalgo, Vignolo.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Both sides are still searching for their first win, and both desperately need to get on the scoresheet. Toulouse’s away fixtures have been wide open, with over two goals scored in six of their last seven on the road. Brest show a similar trend at home-nine consecutive matches at their ground have seen more than one goal. The opening round followed suit: four goals in Le Mans, two in Toulouse. We’re expecting at least three goals here. The bet is over 2.5 total goals at 2.00*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Over their last ten official fixtures, Brest have averaged four corners per match, while Toulouse’s opponents have managed 5.8. The expected number for the hosts stands at 4.9. The visitors post similar figures: 3.2 corners of their own, plus Brest’s opponents averaging 6.1, which combines for 4.65. In total, that gives us a projected 9.55 corners for this matchup. Recent trends back this up: Brest have taken fewer than seven corners in eight of their last nine Ligue 1 games and have stayed under that mark in six straight at home. The only exception came recently in Le Mans, where the Bretons racked up ten corners to their opponent’s one. The bet here is on under 10.5 total corners.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Jérôme Brisard has been appointed as the referee, which is likely to boost the card count: over the past two Ligue 1 seasons, he averages 3.91 yellow cards per match. The teams also contribute to the tally. In their last ten official fixtures, Brest’s players have picked up 1.5 cards per game, while Toulouse’s opponents average 1.1-giving the hosts an expected mark of 1.3. The visitors’ numbers are higher: Toulouse themselves collect 2.3 bookings per match, and Brest’s opponents average 1.5, pushing their expectation to 1.9. Combined, that’s 3.2 cards per game-without even factoring in the referee’s tendencies. The recommended bet is over 2.5 yellow cards.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Brest have found the net in each of their last seven Ligue 1 home matches, and Toulouse look like ideal visitors: they have conceded in nine of their previous ten away games. Even on tough nights, the Bretons manage to score-netting twice in Le Mans, though they still failed to secure the win.
But defensive frailties remain an issue: Brest have now conceded in ten consecutive Ligue 1 fixtures. Toulouse are equally consistent at both ends-they have scored and conceded in six of their last seven away matches. We don’t expect either side to keep a clean sheet here. The tip: both teams to score. Score prediction: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Stade Brest - Toulouse
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