Metz vs Marseille Prediction 4 October 2025
🔊 Can Metz secure their first victory of the season this weekend? It's a tough challenge as Stéphane Le Mignan's side hosts Marseille, who currently sit third in the Ligue 1 standings. The clash promises to be intense, especially considering that the visitors from the south don't always perform consistently on the road. You can find our prediction for the outcome of this match in our article.
Head-to-Head
📊 Marseille haven't lost to Metz since 2017. During this period, there have been six draws and three victories for the "southerners".
Head-to-head statistics Metz - Marseille
Metz Team Overview
⚪ Metz have yet to secure a victory this season, with only two points to their name from two draws. They rightfully find themselves at the bottom of the league standings under the guidance of Stéphane Le Mignan. If the club's performance continues in this manner, the management might consider parting ways with the head coach.
🔴 In their last outing, Metz managed to earn a single point by drawing with Le Havre (0-0). Despite playing at home, the Crusaders failed to register a single shot on target, with an expected goals (xG) tally of just 0.35. It's worth noting that Metz have scored only five goals in their six matches this season.
Match Results: Metz
Olympique Marseille Team Overview
⚪ Marseille are juggling both the domestic league and the Champions League quite effectively. Last week, they faced a fierce battle against Real Madrid, narrowly losing 1-2. However, this Tuesday, Roberto De Zerbi's side thrashed Ajax at home with a commanding 4-0 victory. Despite squad rotations, the "southerners" are delivering commendable results.
🔵 In the French league, Marseille currently sit third with 12 points from their last six matches. In the latest round, they traveled to face Strasbourg and secured a 2-1 win, extending their winning streak in Ligue 1 to three games. Notably, those two goals were Marseille's first away goals in this season's French championship, as the "white and blues" had previously suffered two goalless defeats on the road.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Latest news
Metz
❌ Senegalese defender Fodé Ballo-Touré's participation in the upcoming game is doubtful due to an injury that flared up following the match against Monaco in the fifth round of the French championship. It's worth noting that Ballo-Touré played 75 minutes against the "Monegasques" before being substituted.
Olympique Marseille
🖋 Ahead of the seventh round of Ligue 1, Max Corbon has signed his first contract with Marseille. The club's official website states: "The 18-year-old midfielder has been rewarded for his efforts by signing his first professional contract. His deal with Olympique de Marseille now runs until 2029."
❌ Argentine defender Facundo Medina will be unavailable for the upcoming game against Metz due to an ankle injury. The 26-year-old sustained the injury during the Champions League match against Ajax, where he was substituted in the 36th minute.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Clément Turpin. Over the last 100 matches, he averages just 3.23 yellow cards per game, with 23 fouls. In the current Ligue 1 season, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Metz averages 1.2 per game, while Marseille averages 2.7. Considering how few warnings both teams receive, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Metz have struggled offensively this season, scoring only 5 goals, which averages to 0.83 per game. Facing one of the league's top teams in their next match, a goal fest from the hosts seems unlikely. We recommend betting on Metz's individual total under 1.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The corner statistics heavily favor Marseille, who attack frequently using both central and wide areas, often leading to set pieces from the corner. In the league, Metz averages 4.2 corners per game, while Marseille averages 6.7. Given these stats, a bet on Marseille to win on corners seems quite logical.
Editorial Prediction
Metz have shown some improvement recently, but overall, their performance in the league has been dismal, justifying their position at the bottom of the table. Marseille are riding high with three consecutive victories and currently sit among the top three teams. We predict the visitors will come out on top in the upcoming match with a scoreline of 2-0. It's worth noting that in their last three away games, the "southerners" have scored just two goals, while Metz have managed only five goals throughout the league campaign. Therefore, our main bet for this match is on total goals under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Metz - Olympique Marseille
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Comparison of Teams Stats
