Cuba vs Bonaire Prediction 28 September 2026
📢 Cuba made a strong start to the new CONCACAF Nations League, winning convincingly in the first round and immediately signalling their ambitions. Bonaire had a very different beginning: the group's clear underdogs failed to pick up a point even at home. Both sides need something from the upcoming match, but only one can come away with the win.
Head-to-Head
📊 Cuba and Bonaire have never previously met each other.
Cuba set out their ambitions right from the opening match.
After being relegated from League A, Cuba are targeting a swift return to the top division, and they made a very confident start. In the opening round they beat Grenada 3-0 away from home. It is particularly telling that the two sides are close to each other in the FIFA rankings. The final scoreline is slightly misleading, as Cuba's second and third goals came in stoppage time, but their dominance throughout the match was barely in question.
The visitors held 64% possession, had 21 shots to Grenada's 10, and the margin in shots on target was even more pronounced at 9-1. The xG figures also reflect that superiority (1.59 vs 0.80), making the emphatic win a fair reflection of the game.
Match Results: Cuba
Bonaire are once again struggling to hold onto a lead
Bonaire had a difficult time staying in League B in the previous edition. It will be even harder this time around, given that the new campaign began with a home defeat. The match against St Kitts and Nevis had started well for the hosts - Bonaire took the lead as early as the seventh minute and had the chance to manage the game from there. They could not hold on, though: their opponents equalised and then scored again to win 2-1. St Kitts and Nevis also looked more convincing statistically: 17-11 in shots, 6-4 in shots on target, 68% possession, and an xG advantage of roughly two to one (1.42 against 0.70).
Match Results: Bonaire
Reliable Bet
Cuba have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 37 of their last 38 matches, which reflects a consistent scoring pattern over that stretch. In their last 10 home matches, Cuba have averaged 2 goals per game, well below the stated line. On that basis, Cuba Team Total - Under 3.5 Goals at 1.31* looks very reliable.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Cuba are clearly the strong favourites for this match and confirmed those expectations in the first round, winning comfortably away to Grenada, who look a considerably more serious opponent than Bonaire. With such a gap in class, the visitors will find it difficult not only to take anything from the game but simply to create danger in the opposition half. Our pick is Both Teams to Score - No. Expected score: 3-0.
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Betting Tips: Cuba - Bonaire
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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