Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction 11 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo in the 10th round of the Primera? Both teams have been delivering consistent performances in recent matches, making this encounter crucial in terms of league standings. Boca Juniors aim to solidify their position at the top of the table, while San Lorenzo are looking to close the gap on the leaders.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 August 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Boca Juniors):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo:
- played 38 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 16, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 47 against 50;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.16, in the 2nd half - 1.39;
- average total goals in the match - 2.55.
Head-to-head statistics Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Atletico Lanus, away team - Boca Juniors). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here's the game statistics (Boca Juniors vs Atletico Lanus):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 8 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Boca Juniors are showing solid form, securing two wins and three draws in their last five matches. The team boasts a strong defense, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game over the past ten matches. However, their attacking line isn't always prolific, averaging slightly over one goal per match. Despite this, they hold sixth place in the table and continue to push for higher positions.
Match Results: Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Talleres de Cordoba, away - San Lorenzo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (San Lorenzo vs Talleres de Cordoba):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 12;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
San Lorenzo are also displaying a balanced game, despite recording three draws in their last five matches. Their attack slightly lags in terms of scoring, averaging less than a goal per match, but their defense remains solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game. The team currently sit in eighth place and are eager to climb higher with a favorable result against Boca.
Match Results: San Lorenzo
Latest news
Boca Juniors
The hosts are dealing with a significant number of injuries. Tomás Belmonte and Edinson Cavani are sidelined due to injuries. Juan Barinaga will miss the match with a muscle injury, while Ezequiel Ceballos is out with a hamstring issue. Carlos Palacios is ruled out until the end of April due to an injury. Rodrigo Battaglia won’t be able to assist the team until summer because of an Achilles injury. Milton Jiménez is unavailable due to a groin injury until the end of March. Alan Velasco's participation is doubtful due to a knee injury.
San Lorenzo
The visitors also face some setbacks. Diego Eraso and Ezequiel Cerutti are sidelined with muscle injuries. Daniel Herrera is out until the end of July due to a cruciate ligament tear. Nahuel Arias will be unavailable until the end of March for the same reason.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.16;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.55, while the visitors net 0.61.
First-Half Stats: Boca Juniors (home) vs San Lorenzo (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 4;
- wins: 1 (20%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 4 (80%) vs 4 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0.6 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3).
- San Lorenzo have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga Profesional).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 16, draws - 9.
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- win percentage: 38% vs 38%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- San Lorenzo won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Boca Juniors.
- San Lorenzo won with a +1.5 handicap in 39 of last 40 games.
- San Lorenzo won with a +1.5 handicap in 36 of last 37 games (Liga Profesional).
- San Lorenzo won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games (Liga Profesional).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.55;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
- average total in the tournament: 1.75 vs 1.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.13;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.75;
- Boca Juniors: average total at home in the tournament - 0.8;
- San Lorenzo: average total away in the tournament - 0.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.86) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Boca Juniors games against San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Boca Juniors home games against San Lorenzo.
Prediction on corners
Boca Juniors: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.88; at home field - 6.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 5.71.
San Lorenzo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.63, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Boca Juniors at home - 1 (20%);
- number of BTTS matches for San Lorenzo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Boca Juniors at home - 1 (14%);
- BTTS matches for San Lorenzo away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/118, 16.1%);
- Boca Juniors at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/5, 40%);
- San Lorenzo away most often play: 0:0 (2/4, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:0 - 26.61% (odds 5.9)
1:0 - 25.55% (odds 4.5)
0:1 - 11.69% (odds 10)
Editor's Prediction
Boca Juniors enter the match as favorites, thanks to their home advantage and higher club status. However, San Lorenzo have been quite competitive this season and will likely put up a strong fight. Furthermore, their head-to-head clashes tend to be high-scoring affairs-over 1.5 goals have been scored in 7 of their last 8 matches together. This will be our bet for the game.
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Betting Tips: Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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