Montreal vs Сincinnati Prediction 26 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔉 Montreal Impact go into this match in the middle of a prolonged run of poor results, while Cincinnati remain firmly in the hunt for a playoff place in MLS. The hosts sit bottom of the table with little to play for, and that has shown in their results in the second half of the season. The visitors, meanwhile, are right in the group of teams currently occupying playoff positions, and every game matters to them. This match is a test for both sides: Montreal Impact need at least a small morale-boosting result, while Cincinnati cannot afford to drop points against a side at the foot of the table.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Montreal Impact and Cincinnati have met 14 times in official matches. The hosts have won 4 of those meetings, the visitors 8, with 2 draws. Cincinnati have the edge in goals scored - 34 to Montreal's 23. On average, the two sides have scored 1.71 goals in the first half and 2.36 in the second. The overall average total goals per match stands at 4.07.

    Head-to-head statistics Montreal - Сincinnati

    29%
    4 Wins
    14%
    2 Draws
    57%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    4.07
    Both teams scored
    71%
    1.64
    Total average
    2.43
    5.14
    Corner
    4.07
    2.5
    Yellow cards
    2.29
    12
    Fouls
    11.29
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    MLS
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    1
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    1.67
    2.21
    2
    2
    20
    11
    4
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1.67
    2.21
    2
    2
    20
    11
    4
    1
    18.10.25
    MLS
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    1.43
    1.12
    5
    12
    10
    10
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.43
    1.12
    5
    12
    10
    10
    2
    2
    25.06.25
    MLS
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    0.99
    1.39
    3
    0
    12
    8
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0.99
    1.39
    3
    0
    12
    8
    3
    1
    31.08.24
    MLS
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    -
    -
    7
    1
    12
    16
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    12
    16
    3
    3
    13.04.24
    MLS
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    -
    -
    5
    4
    15
    10
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    15
    10
    3
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Montreal Impact Team Overview

    Montreal Impact are going through a difficult spell - they have lost four of their last five matches, managing just one win. Over the previous ten games, they have recorded only two wins, three draws and five defeats. They are averaging just one goal scored per game while conceding two, with the defence making regular errors. That pattern holds across the season as a whole: 1.19 goals scored and 2.04 conceded per match point to a weak attack and a vulnerable defence. Their league position offers little motivation either - the club have already lost any realistic objectives for the remainder of the season.

    Match Results: Montreal Impact

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    mls
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    0.58
    0.72
    5
    1
    20
    11
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.58
    0.72
    5
    1
    20
    11
    2
    1
    L
    16.09.26
    Canadian Championship
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    -
    -
    1
    5
    20
    15
    2
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    5
    20
    15
    2
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    mls
    Colorado Rapids
    Colorado Rapids
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    2.48
    0.98
    5
    1
    13
    11
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.48
    0.98
    5
    1
    13
    11
    2
    1
    L
    09.09.26
    mls
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    Charlotte
    Charlotte
    1.29
    1.44
    11
    3
    11
    12
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.29
    1.44
    11
    3
    11
    12
    2
    1
    L
    05.09.26
    mls
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    2.82
    1.59
    6
    1
    15
    9
    4
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.82
    1.59
    6
    1
    15
    9
    4
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cincinnati Team Overview

    Cincinnati have been somewhat inconsistent: across their last five matches they have recorded two draws, suffered two defeats and won once - three draws in total. Over ten matches the picture looks slightly more encouraging, with three wins, four draws and three defeats. The team stand out for a relatively high scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game over their last ten matches, but defensive reliability remains a problem: they are conceding an average of 2 goals per game over that same period, and across the season the figure is even higher - 2.44 goals conceded per game alongside decent attacking output of 2.16 goals scored. Their motivation remains high as they fight to hold onto a play-off place in the closing stages of the season.

    Match Results: Cincinnati

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    mls
    Houston Dynamo
    Houston Dynamo
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    1.32
    3.68
    3
    7
    7
    13
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1.32
    3.68
    3
    7
    7
    13
    0
    0
    D
    12.09.26
    mls
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    Charlotte
    Charlotte
    2.73
    1.81
    12
    3
    6
    10
    2
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2.73
    1.81
    12
    3
    6
    10
    2
    1
    D
    09.09.26
    mls
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    1
    3.63
    0.03
    7
    1
    16
    6
    0
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3.63
    0.03
    7
    1
    16
    6
    0
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    mls
    Nashville
    Nashville
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    2.1
    1.42
    6
    4
    14
    9
    3
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2.1
    1.42
    6
    4
    14
    9
    3
    2
    L
    22.08.26
    mls
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    Seattle Sounders
    Seattle Sounders
    1.2
    1.11
    9
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.2
    1.11
    9
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between CF Montréal and Cincinnati, the total has gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams have also been high-scoring this season: Cincinnati average 2.16 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game, while CF Montréal have a conceding average of 2.04 per game. All of this points to a high likelihood of a goal-filled match. The pick here is Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.46*.

    Corners Prediction

    CF Montréal have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings against Cincinnati. That trend over such a long sample makes CF Montréal Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.73* a reasonable option. No other contradicting data on this market was found.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    The trend shows that CF Montréal have both scored and conceded at home in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Cincinnati. Both clubs also have fairly high scoring and conceding numbers: CF Montréal concede an average of 1.31 goals at home, while Cincinnati score 1.54 per game away. On top of that, Cincinnati have conceded in 23 of their last 24 matches, which further increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. The bet on Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.37* therefore looks reasonable.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (9.52%), 1-2 (7.81%) and 2-2 (7.49%). Of these, a 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the gap between the three leading options is fairly small. This points to a strong likelihood of goals at both ends and a closely contested match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Cincinnati's position in the standings means they need to stay focused even away from home, despite their struggles on the road: they have to hold their place among the playoff contenders, which sharpens their concentration particularly against weaker sides with nothing to play for, like CF Montréal. At the same time, the trends are hard to ignore - the hosts have barely won in a long time, picking up just one victory in their last fifteen MLS matches, while Cincinnati themselves have found away wins equally elusive, with just one win in fourteen attempts on the road. The editorial's main prediction is therefore a Cincinnati win with a handicap of -0.25.
    Cincinnati Handicap (-0,25)
    Odds+107
    Published: 25/09/2026, 11:06
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    105
    4
    90
    199 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Montreal Impact - Cincinnati

    Montreal Impact have drawn in the 1st half:
    montreal-impactin 6 of last 7 home games (MLS).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +159
    Montreal Impact have lost the 2nd half:
    montreal-impactin 6 of last 7 games.
    2nd Half Cincinnati to Win
    +150
    Montreal Impact have lost:
    montreal-impactin last 5 games (MLS).
    Cincinnati to Win
    MyBookie
    +141
    Cincinnati have not won:
    fc-cincinnatiin 13 of last 14 away games (MLS).
    fc-cincinnatiin 7 of last 8 games.
    Montreal Impact will not lose
    Everygame
    -182
    View more facts

    Montreal - Сincinnati Table position

    Stage 1 Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    NY Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    26961134-4833
    9.
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati
    2589854-6133
    10.
    New-York City
    New-York City
    26881039-3432
    13.
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    26751437-4226
    14.
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    26751430-4326
    15.
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    26561531-5321

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 20
    -10
    -5
    15 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    15
    20
    Conceded
    20
    3
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats