Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 The match between Motherwell and Celtic comes at an early stage of the season, but both sides already occupy important positions in the table. The hosts are among the leading group, while the visitors sit comfortably at the top. The key difference is current form: Motherwell have been struggling to pick up points and defensively, whereas Celtic have maintained their attacking threat even after a run of difficult matches.
Celtic's total domination
Motherwell lost 2-3 to Celtic in their Premier League meeting despite out-shooting them 15 to 10. Celtic had three shots on target, and all three went in.
📊 In 55 official meetings, Celtic have won 44 times and Motherwell four, with seven draws. Even at Motherwell's ground, Celtic's dominance is clear: 19 wins from 26 meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Motherwell - Celtic
Motherwell: a run of poor form continues to haunt the team
Motherwell's last Premiership match ended in a 1-2 away defeat to Dundee. The visitors had more possession and more shots - 15 against 11 - but lost the expected goals battle: 0.99 to 1.46.
Motherwell are going through a difficult spell, winning just two of their last ten matches and losing six. In their last five games they have managed only one win, with three consecutive defeats. During this period they have been conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which points to defensive vulnerability against higher-quality opposition. Their average of just 1.1 goals scored per game over the last ten matches limits their attacking output. The motivation to pick up points remains, but the imbalance between defence and attack has been making it hard for them to get results consistently.
Match Results: Motherwell
Celtic: Leading the Premiership
Celtic's home match against Rangers ended in a 1-0 defeat. In that most recent league match, they had 55% possession but managed only five shots to Rangers' 15, with just one on target.
Celtic come into this match as clear leaders of the table, averaging 2 goals per game across the season and 1.7 over their last ten matches. Their last five fixtures have brought three wins alongside two consecutive defeats, though the overall attacking output has remained high despite those setbacks. Goals conceded have been minimal at 0.57 per match, which underlines the team's consistency across all areas of the pitch. Their objective in the table is straightforward - to hold on to first place - so the visitors' motivation should be at its highest regardless of where we are in the season.
Match Results: Celtic
Match Result Prediction
Celtic have won 6 of their 7 matches this season and won all 3 away fixtures. Motherwell have won just once at home, losing 1 of their 3 home matches. In head-to-head meetings at Motherwell's ground, Celtic have won 12 of the last 13. On that basis, the logical pick is a Celtic win at odds of 1.59*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings at Motherwell's ground, the total goals have gone over 2.5. Celtic are averaging 2 goals per game this season, and 2.67 away from home. Motherwell concede an average of 1.33 goals per home match, which also points towards goals. A bet on Total Goals - Over 2.5 therefore looks justified at odds of 1.39*.
Corners Prediction
Celtic have had more than 6.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 Premier League matches, which points to a high level of attacking activity. Given the visitors' attacking statistics and the strength of that trend, Celtic Team Total Corners - Over 6.5 at 1.93* is worth considering.
Reliable Bet
Motherwell have failed to win in 37 of their last 38 head-to-head meetings against Celtic. Given the visitors' superiority this season, the Double Chance - Celtic or Draw at odds of 1.16* looks as safe as it gets.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 0-1 (10.98%), 1-2 (10.52%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The 0-1 scoreline has the highest probability, though the differences between the options are small, reflecting an expectation of a fairly competitive match with the advantage going to the away side.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Motherwell have been struggling defensively against stronger opponents - a run of three defeats reflects their inability to stop the league's top attacks even at home. Celtic consistently score at least two goals against almost every side, thanks to a balanced attacking game and very few wasted chances in front of goal, as their average scoring figures confirm. The most logical bet appears to be the Celtic Team Total - Over 1.5: Celtic's attacking strength combines with the hosts' defensive weaknesses.
The bet is Celtic Team Total - Over 1.5. Predicted score - 0:2.
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