Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction 13 May 2026
🔊 One of the pivotal matches in the Scottish title race takes place at Fir Park, where Motherwell host Celtic. Following their victory in the Old Firm, Martin O'Neill's side have moved tantalizingly close to the top of the table and cannot afford to drop points with just two rounds remaining in the season. Meanwhile, Motherwell have already shown their ability to impact the standings at the top end; in the previous round, they held Hearts to a draw, complicating the leader's title challenge. Celtic arrive with high spirits, but many in Scotland acknowledge that the trip to Fir Park could be a far tougher test for the Hoops than it appears at first glance.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 14 March 2026 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Celtic were the home side):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Motherwell and Celtic:
- 54 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 43, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 36 for Motherwell, 139 for Celtic;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.37, in the 2nd half - 1.87;
- average total goals per match - 3.24.
Head-to-head statistics Motherwell - Celtic
Motherwell Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Premier League, with Motherwell hosting Hearts. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Motherwell vs Hearts):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
🟡 Motherwell are having one of their most consistent seasons in recent years, maintaining their position in the top half of the Championship Group. They head into this match following a draw with Hearts (1-1), once again showcasing their high level of organization off the ball and significant intensity in transitional phases. This result has reignited the championship intrigue in Scotland as the season approaches its climax.
🔴 The team's main strength remains their aggressive attacking play, characterized by swift vertical transitions. Tawanda Maswanhise and Elijah Just stand out as the club's top scorers this season. At home, Motherwell consistently challenge favorites with their high tempo and pressure on the opposition's defense.
🔗 The hosts draw additional confidence from their home record against Celtic. In December, Motherwell pulled off a sensational 2-0 victory over the "Celts," and in recent head-to-head encounters, they have regularly created chances even in matches they lost. Within the club, there's a clear understanding that this game could significantly impact the championship race.
Match Results: Motherwell
Celtic Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in the Premier League, facing off against Celtic at their home ground. Rangers left the pitch with a 3-1 defeat.
Here’s a breakdown of the match stats (Celtic vs Rangers):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 1 vs 7;
- Fouls: 25 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 3.
🟢 Celtic approach their trip to Motherwell following what might have been the most emotional match of the season. A 3-1 victory over Rangers has put Martin O'Neill's side firmly back in the title race, now trailing Hearts by just a single point. The standout performer in the Old Firm clash was Daizen Maeda, who netted a brace in the second half.
⚪ Since the March international break, Celtic have shown significant improvement and are currently on a five-game winning streak. Scottish media have highlighted the team's newfound confidence in matches against direct rivals, and the atmosphere in the dressing room has noticeably shifted following recent results.
🔗 However, the squad situation for the Hoops remains less than ideal. There are ongoing discussions about the condition of certain players after a grueling schedule, and the coaching staff are carefully managing workloads ahead of the decisive stretch of the season. Despite these challenges, Celtic's attacking line remains one of the most prolific in the league, with standout seasons from Benjamin Nygren, Maeda, and Yang Hyun-jun.
Match Results: Celtic
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 54;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 43, Draws - 7.
- Motherwell covers a +1.5 handicap in 36 of their last 38 matches (Premier League).
- Motherwell covers a +1.5 handicap at home in 23 consecutive matches.
- Motherwell covers a +1.5 handicap at home in 20 consecutive Premier League matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 0.67, Away team - 2.57;
- Overall - 3.24;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 24 times; at the home team's ground - 13 times.
Average Total Stats: Motherwell vs Celtic
- In the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.92;
- Goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.86;
- First half: 0.72 vs 0.86;
- Second half: 0.83 vs 1;
- Motherwell: at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- Celtic: away in the tournament - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 2.2 (away - 1.2).
- Celtic scores over 1.5 goals away in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head encounters against these teams.
- Celtic scores over 1.5 goals away in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
Corners Prediction
Motherwell: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.83; at home - 3.83;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; at home - 3.75.
Celtic: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.69, away - 5.78;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 6.6.
- Motherwell takes fewer than 4.5 corners in 16 of their last 17 head-to-head meetings against these teams (Premier League).
- Motherwell takes fewer than 4.5 corners in 10 consecutive head-to-head matches against these teams.
- Motherwell takes fewer than 4.5 corners at home in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches against these teams (Premier League).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 54;
- Both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- At the home team's ground - 13 times.
- Celtic scores and concedes away in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Result Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-0 (23/216, 10.6%), 2-0 (23/216, 10.6%);
- Motherwell most frequently finishes matches at home with a score of: 2-0 (7/18, 38.9%);
- Celtic most frequently plays away with a score of: 1-2 (5/18, 27.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 11.28% (Odds: 7.5)
0-1 - 10.14% (Odds: 10)
1-2 - 9.88% (Odds: 7.5)
- Celtic wins with a score of 2-1 away in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Motherwell have already shown this season that they can challenge any opponent at Fir Park, and their current form makes this trip particularly tricky for Celtic. However, the emotional boost from their victory over Rangers and the high motivation levels of the Hoops are key factors right now. Celtic understand that dropping points would almost certainly end their title hopes before the final round.
That said, a straightforward victory seems unlikely. Motherwell consistently find the net at home and have already posed significant problems for Celtic's defense this season. Considering the league pressure, current form of both teams, and head-to-head history, a bet on both teams to score (yes) appears to be the most reasonable prediction here.
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Betting Tips: Motherwell - Celtic
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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