Aberdeen vs St Johnstone Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Aberdeen and St Johnstone go into this match level on points after seven rounds, separated only by their positions in the table. Both sides are sitting in mid-table and are keen to hold their ground at this early stage of the season. Their last ten matches suggest a slight edge to the hosts in terms of consistency, though there is no clear favourite - the two sides are close in both goals scored and goals conceded.
Aberdeen have the edge in head-to-head meetings.
St Johnstone and Aberdeen drew 0-0 in the Premiership. Aberdeen had more shots (11-8) and more corners (6-1), but were behind on shots on target, 2-3.
📊 In 50 official meetings, Aberdeen have the upper hand: 22 wins to St Johnstone's 12, with 16 draws. Away from home, Aberdeen have beaten this opponent more often than at home: 12 times compared to 9.
Head-to-head statistics Aberdeen - St Johnstone
Aberdeen: the team deliver average results
Aberdeen's last Premiership match ended 1-1 away at Hibernian. They led 1-0 at half-time but couldn't hold on. Hibernian created more dangerous attacks (49-19) and had an xG of 1.74 compared to Aberdeen's 0.94.
Aberdeen have shown solid momentum, winning five of their last ten matches with three defeats and two draws. In the last five fixtures, they have won twice but also suffered one defeat and two draws, so the balance between positive and negative results remains. Their average of 1.4 goals scored per game puts them slightly ahead of their opponents in that regard, and defensively they look reasonably solid, conceding just 0.9 goals per game across those ten matches. Their objective of staying in the leading group means they can play without too much pressure at this stage.
Match Results: Aberdeen
St. Johnstone have been losing more often than winning in recent matches.
In their last Premier League match at home, St Johnstone drew 1-1 with Falkirk. The visitors had more shots (13-8) and created more dangerous attacks (40-15), but St Johnstone were more accurate with fewer shots, hitting the target five times to Falkirk's four. The hosts also had a man sent off.
St Johnstone have also picked up eight points from seven matches, but their form is less consistent: three wins and five defeats in their last ten matches point to occasional difficulties at both ends of the pitch. Over that same spell, they are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded, which is slightly worse defensively than their opponents. Their short-term form mirrors Aberdeen's - two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches - which makes it difficult to argue that the visitors hold any clear advantage.
Match Results: St. Johnstone
Total Goals Prediction
In 12 consecutive home matches, Aberdeen's total goals have not exceeded 3.5, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend in their home games. The average scoring figures for both sides also remain modest across recent samples: Aberdeen have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match in their last 10 home games, while St Johnstone have averaged 0.5 goals scored per match in their last 10 away games. Taken together, these figures support the prediction of Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.31*.
Reliable Bet
In 15 of Aberdeen's last 17 matches, the total has gone over 1.5 goals. This consistent run holds across both home and away fixtures. Total Goals - Over 1.5 is priced at 1.27*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-0 (14.99%), 0-0 (12.38%) and 0-1 (11.75%). These options reflect an expectation of a low-scoring game with a minimal number of goals. A 1-0 win for Aberdeen has the highest probability, though a goalless draw and a narrow away win are close behind in likelihood.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams come into this match in comparable form and with identical league objectives - staying in contention for a Champions League place. Over their last ten matches, Aberdeen have shown slightly more defensive solidity, though St Johnstone have also been consistently scoring more than one goal per game. Both sides are averaging over a goal per match, and recent short-term runs give no clear indication of a meaningful advantage for either defence or attack. The sides drew 0-0 in their most recent head-to-head meeting, but current attacking numbers and season statistics point towards goals at both ends. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Aberdeen - St. Johnstone
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in 15 of last 17 Aberdeen games.in last 9 games.in last 7 games (Premiership).in last 40 games.in last 18 away games.in last 7 games (Premiership).Comparison of Teams Stats
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