KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
🔊 As recently as 3 May, Johannes Mosgor was in charge of KFUM for the derby against Vålerenga. The match ended in a draw, and ten days later he took over at the opposition. On Monday, Mosgor faces his former club for the first time. For now, his old side sit higher in the table: KFUM are two points ahead.
Head-to-Head
The last meeting between these two sides in the Eliteserien ended 2-2. Vålerenga had more shots (17-13) and more corners (11-3), but KFUM Oslo matched them on goals. The xG figures were almost identical - 1.54 against 1.61.
In four official meetings, KFUM Oslo have never beaten Vålerenga. Two matches ended in draws, and Vålerenga won the other two. Both of those victories came away from home, and Vålerenga kept a clean sheet in each of them.
Head-to-head statistics KFUM Oslo - Valerenga
KFUM Oslo Team Overview
KFUM Oslo's last match was in the Norwegian Cup. They beat Honefoss 2-0 away, registering 15 shots to their opponents' four. Honefoss did not manage a single shot on target.
Before the break, KFUM picked up six points from two matches. They beat Ålesund at home and then won away at Sarpsborg (3-1). That run continued in the Norwegian Cup, where KFUM knocked out Hønefoss in late September. In May, the club brought back Jørgen Isnes, who had previously managed them between 2016 and 2022. When he was appointed, the team were 13th; they are now 10th. Six points separate them from 15th place, which is the automatic relegation position.
Match Results: KFUM Oslo
Valerenga Team Overview
In their last match, Vålerenga drew 1-1 at home with Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien. They had almost twice as many shots (16-9) and the better xG (1.57 to 0.85), but none of that showed on the scoreboard.
Vålerenga's last clean sheet in the Eliteserien came on 22 March, when they beat Rosenborg in Trondheim. Since then, opponents have scored against them in every league match. Johannes Moesgaard, who took charge in May, has yet to solve that problem. In August, their meeting with Aalesund ended 5-5, and they then lost at home to Molde, conceding four. Vålerenga have not won in the league since 26 July. They sit 12th with 23 points.
Match Results: Valerenga
Total Goals Prediction
At least three goals have been scored in 11 of Vålerenga's last 12 matches. Goals flow at both ends for them: 34 scored and 43 conceded in 21 Eliteserien matches. Away from home it has been even more open - 38 goals combined across ten matches. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Corner Kick Prediction
In 8 of KFUM Oslo's last 9 home matches, the two sides combined for no more than 11 corners. The pick is Total Corners - Under 11.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are: 1-1 (9.89%), 2-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.1%). All three options have similar probability values, with no clear leader. The 1-1 draw is considered the most likely result.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Away from home, Vålerenga have taken three points just once in their last nine Eliteserien matches. Johannes Mosgor's side have not won in the league since the end of July. KFUM, by contrast, picked up six points from two rounds before the break. The hosts are unlikely to go without a goal - KFUM have scored in 8 of their last 9 Eliteserien matches. Vålerenga, meanwhile, have conceded in every league game since April. We do not expect the visitors to leave KFUM Arena with a win. Our bet is KFUM not to lose. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: KFUM Oslo - Valerenga
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