Lillestrom vs Molde Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Lilleström, who won the Norwegian Cup in December in their first season back in the Eliteserien, are currently competing in the UEFA Europa League league phase, where they face Lyon, Real Sociedad and Bournemouth. In April, Lilleström beat Molde away in the league (1-0), so the visitors are coming here looking for revenge while also chasing third place - they currently trail Tromsø by two points.
Head-to-Head
The last Eliteserien meeting between the sides went to Molde - 1:0. The only goal came after the break. Despite having 39% possession, the winners outshot the hosts (16:12) and had the better expected goals figure (1.48:0.81).
Across 38 official meetings, Molde have the upper hand: 20 wins to Lillestrøm's eight, with 10 draws. Molde also lead on goals - 68-46.
Head-to-head statistics Lillestrom - Molde
Lillestrom Team Overview
Lillestrøm's last match was a 5-1 away win over Bærum in the Norwegian Cup. They outperformed their opponents across every metric, from shots on target (8-3) to corners (16-0).
Lillestrøm are sixth with 32 points, four behind Molde. In September, Hans Erik Ødegaard's side beat Brann away and Vålerenga at home, before conceding three goals without reply in Stavanger ahead of the break. Lillestrøm have no draws at home in the Eliteserien this season: they have won five and lost five. Fredrik Gulbrandsen could face his former club - the forward returned to Lillestrøm from Molde in the summer and has already scored in Bergen.
Match Results: Lillestrom
Molde Team Overview
In their most recent match, Molde lost at home to Ålesund (1-2). The hosts had the better of the game in most statistical areas - more possession (68%), more shots (16-12) and a higher expected goals figure of 1.96 against 1.3.
Molde sit fourth with 36 points. Sindre Tjelmeland's side have the third-best attack in the league - 44 goals - but also concede more than any other team in the top six, having let in 32. Away in Hamar, they thrashed HamKam 5-1, with Trent Cone-Doherty scoring a hat-trick, but before the break they lost at home to Ålesund, conceding twice before half-time. The fitness of top scorer Eirik Hestad, who has eight goals, is in doubt due to a shin injury.
Match Results: Molde
Total Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head meetings at Lillestrøm's ground. The pattern has been running for several years now, and we're not expecting a high-scoring affair from this pair. The bet survives even if both sides score, as long as there's no fourth goal. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
The Reliable Bet
Lillestrøm have scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches. They have failed to find the net at home just once, and we do not expect that to happen again against Molde. The bet comes through regardless of the result, as long as the hosts score at least once. The bet is Lillestrøm Team Total - Over 0.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores for the match are: 1-1 (9.1%), 2-2 (7.82%) and 1-2 (7.72%). Of these, the 1-1 draw has the highest probability.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Molde have not failed to score in the Eliteserien since mid-May. In their last two away league matches, Sindre Tjelmeland's side won with a combined score of 9-4. Lillestrøm have found this opponent difficult to handle at home: in their last eight home meetings with Molde, the hosts have come out on top just once. On top of that, Lillestrøm face a trip to Sparta Prague in the Europa League in four days' time. We're backing a one-goal away win. The bet is Molde to win. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Lillestrom - Molde
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