Aalesunds vs Sarpsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Aalesund have the most draws in the Eliteserien this season with nine, while Sarpsborg are second in that regard with seven. The two sides have not met in the top flight since 2023, but they will now face each other twice in two weeks: on 25 October in Sarpsborg they will play their postponed round-12 fixture.
Head-to-Head
Aalesund beat Sarpsborg 3-2 in their most recent Eliteserien head-to-head meeting. Four of the five goals came before half-time, with each side scoring two of them.
In 21 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg have won 10 times against Ålesund's 7, with 4 draws. On Ålesund's ground, the hosts have won 5 of the 11 meetings, while Sarpsborg have won just 3.
Head-to-head statistics Aalesunds - Sarpsborg
Aalesunds Team Overview
Aalesund beat Molde away in their last Eliteserien match, winning 2-1 with both goals scored before half-time. They took the victory with 32% possession and 12 shots to Molde's 16.
Ålesund returned to the Eliteserien after two seasons in the first division and currently sit 14th, in the play-off position. They are two points behind 13th place. Before the break, Kjetil Rekdal's side won two of their last three league matches, and led 2-0 at half-time away at Molde. At home this season, Ålesund have scored in every Eliteserien match, but they have also conceded in almost all of them - their only clean sheet at home came against Start. On Sunday, the defence will need reshaping, as defender Marius Andresen is suspended after accumulating yellow cards.
Match Results: Aalesunds
Sarpsborg Team Overview
Sarpsborg's last match ended in victory: they beat Follo away in the Norwegian Cup, 2-0. Their dominance was reflected in the shots - 15 to 2 - and in the corners: 12 to 3.
Sarpsborg sit ninth, four points above Aalesund. Away from home, Even Sel's side have almost stopped losing: four of their last five away Eliteserien matches have ended in draws, including goalless results in Tromsø and Kristiansund. At home, though, Sarpsborg lost to KFUM (1-3) before the break, and during the break they progressed in the cup against Follo. The team's top scorer, Daniel Selann Karlsbakk, has scored seven league goals, the most recent coming from the penalty spot against KFUM.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Prediction for the 1st half
Aalesund have scored in the first half in seven consecutive matches. They don't tend to take long to get going, and we're expecting the hosts to find the net before the break. The bet is Aalesund to Score in the First Half.
Total Goals Prediction
Sarpsborg's last five away matches have all produced fewer than four goals. High-scoring games on the road are not their thing. The bet can survive goals at both ends, as long as there is no fourth. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1:1 (10.41%), 2:1 (8.31%) and 2:2 (7.92%). Of these, 1:1 has the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
At home, Ålesund have lost just once in their last nine Eliteserien matches. Sarpsborg are finding away wins hard to come by right now: of their last ten league trips, they have won only one - back in May in Bergen. And since the end of July, Eiven Sely's side have picked up just four points from seven Eliteserien matches. We're expecting at least a draw from Ålesund. The bet is Ålesund not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Aalesunds - Sarpsborg
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