Fredrikstad vs Tromsoe Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Fredrikstad have scored in nine consecutive matches across all competitions. However, Tromsø's goal has remained firmly shut against them: since returning to the top flight in 2024, the two sides have met five times, with two goalless draws and three wins for the northerners. The biggest of those came in the opening round of the current season, when Tromsø thrashed Fredrikstad 4-0, with Jens Hjertø-Dahl completing a hat-trick before joining English side Hull City in the summer. On Sunday, one of those two runs will come to an end.
Head-to-Head
Tromso won the last meeting between the sides, beating Fredrikstad 4-0 in an Eliteserien match despite having less possession - 43% against 57%. In terms of shots on target, though, Tromso's advantage was overwhelming: 9-1.
Fredrikstad have failed to score in five meetings with Tromsø: three ended in defeat and two in draws. The aggregate score across those matches is 8-0 in Tromsø's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Fredrikstad - Tromsoe
Fredrikstad Team Overview
Fredrikstad's last Eliteserien match ended in a 1-1 draw away at Vålerenga. They edged possession at 52%, but were outshot 9-16.
In their first 14 Eliteserien matches, Fredrikstad picked up 14 points, and then picked up exactly the same number in their next seven. The turning point came in August. July was a poor month for Kasper Røkjer's side: three matches without a point or a single goal scored. August then brought four consecutive league wins, three of them by a score of 1-0. Since then, the hosts have slipped up just three times: they dropped three points at home to Bodø/Glimt and then drew twice. Their attack has remained modest throughout: Fredrikstad have scored more than one goal in just one of their last ten league matches, when they thrashed Lillestrøm away from home. They will also need to reshuffle their defence, with defender Isak Helstad Amundsen having been sent off in Oslo shortly before the final whistle and suspended for this match.
Match Results: Fredrikstad
Tromsoe Team Overview
In the latest Eliteserien round, Tromsø beat Ham-Kam 3-2 at home. Despite the scoreline, it was not a particularly close contest: the shot count was heavily in Tromsø's favour, 18-5 overall and 11-2 on target.
Tromsø are third, but Molde are only two points behind. In August, the northerners reached the Conference League play-off round and even held Brighton to a goalless draw at home, but lost heavily in England and went out. In the Eliteserien since mid-August, Jørgen Vik's side have picked up just four points from five matches. Their last three away league games have been particularly difficult: all three were lost, with ten goals conceded. Tromsø ended that run before the break, winning at home against HamKam.
Match Results: Tromsoe
Total Goals Prediction
Fredrikstad's last nine home matches have all featured no more than three goals. The average scoring and conceding figures for both sides are unimpressive: Fredrikstad average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home this season, while Tromsø average 1.9 scored and 2.0 conceded away. It is also worth noting that over Fredrikstad's last ten home matches they have been conceding just 0.75 goals per 90 minutes. This points to a low likelihood of a high-scoring game. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
The Reliable Bet
Fredrikstad have conceded at home in 17 of their last 19 matches. On average they concede 1.1 goals per 90 minutes at home this season. Given Tromsø's strong away scoring record (1.9 goals per game), the Tromsø Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals looks like a reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-2 (8.61%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Tromsø are ten points ahead in the table, but recent results favour the hosts. Fredrikstad have lost just once in their last nine official matches - to Bodø/Glimt by a single goal. At home, Kasper Røkjer's side have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches. Tromsø look unlikely to stop them: the northerners have conceded in each of their last five away Eliteserien matches. We don't expect the visitors to leave Fredrikstad with a win. Our bet is Fredrikstad not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Fredrikstad - Tromsoe
in 6 of last 7 games (Eliteserien).in 8 of last 9 games.
in last 5 games against Tromsoe (Eliteserien).in 9 of last 10 games (Eliteserien).in last 5 home games (Eliteserien).in 17 of last 19 home games (Eliteserien).Comparison of Teams Stats
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