Liverpool vs Man City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The central fixture of matchday six in the English Premier League brings together two heavyweights. Liverpool host Manchester City at Anfield. Both sides are competing at the top of the table, so a fiercely contested match is guaranteed. City have taken maximum points from their opening rounds and sit top of the standings, three points clear of their nearest challengers Arsenal. Liverpool could be the first side to take points off Enzo Maresca's team.

    🔁 Keep an eye on updates to this prediction: if any significant news emerges, we will adjust our recommendations. Check back closer to kick-off.

    A run of three consecutive head-to-head victories for Manchester City

    📊 The two sides met three times last season. Both Premier League meetings went to Manchester City, who took all six points - winning 3-0 at home and 2-1 at Anfield while playing with a man advantage. The third meeting that season came in the FA Cup and ended in a rout, with City winning 4-0.

    Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Man City

    38%
    18 Wins
    33%
    16 Draws
    29%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    48
    Avg. total goals
    3.08
    Both teams scored
    63%
    1.5
    Average total
    1.58
    Last matches
    04.04.26
    FAC
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.82
    1.65
    4
    2
    15
    10
    3
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.82
    1.65
    4
    2
    15
    10
    3
    3
    08.02.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.17
    2.91
    5
    4
    13
    16
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.17
    2.91
    5
    4
    13
    16
    2
    4
    09.11.25
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.68
    0.81
    7
    7
    14
    15
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.68
    0.81
    7
    7
    14
    15
    2
    4
    23.02.25
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Liverpool FC
    Liverpool FC
    0.56
    0.8
    7
    5
    3
    10
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.8
    7
    5
    3
    10
    0
    0
    01.12.24
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    3.6
    0.83
    7
    4
    6
    7
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.6
    0.83
    7
    4
    6
    7
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Liverpool often drop points against lower-ranked sides.

    Liverpool have avoided defeat across all competitions so far this season. In the Champions League, they opened with three points in a key match against Atlético Madrid, winning 2-1. In the League Cup, they beat Tottenham 3-1 to progress to the next round. In the Premier League, though, their form is worth looking at more closely. Somewhat surprisingly, despite facing only sides from the lower half of the table in their opening fixtures, Liverpool have failed to win either of their two home league matches. First they had to come from behind against Nottingham, equalising only in the 82nd minute to draw 2-2, then Fulham held on for a goalless draw at Anfield. Manchester City will be the first serious test for Liverpool in the Premier League this season, and the hosts' lack of goals could be their biggest problem in this match.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.12
    1.53
    3
    3
    11
    12
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.12
    1.53
    3
    3
    11
    12
    1
    2
    W
    15.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    1.25
    2.26
    5
    9
    15
    11
    3
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.25
    2.26
    5
    9
    15
    11
    3
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Fulham
    Fulham
    1.37
    0.83
    5
    8
    11
    8
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.37
    0.83
    5
    8
    11
    8
    0
    1
    D
    09.09.26
    UCL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.46
    0.6
    7
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.46
    0.6
    7
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    W
    04.09.26
    EPL
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.03
    0.71
    4
    3
    6
    13
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.03
    0.71
    4
    3
    6
    13
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Manchester City: Enzo Maresca is Shaping a Team with Character

    City have started the season impressively. The only blemish was a heavy defeat to Arsenal in the first official match of the campaign, the Community Shield, where they lost 3-0. Since then, the Manchester side have gone on a run of seven consecutive wins across all competitions, keeping clean sheets in four of those matches. Unlike Liverpool, Manchester City have already been tested in a high-pressure fixture, facing their fiercest rivals in the Manchester derby at Old Trafford. Phil Foden was sent off early in the match, leaving his side a man down, yet City managed to contain United's attack, keep their goal intact and score the only goal of the game in the second half. There was another match that showed the character of Guardiola's side - the opening-day fixture against Bournemouth. The Cherries were winning right up until the 84th minute, but City showed resilience and converted two late chances to take all three points.

    Match Results: Manchester City

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    2.47
    2.77
    6
    5
    14
    14
    0
    1
    5
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2.47
    2.77
    6
    5
    14
    14
    0
    1
    W
    17.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    1.45
    0.16
    2
    3
    8
    6
    0
    1
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1.45
    0.16
    2
    3
    8
    6
    0
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1
    0.84
    0.77
    6
    7
    17
    10
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    0.77
    6
    7
    17
    10
    1
    2
    W
    08.09.26
    UCL
    Porto
    Porto
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    0.3
    2.27
    2
    5
    7
    15
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.3
    2.27
    2
    5
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    05.09.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Coventry
    Coventry
    1.88
    0.75
    4
    5
    7
    16
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.88
    0.75
    4
    5
    7
    16
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Liverpool

    ❌ A number of high-quality attacking players will miss the match through injury, including Alexander Isak, Hugo Ekitike and Cody Gakpo.

    Manchester City

    ❌ Phil Foden will miss the match due to a suspension carried over from his red card in the Manchester derby. Nico O'Riley is unavailable through injury.

    Predicted Lineups

    📋 Liverpool predicted starting XI: Alisson - Araújo, Jaquet, van Dijk, Kerkez - Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Gravenberch - Wirtz, Barcola, Muñoz.

    📋 Manchester City predicted starting XI: Donnarumma - Nunes, Dias, Gaye, Gvardiol - Fernandez, Anderson - Cherki, Doku, Semenyo - Haaland.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    The trends suggest that Manchester City have frequently scored in the second half this season, doing so in six of their last seven matches. In the February meeting at Anfield, City scored twice in the second half, with Erling Haaland wrapping up the match from the penalty spot. For the goals prediction, we're backing Manchester City to Score in the 2nd Half, priced at 1.55*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Matches between these two sides at Anfield are rarely closed affairs. In their most recent official Premier League head-to-head meetings, the teams consistently cleared the basic corners benchmarks - 9 corners were recorded in the February fixture at Anfield and 14 in the match at the Etihad. With the attacking power and wide play both sides bring, Total Corners - Over 9.5 is the natural selection here (odds 1.66*).

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Total Goals - Over 3.5 yellow cards has landed in 8 of Liverpool's last 9 Premier League matches. Under pressure from their home crowd, Liverpool will look to apply aggressive high pressing. Against City's technically gifted midfield, this often leads to mistimed challenges and fouls. In the last five head-to-head meetings between Liverpool and Manchester City, the 3.5-card line has been exceeded four times. The prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5, priced at 1.37*.

    🚀 Player Statistics Bet

    Erling Haaland is the Norwegian forward at Manchester City. During the international break, Haaland was helping Norway collect points in the Nations League group stage, and he managed to score three times in four matches. He is also currently the outright top scorer in the Premier League, with five goals in five matches. We think there is every reason to back Haaland to Score, priced at 2.16*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    For those looking for a higher-odds option, here is one to consider. Manchester City's convincing winning run suggests the Citizens will at least avoid defeat in this match. The hosts' confident attacking output and the importance of the fixture do not point to a high-scoring game. It seems quite possible that both teams will get on the scoresheet, with Manchester City potentially winning by a narrow margin. The risky bet is Manchester City not to lose + 2-3 goals in the match, priced at 3.1*.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    Over their last seven matches across all competitions, the Citizens have scored 20 goals. Their two most recent games - the League Cup tie against Norwich and last round's match against Sunderland - ended 5-0 and 5-3. This gives us confidence that City are doing everything necessary to find the net and are not settling for less. Our reliable bet is Manchester City Team Total - Over 1 Goal at 1.31*.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to script

    If Liverpool fail to impose themselves on the opposition's half and convert at least one clear chance, the match could turn into a low-scoring affair. Manchester City, having scored their goal, would be content with that and look to hold the narrow lead. Liverpool's match against Fulham (0:0) showed that a home crowd doesn't always help the team find the net. As an alternative bet, we suggest Both Teams to Score - No at 2.63*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    A trend from the head-to-head history: five of the last seven meetings at Anfield have ended with both teams scoring. A trend from the hosts' current form: Liverpool have scored and conceded at home in six of their last seven matches. Manchester City's three league matches at the start of the season have also featured goals from both sides, and Liverpool are the most serious opponent City have faced in that run - which almost certainly points to a high likelihood of a home goal. The visitors, as favourites and league leaders, need to score to pick up vital points and strengthen their position at the top of the table. The prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-2.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-208
    Published: 09/10/2026, 23:48
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Liverpool - Manchester City

    Liverpool have drawn:
    liverpool-fc-1in last 4 home games (Premier League).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +275
    Manchester City have won:
    manchester-city-2in last 7 games.
    manchester-city-2in last 5 games (Premier League).
    Manchester City to Win
    Bovada
    +155
    Liverpool have not won:
    liverpool-fc-1in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    Manchester City have not lost:
    manchester-city-2in 20 of last 21 games (Premier League).
    manchester-city-2in 12 of last 13 away games.
    manchester-city-2in last 10 away games (Premier League).
    manchester-city-2in last 7 games.
    Manchester City will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Liverpool have not lost:
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-city-2in 22 of last 24 home games against Manchester City.
    liverpool-fc-1manchester-city-2in 17 of last 19 home games against Manchester City (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 14 of last 15 home games (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in 12 of last 13 home games.
    liverpool-fc-1in last 7 games.
    Liverpool will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 12
    +7
    +11
    22 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    1
    1
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    22
    12
    Conceded
    11
    3.1
    Average total per match
    3.3
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    41'
    View all stats