Toulouse vs Lille Prediction 3 September 2026
🔊 Toulouse have failed to beat Lille in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 meetings, with their most recent win in this fixture dating back to February 2024. There have been significant changes at Lille over the summer: Bruno Génésio left the club at the end of May and later took charge of Marseille, with Davide Ancelotti, son of Carlo, appointed as his replacement. That hasn't held them back early on - after two matchdays, Lille are third, while Toulouse sit 16th with one point. The matchday 3 fixture takes place on 3 September at the Stadium de Toulouse.
Head-to-Head
📊 One evening tells you everything you need to know about this fixture: on 12 April, Lille won 4-0 in Toulouse. Toulouse have conceded against Lille in 25 of their last 26 head-to-head meetings, and at home they have conceded in 11 of their last 12 Ligue 1 matches against them. The closest Toulouse came was in the autumn, when they lost 1-2 with Lille scoring the decisive goal after the 90th minute.
Head-to-head statistics Toulouse - Lille
Toulouse Team Overview
Toulouse finished ninth last season with 45 points, under the management of Carles Martínez Novell - the Spaniard had brought the club to a solid level before leaving for Bayer in the summer. His replacement was found in Scotland: the club appointed Danish manager Jens Berthel Askou, who had spent a season at Motherwell and led them to fourth place. He signed a three-year contract.
The Dane's start has been difficult. At home, Toulouse lost to Lyon 0-2, then picked up a point away at Brest the following week. Those two matches at Brest also account for both of the team's goals this season - from Jayden Russell-Rowe and Krist Tapé.
Match Results: Toulouse
Lille Team Overview
Lille finished third last season and returned to the Champions League, though they were only two points clear of sixth place. They also set the record for that championship with 13 consecutive matches without defeat.
Under Ancelotti there have been no major slip-ups so far. The team opened the first round with a win at Angers (2-0), and in the second round were two goals ahead against PSG before conceding twice in stoppage time. Lille have lost just once in their last 16 Ligue 1 matches.
Match Results: Lille
Latest news
Toulouse
❌ It was a summer of outgoings. Forward Emersonn moved to Ipswich for €28 million plus bonuses, and defender Metall joined Sunderland for €30 million. The injury list is short but notable: Aron Dønnum and Abu Francis will both miss the match.
Lille
❓ The club are closing the window with a bang: on 1 September, Newcastle paid 60 million euros including bonuses to sign Matías Fernández-Pardo, while Lille themselves brought in midfielder Kjærgaard from Salzburg for 8 million. Earlier, the northern club let Ayoub Bouaddi leave for Manchester City. Their injury and suspension situation ahead of this match is more serious: Hamza Igamane is out for an extended period with a ruptured anterior cruciate ligament, new signing Tanguy Nianzou is injured, and Benjamin André is suspended following his red card late in the match against PSG.
Predicted Lineups
Predicted Toulouse XI: Restes - Diallo, McKenzie, Nicolaisen, Tapé - Vossa, Cásseres - Vignolo, Jørgensen, Gboho - Russell-Rowe.
Predicted Lille XI: Ozer - Santos, Ngoyi, Alexandro, Perrot - Mukau, Ventaleb - Mbappé, Haraldsson, Correia - Giroud.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Toulouse have scored more than one goal against Lille in just one of their last nine Ligue 1 meetings. Away from home, Lille have kept four consecutive Ligue 1 clean sheets. Toulouse's attack has been weakened by the departure of Emersson, and Askou is still assembling his squad. We don't expect Toulouse to score more than one goal. The bet is Toulouse Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.40*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Corners are one area where the home side have the edge. Toulouse have won more than 3.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches, and that run extends to five consecutive head-to-head meetings against Lille. Across their last ten official matches, Toulouse have taken 30 corners, while Lille's opponents over the same period have taken 48. Lille themselves are more modest away from home, winning fewer than 4.5 corners in six consecutive Ligue 1 matches. The bet is Toulouse Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.61*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The match in Toulouse will be refereed by Mathieu Vernis - in last season's Ligue 1 he showed 62 yellow cards across 14 matches, and every fourth match ended with a red card. He'll have plenty of material to work with: Toulouse players have picked up 23 bookings in their last ten official matches, while Lille's players have accumulated 24. Opponents haven't been spared either - referees have shown 20 cards against the northerners. Vernis knows the ground: he took charge of a match there against Lens in January. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
The visitors arrive in Toulouse having won their last seven Ligue 1 away matches. The hosts have little to offer in response: Toulouse have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches. Ascou took charge of the club in the summer and has yet to shape the squad to his liking. Ancelotti has a broader selection available even without André and two injured players. We do not expect Toulouse to end that run in their second home match of the season. The pick is Lille to win. Predicted score: 0-2.
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Betting Tips: Toulouse - Lille
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